Insurance - Specialty
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MBI vs MTG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Specialty
MBI vs MTG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Specialty | Insurance - Specialty |
| Market Cap | $308M | $5.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $89M | $1.20B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-174M | $718M |
| Gross Margin | 119.1% | 93.6% |
| Operating Margin | -196.6% | 75.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 8.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.84B | $646M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $69M | $376M |
MBI vs MTG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MBIA Inc. (MBI) | 100 | 86.2 | -13.8% |
| MGIC Investment Cor… (MTG) | 100 | 321.6 | +221.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MBI vs MTG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MBI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 90.5%, EPS growth 62.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -19.6%
- 90.5% revenue growth vs MTG's 0.5%
- +31.5% vs MTG's +4.3%
MTG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta 0.43, yield 2.2%
- 336.2% 10Y total return vs MBI's 189.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.43, Low D/E 12.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 90.5% revenue growth vs MTG's 0.5% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.2 vs MBI's 3.3 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.43 vs MBI's 0.81 | |
| Dividends | 2.2% yield; 7-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +31.5% vs MTG's +4.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.0% ROA vs MBI's -8.4%, ROIC 12.7% vs -16.9% |
MBI vs MTG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
MBI vs MTG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTG is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.2B annually — 13.5x MBI's $89M. MTG is the more profitable business, keeping 59.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MBI's -195.5%. On growth, MTG holds the edge at -3.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $89M | $1.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$26M | $913M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$174M | $718M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $51M | $705M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +119.1% | +93.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -196.6% | +75.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -195.5% | +59.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +57.3% | +58.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -48.3% | -3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +86.3% | +1.3% |
Valuation Metrics
MBI leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $308M | $5.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.1B | $5.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.73x | 8.41x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 8.58x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.43x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 6.26x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.85x | 4.60x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 1.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.11x | 6.55x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MTG leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MBI scores 7/9 vs MTG's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +14.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -8.4% | +11.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -16.9% | +12.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.4% | +14.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.8B | $271M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $69M | $376M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.8B | $646M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.13x | 27.10x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MBI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MBI five years ago would be worth $21,603 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $20,311 for MTG. Over the past 12 months, MBI leads with a +31.5% total return vs MTG's +4.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MBI at 32.7% vs MTG's 23.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -11.8% | -8.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +31.5% | +4.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +133.6% | +90.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +116.0% | +103.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +189.6% | +336.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +32.7% | +23.9% |
Risk & Volatility
MTG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MTG is the less volatile stock with a 0.43 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MBI's 0.81 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MTG currently trades 88.1% from its 52-week high vs MBI's 73.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.81x | 0.43x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.26 | $29.97 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.11 | $24.78 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +73.8% | +88.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.2 | 38.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 302K | 1.8M |
Analyst Outlook
MTG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MBI as "Buy" and MTG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 129.5% upside for MBI (target: $14) vs 13.6% for MTG (target: $30). MTG is the only dividend payer here at 2.22% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.00 | $30.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 7 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.59 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.3% | +14.1% |
MTG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MBI leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns).
MBI vs MTG: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MBI or MTG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MBIA Inc.
(MBI) is the stronger pick with 90. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 5% for MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG). MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) offers the better valuation at 8. 4x trailing P/E (8. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MBIA Inc. (MBI) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MBI or MTG?
Over the past 5 years, MBIA Inc.
(MBI) delivered a total return of +116. 0%, compared to +103. 1% for MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MTG returned +336. 2% versus MBI's +189. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MBI or MTG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
43β versus MBIA Inc. 's 0. 81β — meaning MBI is approximately 91% more volatile than MTG relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — MBI or MTG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MBIA Inc.
(MBI) is pulling ahead at 90. 5% versus 0. 5% for MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: MBIA Inc. grew EPS 62. 5% year-over-year, compared to 8. 7% for MGIC Investment Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, MTG leads at 1. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MBI or MTG?
MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is the more profitable company, earning 60.
8% net margin versus -221. 3% for MBIA Inc. — meaning it keeps 60. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MTG leads at 76. 5% versus -226. 3% for MBI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MTG leads at 94. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is MBI or MTG more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MBI: 129.
5% to $14. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — MBI or MTG?
In this comparison, MTG (2.
2% yield) pays a dividend. MBI does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is MBI or MTG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
43), 2. 2% yield, +336. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MTG: +336. 2%, MBI: +189. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between MBI and MTG?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MBI is a small-cap high-growth stock; MTG is a small-cap deep-value stock. MTG pays a dividend while MBI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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