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MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
Packaging & Containers
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products |
| Market Cap | $74M | $17.52B | $19.93B | $221M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.85B | $24.97B | $8.99B | $1.54B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-528M | $-3.35B | $773M | $-27M |
| Gross Margin | -3.5% | 27.8% | 21.0% | 5.1% |
| Operating Margin | -12.0% | -10.5% | 13.6% | -0.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 21.8x | 21.7x | — |
| Total Debt | $1.61B | $10.80B | $4.36B | $422M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $187M | $1.15B | $529M | $31K |
MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercer Internationa… (MERC) | 100 | 13.8 | -86.2% |
| International Paper… (IP) | 100 | 102.6 | +2.6% |
| Packaging Corporati… (PKG) | 100 | 220.3 | +120.3% |
| Clearwater Paper Co… (CLW) | 100 | 47.2 | -52.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MERC is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if dividends is your priority.
- 13.5% yield, vs IP's 5.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
IP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.20, yield 5.6%
- Rev growth 33.7%, EPS growth -5.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.6%
- 33.7% revenue growth vs MERC's -8.6%
PKG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 299.8% 10Y total return vs IP's 29.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.76, Low D/E 94.9%, current ratio 3.17x
- Beta 0.76, yield 2.2%, current ratio 3.17x
- Better valuation composite
CLW lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 33.7% revenue growth vs MERC's -8.6% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.6% margin vs MERC's -28.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.76 vs MERC's 2.06, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 13.5% yield, vs IP's 5.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +26.9% vs MERC's -64.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.7% ROA vs MERC's -24.3%, ROIC 12.6% vs -8.5% |
MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
PKG leads in 4 of 6 categories
CLW leads 1 • MERC leads 0 • IP leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PKG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IP is the larger business by revenue, generating $25.0B annually — 16.2x CLW's $1.5B. PKG is the more profitable business, keeping 8.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MERC's -28.5%. On growth, PKG holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.9B | $25.0B | $9.0B | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$102M | $154M | $1.9B | $69M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$528M | -$3.4B | $773M | -$27M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$156M | $553M | $729M | -$54M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -3.5% | +27.8% | +21.0% | +5.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -12.0% | -10.5% | +13.6% | -0.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -28.5% | -13.4% | +8.6% | -1.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -8.4% | +2.2% | +8.1% | -3.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.5% | +1.2% | +10.1% | -4.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -136.4% | +145.8% | -53.9% | -110.5% |
Valuation Metrics
CLW leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, CLW's 5.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than IP's 1294.0x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $74M | $17.5B | $19.9B | $221M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.5B | $27.2B | $23.8B | $642M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.15x | -4.93x | 26.04x | -11.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 21.80x | 21.68x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 2.15x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 1293.97x | 12.46x | 5.76x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.04x | 0.70x | 2.22x | 0.14x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.09x | 1.18x | 4.35x | 0.27x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — | 27.36x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
PKG leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PKG delivers a 16.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-2 for MERC. CLW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.51x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MERC's 23.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CLW scores 7/9 vs PKG's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.4% | -20.4% | +16.7% | -3.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -24.3% | -8.5% | +7.7% | -1.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -8.5% | -11.3% | +12.6% | +1.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.7% | -11.6% | +14.2% | +1.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 23.64x | 0.73x | 0.95x | 0.51x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.4B | $9.7B | $3.8B | $422M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $187M | $1.1B | $529M | $30,700 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.6B | $10.8B | $4.4B | $422M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.78x | -8.89x | 13.99x | -4.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PKG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PKG five years ago would be worth $16,155 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,480 for MERC. Over the past 12 months, PKG leads with a +26.9% total return vs MERC's -64.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PKG at 20.6% vs MERC's -42.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -43.4% | -15.5% | +6.4% | -22.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -64.8% | -19.6% | +26.9% | -47.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.4% | +20.7% | +75.3% | -58.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -85.2% | -26.6% | +61.6% | -56.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -48.2% | +29.2% | +299.8% | -77.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -42.0% | +6.5% | +20.6% | -25.2% |
Risk & Volatility
PKG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PKG is the less volatile stock with a 0.76 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MERC's 2.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PKG currently trades 89.5% from its 52-week high vs MERC's 24.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.06x | 1.20x | 0.76x | 1.31x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.47 | $56.13 | $249.51 | $30.96 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.00 | $29.45 | $178.32 | $11.73 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +24.8% | +58.9% | +89.5% | +44.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.3 | 46.2 | 62.4 | 49.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 440K | 6.8M | 918K | 198K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MERC and IP and PKG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MERC as "Hold", IP as "Buy", PKG as "Hold", CLW as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 102.7% upside for MERC (target: $2) vs 9.7% for PKG (target: $245). For income investors, MERC offers the higher dividend yield at 13.51% vs PKG's 2.25%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $2.25 | $46.40 | $245.00 | $15.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 29 | 26 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +13.5% | +5.6% | +2.2% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.15 | $1.85 | $5.02 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +7.8% |
PKG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CLW leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
MERC vs IP vs PKG vs CLW: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MERC or IP or PKG or CLW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, International Paper Company (IP) is the stronger pick with 33.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 6% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) offers the better valuation at 26. 0x trailing P/E (21. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate International Paper Company (IP) a "Buy" — based on 29 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MERC or IP or PKG or CLW?
On forward P/E, Packaging Corporation of America is actually cheaper at 21.
7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MERC or IP or PKG or CLW?
Over the past 5 years, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) delivered a total return of +61.
6%, compared to -85. 2% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PKG returned +299. 8% versus CLW's -77. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MERC or IP or PKG or CLW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
76β versus Mercer International Inc. 's 2. 06β — meaning MERC is approximately 173% more volatile than PKG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 51% versus 24% for Mercer International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MERC or IP or PKG or CLW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), International Paper Company (IP) is pulling ahead at 33.
7% versus -8. 6% for Mercer International Inc. (MERC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Packaging Corporation of America grew EPS -3. 9% year-over-year, compared to -527. 4% for International Paper Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, IP leads at 5. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MERC or IP or PKG or CLW?
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
6% net margin versus -26. 7% for Mercer International Inc. — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PKG leads at 14. 0% versus -11. 3% for IP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — IP leads at 29. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MERC or IP or PKG or CLW more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) trades at 21.
7x forward P/E versus 21. 8x for International Paper Company — 0. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MERC: 102. 7% to $2. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — MERC or IP or PKG or CLW?
In this comparison, MERC (13.
5% yield), IP (5. 6% yield), PKG (2. 2% yield) pay a dividend. CLW does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MERC or IP or PKG or CLW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
76), 2. 2% yield, +299. 8% 10Y return). Mercer International Inc. (MERC) carries a higher beta of 2. 06 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PKG: +299. 8%, MERC: -48. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MERC and IP and PKG and CLW?
These companies operate in different sectors (MERC (Basic Materials) and IP (Consumer Cyclical) and PKG (Consumer Cyclical) and CLW (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MERC is a small-cap income-oriented stock; IP is a mid-cap high-growth stock; PKG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CLW is a small-cap quality compounder stock. MERC, IP, PKG pay a dividend while CLW does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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