Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
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MORN vs ICE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
MORN vs ICE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $6.77B | $88.45B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.45B | $12.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $403M | $3.30B |
| Gross Margin | 61.0% | 61.9% |
| Operating Margin | 21.5% | 38.7% |
| Forward P/E | 15.0x | 19.5x |
| Total Debt | $1.41B | $20.28B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $475M | $837M |
MORN vs ICE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) | 100 | 116.0 | +16.0% |
| Intercontinental Ex… (ICE) | 100 | 160.6 | +60.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MORN vs ICE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MORN is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 7.5%, EPS growth 3.4%
- PEG 1.32 vs ICE's 2.19
- 7.5% NII/revenue growth vs ICE's 7.5%
ICE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.33, yield 1.2%
- 225.3% 10Y total return vs MORN's 131.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.33, Low D/E 69.9%, current ratio 1.02x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.5% NII/revenue growth vs ICE's 7.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 19.5x), PEG 1.32 vs 2.19 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MORN's 0.4% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.33 vs MORN's 0.52, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs MORN's 1.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -10.4% vs MORN's -39.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MORN's 0.4% |
MORN vs ICE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MORN vs ICE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICE leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICE is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.6B annually — 5.2x MORN's $2.4B. ICE is the more profitable business, keeping 26.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MORN's 15.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.4B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $763M | $6.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $403M | $3.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $437M | $4.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +61.0% | +61.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +21.5% | +38.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +15.3% | +26.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +33.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +50.0% | +23.1% |
Valuation Metrics
MORN leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.1x trailing earnings, MORN trades at a 26% valuation discount to ICE's 27.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MORN offers better value at 1.77x vs ICE's 3.05x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.8B | $88.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.7B | $107.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.06x | 27.06x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.95x | 19.48x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.77x | 3.05x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.75x | 16.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.77x | 7.00x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.14x | 3.08x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.29x | 20.62x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MORN leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MORN delivers a 30.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $12 for ICE. ICE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.70x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MORN's 1.15x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ICE scores 9/9 vs MORN's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +30.0% | +11.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.9% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.3% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +20.6% | +9.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.15x | 0.70x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $933M | $19.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $475M | $837M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.4B | $20.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 12.40x | 6.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ICE leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ICE five years ago would be worth $14,335 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,093 for MORN. Over the past 12 months, ICE leads with a -10.4% total return vs MORN's -39.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ICE at 14.7% vs MORN's -0.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.0% | -2.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -39.6% | -10.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.2% | +50.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -29.1% | +43.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +131.7% | +225.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.7% | +14.7% |
Risk & Volatility
ICE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ICE is the less volatile stock with a 0.33 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MORN's 0.52 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ICE currently trades 82.5% from its 52-week high vs MORN's 56.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.52x | 0.33x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $316.71 | $189.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $149.08 | $143.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.2% | +82.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.1 | 38.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 509K | 3.0M |
Analyst Outlook
ICE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MORN as "Hold" and ICE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 32.9% upside for MORN (target: $237) vs 25.3% for ICE (target: $196). For income investors, ICE offers the higher dividend yield at 1.24% vs MORN's 1.02%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $236.50 | $195.71 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.0% | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 14 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.82 | $1.93 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +11.6% | +1.6% |
ICE leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). MORN leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency).
MORN vs ICE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MORN or ICE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Morningstar, Inc.
(MORN) is the stronger pick with 7. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) offers the better valuation at 20. 1x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) a "Buy" — based on 36 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MORN or ICE?
On trailing P/E, Morningstar, Inc.
(MORN) is the cheapest at 20. 1x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. at 27. 1x. On forward P/E, Morningstar, Inc. is actually cheaper at 15. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Morningstar, Inc. wins at 1. 32x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 2. 19x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MORN or ICE?
Over the past 5 years, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) delivered a total return of +43. 4%, compared to -29. 1% for Morningstar, Inc. (MORN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ICE returned +225. 3% versus MORN's +131. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MORN or ICE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 33β versus Morningstar, Inc. 's 0. 52β — meaning MORN is approximately 59% more volatile than ICE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 70% versus 115% for Morningstar, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MORN or ICE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Morningstar, Inc.
(MORN) is pulling ahead at 7. 5% versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. grew EPS 20. 7% year-over-year, compared to 3. 4% for Morningstar, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MORN or ICE?
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the more profitable company, earning 26. 1% net margin versus 15. 3% for Morningstar, Inc. — meaning it keeps 26. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ICE leads at 38. 7% versus 21. 5% for MORN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ICE leads at 61. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MORN or ICE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 32x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 2. 19x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) trades at 15. 0x forward P/E versus 19. 5x for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. — 4. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MORN: 32. 9% to $236. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — MORN or ICE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) offers the highest yield at 1. 2%, versus 1. 0% for Morningstar, Inc. (MORN).
09Is MORN or ICE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 33), 1. 2% yield, +225. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ICE: +225. 3%, MORN: +131. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MORN and ICE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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