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ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$152.93$86.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
ICE logo

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

ICE
NYSE · Financial Data & Exchanges
$152.93
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$86.25B
P/E26.5x
52W High$176.05
Volume2.65M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Fee-Driven Growth Offsets Negative Net Interest Income

ICE's business model is fundamentally fee-based, with non-interest income comprising 99.3% of total revenue in 2026Q2, driving strong operating leverage as evidenced by an efficiency ratio of 18.8%. The company has demonstrated accelerating EPS growth, with a ...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ICE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 58 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 58)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth is accelerating, with total revenue reaching $3.6B in 2026Q2, up from $3.0B in 2025Q3, while operating margin remains strong at 38.7% and efficiency ratio improved to 18.8%.

Analyst Consensus+20.6% target
Buy(36 analysts)
33 Buy3 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Own the Casino Revenue Model

ICE’s model generates fees from every trade, listing, and data stream, ensuring revenue regardless of market direction. This moat secures a steady income base across market cycles.

Recurring Revenue >50%

Subscriptions and data products now account for more than 50% of ICE’s total revenue, providing high gross margins and predictable cash flow. This shift reduces reliance on volatile trading fees.

Mortgage Tech Expansion via Black Knight

The acquisition of Black Knight is expected to strengthen ICE’s mortgage technology segment, positioning it to capture digital mortgage market growth. This move expands ICE’s footprint beyond traditional exchanges.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ICE-3.44%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
ICE-8.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
ICE+43.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+80.51%
5-Year Return
ICE+38.35%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+73.88%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
26.5x
Forward P/EExpansion
18.9x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
16.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
26.5x
30.7x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
18.1x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
20.1x
21.6x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$115.80-24.3%
Base (Fair)$140.21-9.8%
Bull$148.10-3.2%
$115.80 Bear$140.21 Base$148.10 Bull
Current Market Price: $152.93
Trades at a 9.1% premium to Base DCF ($140.21)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$11.86B+9.3% YoY
Net income
$3.3B+20.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$4.29B+2.0% YoY
Operating margin
38.7%+2.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)7.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)11.7%
Piotroski Score9 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$1.90+3.3%
vs $1.84
$2.7B+1.3%
vs $2.6B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$2.35+5.4%
vs $2.23
$3.0B+3.4%
vs $2.9B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$1.71+1.8%
vs $1.68
$2.5B+1.3%
vs $2.5B
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$1.71+6.9%
vs $1.60
$3.0B+24.6%
vs $2.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·5d ago
Nasdaq: I Am Buying (Together With Another One)

This final deep dive unpacks Nasdaq's strategic evolution beyond its traditional exchange roots into a powerhouse driven by high-margin software, sticky financial crime tech, and recurring solutions. We analyze the upcoming December 6 launch of 23-hour trading, evaluating how expanded operating hours unlock greater utilization across Nasdaq's capital access platforms and software subscriptions. The article ends with a five-point scorecard comparing Nasdaq, ICE, CME, and Cboe, detailing the two winners of this project.

Business Wire·Sep 16, 2026
ICE Launches Private Credit Reference Data Service

ATLANTA & NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE), one of the world's leading providers of financial market technology and data powering global capital markets, today announced the launch of a new reference data service for private credit instruments. The new service builds on the recent launch of ICE IDs, which are the first foundational identifiers for private credit. As the private credit market has scaled, the data infrastructure supporting it has not kept pac.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 11, 2026
Intercontinental Exchange: I Am Ready To Buy

Intercontinental Exchange is a market‑infrastructure powerhouse with 51% recurring revenue, 75% margins in exchanges, and a 20‑year EPS growth streak driven by data, connectivity, and benchmark dominance. Energy volatility distorts the market's perception, compressing ICE's multiple even though its core businesses—fixed income data, indices, and connectivity—are far more stable and strategically essential. Valuation looks mispriced: with strong FCF, manageable leverage, and DCF scenarios pointing to $200–$240/share, ICE offers meaningful long‑term upside despite near‑term mortgage tech amortization noise.

Business Wire·Sep 10, 2026
NYSE Group Consolidated Short Interest Report

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--NYSE today reported short interest as of the close of business on the settlement date of August 31, 2026.

Filtered for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ICE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ICE logoICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.Current
$152.93$86.25B26.509.27%26.14%11.65%1.27%
CME logoCMECME Group Inc.
$267.21$96.08B23.947.06%63.08%15.53%—
CBOE logoCBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.
$266.83$27.92B25.6115.31%26.73%25.75%—
NDAQ logoNDAQNasdaq, Inc.
$94.50$52.82B30.589.86%22.6%16.3%—
MKTX logoMKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$163.43$5.75B24.543.85%35.23%24.48%—
TW logoTWTradeweb Markets Inc.
$99.74$21.23B26.3919.1%40.66%12.47%—

Compare ICE vs Peers

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CME

Most directly comparable listed peer for ICE.

Scale Benchmark

vs MS

Larger-name benchmark to compare ICE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CME, CBOE, NDAQ, MKTX

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ICE SEC Filings & Documents

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 19, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

4
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Jul 31, 2025·SEC

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ICE Frequently Asked Questions

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. growing?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) grew revenue by 9.3% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is ICE profitable?

Yes, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) is profitable, generating $4.03B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (26.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ICE pay dividends?

Yes, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) pays a dividend with a yield of 1.27%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is ICE's return on equity?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has a return on equity (ROE) of 11.7%. This is reasonable for most industries.

Industry Metrics
What is Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s net interest margin?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has a net interest margin (NIM) of -0.5%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has an efficiency ratio of 23.1%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in ICE back in 2006?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 20+ years of data

See returns →