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ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$172.27$97.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
ICE logo

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

ICE
NYSE · Exchanges & Financial Data
$172.27
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$97.15B
P/E23.4x
52W High$177.94
Volume2.68M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Fee-Driven Exchange Model Faces Acquisition-Fueled Balance Sheet Strain

ICE's earnings are driven almost entirely by fee income, with non-interest income representing roughly 105% of total revenue across recent quarters, which suggests a more predictable economic base than a lending-led model but one tied to transaction volumes.

GrowthExpanding
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

ICE price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

9/12 Beats

EPS beat 9 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-6% Peers

P/E is 6% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 82 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 82% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 29
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Non-interest income of roughly $3.0B to $3.6B per quarter against a near-negligible net interest drag of about -$179M in 2026Q1 supports a fee-dominated revenue mix, though provision expense swinging from $454M to over $1.1B suggests earnings quality remains sensitive to acquisition-linked charges.

Analyst Consensus+6.7% target
Buy(36 analysts)
31 Buy4 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Own the Casino Revenue Model

ICE’s model generates fees from every trade, listing, and data stream, ensuring revenue regardless of market direction. This moat secures a steady income base across market cycles.

Recurring Revenue >50%

Subscriptions and data products now account for more than 50% of ICE’s total revenue, providing high gross margins and predictable cash flow. This shift reduces reliance on volatile trading fees.

Mortgage Tech Expansion via Black Knight

The acquisition of Black Knight is expected to strengthen ICE’s mortgage technology segment, positioning it to capture digital mortgage market growth. This move expands ICE’s footprint beyond traditional exchanges.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
ICE+8.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
ICE+18.16%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
ICE+65.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+67.15%
5-Year Return
ICE+33.39%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+55.36%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
23.4x
Forward P/EExpansion
21.0x
EV/EBITDA20th %ile
16.1x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
23.4x
30.7x
20th· Low
EV/EBITDA
16.1x
18.1x
20th· Low
Price/FCF
19.2x
21.6x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$115.80-32.8%
Base (Fair)$140.21-18.6%
Bull$148.10-14.0%
$115.80 Bear$140.21 Base$148.10 Bull
Current Market Price: $172.27
Trades at a 22.9% premium to Base DCF ($140.21)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$11.86B+9.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$3.3B+20.0% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$4.29B+2.0% YoY
Operating margin FY25
41.3%+1.6 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)7.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y6.9%
ROE (TTM)14%
Piotroski Score9 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
Revenue Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 29, 2026
$2.02+2.5%
vs $1.97
$3.6B+32.3%
vs $2.7B
Q3 2026
Jul 30, 2026
$1.90+3.3%
vs $1.84
$2.7B+1.3%
vs $2.6B
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$2.35+5.4%
vs $2.23
$3.0B+3.4%
vs $2.9B
Q1 2026
Feb 5, 2026
$1.71+1.8%
vs $1.68
$2.5B+1.3%
vs $2.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·3d ago
Cboe and Citadel Securities Are Suing to Overturn the CFTC's Approval of Stock Perpetual Futures. Could That Slow Hyperliquid?

Cboe and Citadel Securities filed a lawsuit hours after regulators greenlighted stock perpetual futures for U.S. exchanges, putting billions in potential trading volume in legal limbo and raising questions about whether Hyperliquid's offshore advantage just got bigger.

Business Wire·3d ago
Gateway Mortgage Selects ICE's MSP and Integrated Servicing Solutions to Enhance Servicing Operations and Customer Experience

ATLANTA & NEW YORK & JENKS, Okla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE), one of the world's leading providers of financial market technology and data powering global capital markets, today announced that Gateway Mortgage (‘Gateway'), a division of Gateway First Bank, has signed an agreement to implement MSP®, ICE's mortgage servicing system, to support its mortgage servicing operations. Gateway selected MSP to help improve early and late-stage servicing efficiency, stren.

Business Wire·3d ago
Intercontinental Exchange Reports October 2026 Statistics

ATLANTA & NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE), one of the world's leading providers of financial market technology and data powering global capital markets, today reported October 2026 trading volume and related revenue statistics, which can be viewed on the company's investor relations website at https://ir.theice.com/ir-resources/supplemental-information in the Monthly Statistics Tracking spreadsheet. October highlights include: Total average daily volume (AD.

Seeking Alpha·3d ago
Higher Margins, Better ROIC And Capable Management Define Pershing Square's Q3 2026 Portfolio

We seek to purchase our target companies at share prices that incorporate a margin of safety. We estimate that the companies in PSH's investment portfolio will have average annual EPS growth of about 20% over the next three to five years. Our companies also have higher profit margins, better returns on capital, more favorable competitive positioning, and, in our view, more capable management teams than the average company in the S&P 500.

Filtered for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark ICE against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
ICE logoICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.Current
$172.27$97.15B23.379.27%33.78%14.05%1.12%
CME logoCMECME Group Inc.
$305.89$109.99B24.937.06%63.92%16.24%3.57%
CBOE logoCBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.
$353.27$36.97B24.9815.31%28.33%26.84%0.77%
NDAQ logoNDAQNasdaq, Inc.
$107.12$59.88B28.949.86%23.71%17.28%0.97%
MKTX logoMKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$165.59$5.83B20.003.85%33.87%23.82%1.89%
TW logoTWTradeweb Markets Inc.
$127.73$27.19B29.6319.1%39.85%12.46%0.37%

Compare ICE vs Peers

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CME

Most directly comparable listed peer for ICE.

Scale Benchmark

vs MS

Larger-name benchmark to compare ICE against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CME, CBOE, NDAQ, MKTX

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

ICE SEC Filings & Documents

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 5, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Oct 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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ICE Frequently Asked Questions

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. growing?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) grew revenue by 4.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is ICE profitable?

Yes. Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) earned $4.15B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 33.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does ICE pay dividends?

Yes. Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) pays a dividend that yields 1.12% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is ICE's return on equity?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) had a return on equity (ROE) of 14.0% over the trailing twelve months. That is in line with the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s net interest margin?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has a net interest margin (NIM) of -0.5%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) has an efficiency ratio of 24.7%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in ICE back in 2006?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 20+ years of data

See returns →