MOS
The Mosaic Company
Agricultural Inputs
Market Cap$7.48B
5Y Perf.+94.9%
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Stock Comparison
MOS vs SMG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
SMG
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
Agricultural Inputs
Market Cap$3.65B
5Y Perf.-55.9%
MOS vs SMG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | MOS | SMG |
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Agricultural Inputs | Agricultural Inputs |
| Market Cap | $7.48B | $3.65B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $11.68B | $3.35B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.22B | $90M |
| Gross Margin | 16.5% | 31.0% |
| Operating Margin | 9.9% | 11.7% |
| Forward P/E | 16.1x | 14.3x |
| Total Debt | $760M | $2.38B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $277M | $37M |
MOS vs SMG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
MOS
SMG
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Mosaic Company (MOS) | 100 | 194.9 | +94.9% |
| The Scotts Miracle-… (SMG) | 100 | 44.1 | -55.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MOS vs SMG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Bottom line: MOS leads in 5 of 7 categories, making it the strongest pick for growth and revenue expansion and profitability and margin quality. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is the stronger pick specifically for valuation and capital efficiency and recent price momentum and sentiment. As sector peers, any of these can serve as alternatives in the same allocation.
MOS
The Mosaic Company
The Income Pick
MOS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.52, yield 4.0%
- Rev growth 5.0%, EPS growth 6.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -15.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.52, Low D/E 6.2%, current ratio 1.32x
Best for: income & stability and growth exposure
SMG
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
The Long-Run Compounder
SMG is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 34.9% 10Y total return vs MOS's 12.7%
- Lower P/E (14.3x vs 16.1x)
- +19.3% vs MOS's -19.7%
Best for: long-term compounding
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | MOS | 5.0% revenue growth vs SMG's -3.9% |
| Value | SMG | Lower P/E (14.3x vs 16.1x) |
| Quality / Margins | MOS | 10.5% margin vs SMG's 2.7% |
| Stability / Safety | MOS | Beta 0.52 vs SMG's 1.10 |
| Dividends | MOS | 4.0% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs SMG's 4.2% |
| Momentum (1Y) | SMG | +19.3% vs MOS's -19.7% |
| Efficiency (ROA) | MOS | 5.0% ROA vs SMG's 2.9%, ROIC 6.1% vs 13.3% |
MOS vs SMG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FY 2024
FY 2025
MOS vs SMG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
BEST OVERALLMOSLAGGINGSMG
SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gr…
1leads
MOSThe Mosaic Company
2leads
6 Total Categories
CATEGORYLEADERvs SMGMETRICS WON
Income & Cash FlowRevenue, margins, and cash flow strength
Tied
—
Valuation MetricsMultiples, price ratios, and targets
MOS3/4
Profitability & EfficiencyROE, ROIC, leverage, and quality scores
MOS4/6
Total Returns1Y, 3Y, 5Y total returns with dividends
SMG5/6
Risk & VolatilityBeta, volatility, and downside exposure
Tied
—
Analyst OutlookRatings, price targets, and dividends
Tied
—
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — MOS and SMG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MOS is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.7B annually — 3.5x SMG's $3.4B. MOS is the more profitable business, keeping 10.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SMG's 2.7%. On growth, MOS holds the edge at -7.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | MOSThe Mosaic Company | SMGThe Scotts Miracl… |
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $11.7B | $3.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.2B | $466M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.2B | $90M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$535M | $358M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +16.5% | +31.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +9.9% | +11.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.5% | +2.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.6% | +10.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.5% | -15.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.8% | -78.5% |
Evenly matched — MOS and SMG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
MOS leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.1x trailing earnings, MOS trades at a 76% valuation discount to SMG's 25.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MOS's 3.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SMG's 13.8x.
| Metric | MOSThe Mosaic Company | SMGThe Scotts Miracl… |
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.5B | $3.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.0B | $6.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 6.07x | 25.45x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.13x | 14.34x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.35x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.69x | 13.82x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.64x | 1.07x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.57x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 13.32x |
MOS leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MOS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
| Metric | MOSThe Mosaic Company | SMGThe Scotts Miracl… |
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.0% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.0% | +2.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.1% | +13.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.9% | +17.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.06x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $483M | $2.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $277M | $37M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $760M | $2.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.81x | 3.08x |
MOS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SMG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MOS five years ago would be worth $7,709 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,161 for SMG. Over the past 12 months, SMG leads with a +19.3% total return vs MOS's -19.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SMG at -0.8% vs MOS's -11.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | MOSThe Mosaic Company | SMGThe Scotts Miracl… |
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -5.0% | +6.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -19.7% | +19.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.0% | -2.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -22.9% | -68.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +12.7% | +34.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -11.6% | -0.8% |
SMG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MOS and SMG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MOS is the less volatile stock with a 0.52 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SMG's 1.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SMG currently trades 86.9% from its 52-week high vs MOS's 61.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | MOSThe Mosaic Company | SMGThe Scotts Miracl… |
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.52x | 1.10x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $38.23 | $72.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $22.74 | $52.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.6% | +86.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 39.6 | 41.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9.7M | 948K |
Evenly matched — MOS and SMG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MOS and SMG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MOS as "Hold" and SMG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 32.6% upside for MOS (target: $31) vs 14.6% for SMG (target: $72). For income investors, SMG offers the higher dividend yield at 4.18% vs MOS's 4.04%.
| Metric | MOSThe Mosaic Company | SMGThe Scotts Miracl… |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $31.25 | $72.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 49 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +4.0% | +4.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.95 | $2.63 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.5% |
Evenly matched — MOS and SMG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Key Takeaway
MOS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). SMG leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
Best OverallThe Mosaic Company (MOS)Leads 2 of 6 categories
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MOS vs SMG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MOS or SMG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Mosaic Company (MOS) is the stronger pick with 5.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 9% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG). The Mosaic Company (MOS) offers the better valuation at 6. 1x trailing P/E (16. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MOS or SMG?
On trailing P/E, The Mosaic Company (MOS) is the cheapest at 6.
1x versus The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company at 25. 4x. On forward P/E, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is actually cheaper at 14. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MOS or SMG?
Over the past 5 years, The Mosaic Company (MOS) delivered a total return of -22.
9%, compared to -68. 4% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SMG returned +34. 9% versus MOS's +12. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MOS or SMG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Mosaic Company (MOS) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
52β versus The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's 1. 10β — meaning SMG is approximately 112% more volatile than MOS relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MOS or SMG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Mosaic Company (MOS) is pulling ahead at 5.
0% versus -3. 9% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Mosaic Company grew EPS 605. 5% year-over-year, compared to 504. 9% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, SMG leads at -4. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MOS or SMG?
The Mosaic Company (MOS) is the more profitable company, earning 10.
5% net margin versus 4. 3% for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company — meaning it keeps 10. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SMG leads at 10. 5% versus 9. 9% for MOS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMG leads at 30. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MOS or SMG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) trades at 14.
3x forward P/E versus 16. 1x for The Mosaic Company — 1. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MOS: 32. 6% to $31. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — MOS or SMG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) offers the highest yield at 4. 2%, versus 4. 0% for The Mosaic Company (MOS).
09Is MOS or SMG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Mosaic Company (MOS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
52), 4. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MOS: +12. 7%, SMG: +34. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MOS and SMG?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MOS is a small-cap deep-value stock; SMG is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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Revenue Growth>
%
(MOS: -7.5% · SMG: -15.0%)Net Margin>
%
(MOS: 10.5% · SMG: 2.7%)P/E Ratio<
x
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