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MSEX vs AWR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Water
MSEX vs AWR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Regulated Water | Regulated Water |
| Market Cap | $946M | $2.95B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $199M | $637M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $44M | $130M |
| Gross Margin | 33.3% | 70.1% |
| Operating Margin | 28.1% | 30.9% |
| Forward P/E | 20.0x | 20.4x |
| Total Debt | $419M | $124M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3M | $626K |
MSEX vs AWR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesex Water Com… (MSEX) | 100 | 75.4 | -24.6% |
| American States Wat… (AWR) | 100 | 92.5 | -7.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MSEX vs AWR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MSEX is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 21 yrs, beta -0.12, yield 2.7%
- Beta -0.12, yield 2.7%, current ratio 0.45x
- Lower P/E (20.0x vs 20.4x)
AWR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 10.5%, EPS growth 6.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.2%
- 127.8% 10Y total return vs MSEX's 65.0%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.17, Low D/E 11.9%, current ratio 2.27x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.5% revenue growth vs MSEX's 1.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (20.0x vs 20.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 22.1% margin vs AWR's 20.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (11.9% vs 84.9%) | |
| Dividends | 2.7% yield, 21-year raise streak, vs AWR's 2.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -2.1% vs MSEX's -12.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.9% ROA vs MSEX's 3.2%, ROIC 10.2% vs 4.7% |
MSEX vs AWR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MSEX vs AWR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AWR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AWR is the larger business by revenue, generating $637M annually — 3.2x MSEX's $199M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 22.1% (MSEX) to 20.4% (AWR).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $199M | $637M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $81M | $244M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $44M | $130M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$19M | $35M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.3% | +70.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +28.1% | +30.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +22.1% | +20.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -9.7% | +5.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.0% | +12.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | +11.6% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — MSEX and AWR each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.6x trailing earnings, MSEX trades at a 5% valuation discount to AWR's 22.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AWR offers better value at 2.95x vs MSEX's 13.49x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $946M | $2.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.4B | $3.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.58x | 22.61x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 20.02x | 20.44x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 13.49x | 2.95x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.69x | 12.23x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.86x | 4.48x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.87x | 2.82x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AWR leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AWR delivers a 12.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $9 for MSEX. AWR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MSEX's 0.85x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AWR scores 5/9 vs MSEX's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.1% | +12.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.2% | +4.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.7% | +10.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.4% | +12.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.85x | 0.12x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $416M | $123M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3M | $626,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $419M | $124M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.33x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AWR leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AWR five years ago would be worth $10,723 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,172 for MSEX. Over the past 12 months, AWR leads with a -2.1% total return vs MSEX's -12.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AWR at -3.5% vs MSEX's -9.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.0% | +6.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -12.5% | -2.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -25.7% | -10.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.3% | +7.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +65.0% | +127.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -9.4% | -3.5% |
Risk & Volatility
AWR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AWR is the less volatile stock with a -0.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSEX's -0.12 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AWR currently trades 91.9% from its 52-week high vs MSEX's 81.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.12x | -0.17x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $62.18 | $82.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $44.17 | $69.45 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.9% | +91.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.3 | 47.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 159K | 297K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MSEX and AWR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MSEX as "Buy" and AWR as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 17.5% upside for AWR (target: $90) vs 5.0% for MSEX (target: $54). For income investors, MSEX offers the higher dividend yield at 2.70% vs AWR's 2.53%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $53.50 | $89.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +2.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 21 | 24 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.37 | $1.93 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AWR leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.
MSEX vs AWR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MSEX or AWR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American States Water Company (AWR) is the stronger pick with 10.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 5% for Middlesex Water Company (MSEX). Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) offers the better valuation at 21. 6x trailing P/E (20. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) a "Buy" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MSEX or AWR?
On trailing P/E, Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) is the cheapest at 21.
6x versus American States Water Company at 22. 6x. On forward P/E, Middlesex Water Company is actually cheaper at 20. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: American States Water Company wins at 2. 67x versus Middlesex Water Company's 12. 52x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MSEX or AWR?
Over the past 5 years, American States Water Company (AWR) delivered a total return of +7.
2%, compared to -28. 3% for Middlesex Water Company (MSEX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AWR returned +120. 3% versus MSEX's +63. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MSEX or AWR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), American States Water Company (AWR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
17β versus Middlesex Water Company's -0. 12β — meaning MSEX is approximately -28% more volatile than AWR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, American States Water Company (AWR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 12% versus 85% for Middlesex Water Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MSEX or AWR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American States Water Company (AWR) is pulling ahead at 10.
5% versus 1. 5% for Middlesex Water Company (MSEX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American States Water Company grew EPS 6. 3% year-over-year, compared to -4. 5% for Middlesex Water Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, AWR leads at 10. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MSEX or AWR?
Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) is the more profitable company, earning 22.
0% net margin versus 19. 8% for American States Water Company — meaning it keeps 22. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AWR leads at 30. 9% versus 27. 9% for MSEX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AWR leads at 70. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MSEX or AWR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, American States Water Company (AWR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 67x versus Middlesex Water Company's 12. 52x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) trades at 20. 0x forward P/E versus 20. 4x for American States Water Company — 0. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AWR: 17. 5% to $89. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — MSEX or AWR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Middlesex Water Company (MSEX) offers the highest yield at 2. 7%, versus 2. 5% for American States Water Company (AWR).
09Is MSEX or AWR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, American States Water Company (AWR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
17), 2. 5% yield, +120. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AWR: +120. 3%, MSEX: +63. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MSEX and AWR?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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