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MTCH vs BMBL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
MTCH vs BMBL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Internet Content & Information | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $8.60B | $422M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.52B | $931M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $663M | $-661M |
| Gross Margin | 73.8% | 71.8% |
| Operating Margin | 26.6% | -15.6% |
| Forward P/E | 13.9x | 3.5x |
| Total Debt | $3.97B | $588M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.03B | $176M |
MTCH vs BMBL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) | 100 | 24.2 | -75.8% |
| Bumble Inc. (BMBL) | 100 | 5.4 | -94.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MTCH vs BMBL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MTCH carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.10, yield 1.9%
- Rev growth 0.2%, EPS growth 17.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.0%
- 204.1% 10Y total return vs BMBL's -94.9%
BMBL is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (3.5x vs 13.9x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.2% revenue growth vs BMBL's -9.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (3.5x vs 13.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.8% margin vs BMBL's -71.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.10 vs BMBL's 1.10 | |
| Dividends | 1.9% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +37.3% vs BMBL's -34.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 15.3% ROA vs BMBL's -36.5%, ROIC 23.7% vs 13.4% |
MTCH vs BMBL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MTCH vs BMBL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTCH leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MTCH is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.5B annually — 3.8x BMBL's $931M. MTCH is the more profitable business, keeping 18.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BMBL's -71.0%. On growth, MTCH holds the edge at +3.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.5B | $931M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.0B | -$125M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $663M | -$661M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.0B | $272M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +73.8% | +71.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +26.6% | -15.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.8% | -71.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +29.0% | +29.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.9% | -14.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +45.5% | +2.3% |
Valuation Metrics
BMBL leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, BMBL's 3.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MTCH's 11.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.6B | $422M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.5B | $835M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.53x | -0.54x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.91x | 3.52x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.53x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.80x | 2.98x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.47x | 0.44x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 0.57x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.40x | 1.77x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MTCH leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MTCH scores 7/9 vs BMBL's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | -76.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +15.3% | -36.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +23.7% | +13.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +23.7% | +13.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.88x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.9B | $413M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.0B | $176M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.0B | $588M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 6.17x | -35.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MTCH leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MTCH five years ago would be worth $2,687 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $682 for BMBL. Over the past 12 months, MTCH leads with a +37.3% total return vs BMBL's -34.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MTCH at 5.5% vs BMBL's -40.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.7% | 0.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +37.3% | -34.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +17.3% | -79.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.1% | -93.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +204.1% | -94.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +5.5% | -40.7% |
Risk & Volatility
MTCH leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MTCH is the less volatile stock with a 1.10 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BMBL's 1.10 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MTCH currently trades 94.3% from its 52-week high vs BMBL's 41.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.10x | 1.10x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $39.20 | $8.64 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $26.80 | $2.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +94.3% | +41.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.6 | 37.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.5M | 4.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MTCH as "Buy" and BMBL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.3% upside for BMBL (target: $4) vs 11.3% for MTCH (target: $41). MTCH is the only dividend payer here at 1.92% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $41.13 | $4.10 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 32 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.9% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.71 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +9.2% | +6.8% |
MTCH leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BMBL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
MTCH vs BMBL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MTCH or BMBL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the stronger pick with 0. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -9. 9% for Bumble Inc. (BMBL). Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) offers the better valuation at 15. 5x trailing P/E (13. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MTCH or BMBL?
On forward P/E, Bumble Inc.
is actually cheaper at 3. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MTCH or BMBL?
Over the past 5 years, Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) delivered a total return of -73. 1%, compared to -93. 2% for Bumble Inc. (BMBL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MTCH returned +204. 1% versus BMBL's -94. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MTCH or BMBL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 10β versus Bumble Inc. 's 1. 10β — meaning BMBL is approximately 0% more volatile than MTCH relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MTCH or BMBL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is pulling ahead at 0. 2% versus -9. 9% for Bumble Inc. (BMBL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Match Group, Inc. grew EPS 17. 8% year-over-year, compared to -44. 9% for Bumble Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MTCH leads at 3. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MTCH or BMBL?
Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the more profitable company, earning 17. 6% net margin versus -72. 7% for Bumble Inc. — meaning it keeps 17. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BMBL leads at 26. 3% versus 25. 0% for MTCH. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MTCH leads at 72. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MTCH or BMBL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Bumble Inc.
(BMBL) trades at 3. 5x forward P/E versus 13. 9x for Match Group, Inc. — 10. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BMBL: 13. 3% to $4. 10.
08Which pays a better dividend — MTCH or BMBL?
In this comparison, MTCH (1.
9% yield) pays a dividend. BMBL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MTCH or BMBL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Match Group, Inc.
(MTCH) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 10), 1. 9% yield, +204. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MTCH: +204. 1%, BMBL: -94. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MTCH and BMBL?
These companies operate in different sectors (MTCH (Communication Services) and BMBL (Technology)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MTCH is a small-cap deep-value stock; BMBL is a small-cap quality compounder stock. MTCH pays a dividend while BMBL does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
Find Stocks Like These
Explore pre-built screens for each stock's profile, or build a custom screen to find stocks that outperform both.
- Sector: Communication Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Net Margin > 11%
- Dividend Yield > 0.7%
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