Industrial - Machinery
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MWA vs NWN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
MWA vs NWN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Regulated Gas |
| Market Cap | $4.24B | $2.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.46B | $1.29B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $207M | $123M |
| Gross Margin | 37.6% | 22.4% |
| Operating Margin | 19.4% | 26.9% |
| Forward P/E | 18.8x | 16.0x |
| Total Debt | $452M | $2.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $432M | $41M |
MWA vs NWN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mueller Water Produ… (MWA) | 100 | 290.6 | +190.6% |
| Northwest Natural H… (NWN) | 100 | 75.9 | -24.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MWA vs NWN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MWA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 181.9% 10Y total return vs NWN's 21.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.02, Low D/E 46.0%, current ratio 3.54x
- PEG 0.85 vs NWN's 4.87
NWN is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta -0.05, yield 3.9%
- Rev growth 11.8%, EPS growth 36.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.5%
- 11.8% revenue growth vs MWA's 8.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.8% revenue growth vs MWA's 8.7% | |
| Value | PEG 0.85 vs 4.87 | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.2% margin vs NWN's 9.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (46.0% vs 187.0%) | |
| Dividends | 1.0% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs NWN's 3.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +16.0% vs MWA's +8.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.4% ROA vs NWN's 2.0%, ROIC 19.7% vs 8.1% |
MWA vs NWN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MWA vs NWN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MWA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MWA and NWN operate at a comparable scale, with $1.5B and $1.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 14.2% (MWA) to 9.6% (NWN). On growth, MWA holds the edge at +5.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $1.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $333M | $496M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $207M | $123M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $171M | -$333M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +37.6% | +22.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +19.4% | +26.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +14.2% | +9.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +11.7% | -25.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +5.5% | -0.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.2% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
NWN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 17.6x trailing earnings, NWN trades at a 21% valuation discount to MWA's 22.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MWA offers better value at 1.01x vs NWN's 4.87x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.2B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.3B | $4.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 22.25x | 17.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.82x | 15.97x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.01x | 4.87x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.20x | 7.82x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.97x | 1.59x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.35x | 1.35x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 24.68x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
MWA leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MWA delivers a 20.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $21 in annual profit, vs $8 for NWN. MWA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.46x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NWN's 1.87x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MWA scores 7/9 vs NWN's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.7% | +8.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +11.4% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +19.7% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +17.8% | +8.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.46x | 1.87x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $20M | $2.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $432M | $41M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $452M | $2.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 22.98x | 2.39x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MWA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MWA five years ago would be worth $19,079 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,682 for NWN. Over the past 12 months, NWN leads with a +16.0% total return vs MWA's +8.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MWA at 23.9% vs NWN's 5.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.7% | +6.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +8.3% | +16.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +90.4% | +16.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +90.8% | +6.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +181.9% | +21.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +23.9% | +5.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MWA and NWN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NWN is the less volatile stock with a -0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MWA's 1.02 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.02x | -0.05x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.00 | $55.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $22.74 | $39.10 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.5% | +86.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.5 | 44.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 993K | 257K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MWA and NWN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MWA as "Hold" and NWN as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 22.8% upside for MWA (target: $33) vs 17.1% for NWN (target: $57). For income investors, NWN offers the higher dividend yield at 3.88% vs MWA's 0.98%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $33.33 | $57.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 8 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.0% | +3.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 7 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.27 | $1.89 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.4% | 0.0% |
MWA leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NWN leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
MWA vs NWN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MWA or NWN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is the stronger pick with 11.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 7% for Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA). Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) offers the better valuation at 17. 6x trailing P/E (16. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) a "Hold" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MWA or NWN?
On trailing P/E, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is the cheapest at 17.
6x versus Mueller Water Products, Inc. at 22. 2x. On forward P/E, Northwest Natural Holding Company is actually cheaper at 16. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MWA or NWN?
Over the past 5 years, Mueller Water Products, Inc.
(MWA) delivered a total return of +90. 8%, compared to +6. 8% for Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MWA returned +181. 9% versus NWN's +21. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MWA or NWN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
05β versus Mueller Water Products, Inc. 's 1. 02β — meaning MWA is approximately -2032% more volatile than NWN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 46% versus 187% for Northwest Natural Holding Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MWA or NWN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is pulling ahead at 11.
8% versus 8. 7% for Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mueller Water Products, Inc. grew EPS 64. 9% year-over-year, compared to 36. 5% for Northwest Natural Holding Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, NWN leads at 7. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MWA or NWN?
Mueller Water Products, Inc.
(MWA) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 4% net margin versus 8. 8% for Northwest Natural Holding Company — meaning it keeps 13. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NWN leads at 31. 4% versus 18. 2% for MWA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NWN leads at 39. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MWA or NWN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) trades at 16.
0x forward P/E versus 18. 8x for Mueller Water Products, Inc. — 2. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MWA: 22. 8% to $33. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — MWA or NWN?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) offers the highest yield at 3. 9%, versus 1. 0% for Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA).
09Is MWA or NWN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
05), 3. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NWN: +21. 3%, MWA: +181. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MWA and NWN?
These companies operate in different sectors (MWA (Industrials) and NWN (Utilities)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MWA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NWN is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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