Software - Application
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NATL vs DBD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Application
NATL vs DBD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Application |
| Market Cap | $3.26B | $2.75B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.38B | $3.86B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $174M | $110M |
| Gross Margin | 24.1% | 26.0% |
| Operating Margin | 5.7% | 8.0% |
| Forward P/E | 9.1x | 14.4x |
| Total Debt | $225M | $1.17B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $456M | $387M |
NATL vs DBD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCR Atleos Corporat… (NATL) | 100 | 182.2 | +82.2% |
| Diebold Nixdorf, In… (DBD) | 100 | 272.4 | +172.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NATL vs DBD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NATL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.16
- Lower volatility, beta 1.16, Low D/E 56.0%, current ratio 0.96x
- Beta 1.16, current ratio 0.96x
DBD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 1.5%, EPS growth 6.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.2%
- 289.1% 10Y total return vs NATL's 99.0%
- 1.5% revenue growth vs NATL's 0.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.5% revenue growth vs NATL's 0.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.1x vs 14.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs DBD's 2.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.16 vs DBD's 1.21, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +79.3% vs NATL's +50.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs DBD's 2.9%, ROIC 23.4% vs 14.0% |
NATL vs DBD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NATL vs DBD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DBD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NATL and DBD operate at a comparable scale, with $4.4B and $3.9B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.0% (NATL) to 2.8% (DBD).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.4B | $3.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $357M | $400M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $174M | $110M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $82M | $266M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.1% | +26.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +8.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +2.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.9% | +6.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.4% | +6.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.1% | +163.6% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NATL and DBD each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.7x trailing earnings, NATL trades at a 33% valuation discount to DBD's 31.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NATL's 4.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than DBD's 7.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.3B | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.0B | $3.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.68x | 31.05x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.14x | 14.37x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.02x | 7.64x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.75x | 0.72x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.32x | 2.66x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.66x | 10.43x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NATL leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NATL delivers a 47.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $47 in annual profit, vs $10 for DBD. NATL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.56x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DBD's 1.06x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +47.0% | +10.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.1% | +2.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +23.4% | +14.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.5% | +14.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.56x | 1.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$231M | $787M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $456M | $387M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $225M | $1.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.62x | 6.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DBD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in DBD five years ago would be worth $38,342 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $19,777 for NATL. Over the past 12 months, DBD leads with a +79.3% total return vs NATL's +50.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DBD at 56.5% vs NATL's 25.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +18.9% | +23.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +50.3% | +79.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.8% | +283.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.8% | +283.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +99.0% | +289.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.5% | +56.5% |
Risk & Volatility
NATL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NATL is the less volatile stock with a 1.16 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than DBD's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.16x | 1.21x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $48.50 | $89.05 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.56 | $43.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.3% | +88.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 47.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 460K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NATL as "Hold" and DBD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 26.8% upside for DBD (target: $100) vs 13.9% for NATL (target: $50).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $50.40 | $100.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | +4.8% |
DBD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). NATL leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
NATL vs DBD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NATL or DBD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) is the stronger pick with 1.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 9% for NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL). NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) offers the better valuation at 20. 7x trailing P/E (9. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NATL or DBD?
On trailing P/E, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) is the cheapest at 20.
7x versus Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated at 31. 1x. On forward P/E, NCR Atleos Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NATL or DBD?
Over the past 5 years, Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) delivered a total return of +283.
4%, compared to +97. 8% for NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DBD returned +289. 1% versus NATL's +99. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NATL or DBD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
16β versus Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated's 1. 21β — meaning DBD is approximately 5% more volatile than NATL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 56% versus 106% for Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NATL or DBD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) is pulling ahead at 1.
5% versus 0. 9% for NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated grew EPS 677. 3% year-over-year, compared to 74. 0% for NCR Atleos Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, DBD leads at 3. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NATL or DBD?
NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
7% net margin versus 2. 5% for Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated — meaning it keeps 3. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NATL leads at 11. 0% versus 8. 8% for DBD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DBD leads at 26. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NATL or DBD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) trades at 9.
1x forward P/E versus 14. 4x for Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated — 5. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for DBD: 26. 8% to $100. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NATL or DBD?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is NATL or DBD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
21), +289. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (DBD: +289. 1%, NATL: +99. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NATL and DBD?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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