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NDAQ vs CME
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
NDAQ vs CME — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $50.71B | $104.61B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.22B | $6.52B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.91B | $4.24B |
| Gross Margin | 47.9% | 86.1% |
| Operating Margin | 28.4% | 64.9% |
| Forward P/E | 22.7x | 23.6x |
| Total Debt | $9.93B | $3.76B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $814M | $4.42B |
NDAQ vs CME — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) | 100 | 225.9 | +125.9% |
| CME Group Inc. (CME) | 100 | 157.9 | +57.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NDAQ vs CME
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NDAQ carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 11.1%, EPS growth 60.1%
- 351.9% 10Y total return vs CME's 291.2%
- 11.1% NII/revenue growth vs CME's 6.4%
CME is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta -0.30, yield 3.8%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.30, Low D/E 13.1%, current ratio 92.97x
- PEG 1.72 vs NDAQ's 2.12
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.1% NII/revenue growth vs CME's 6.4% | |
| Value | PEG 1.72 vs 2.12 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs CME's 0.2% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (13.1% vs 81.2%) | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs NDAQ's 1.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +15.6% vs CME's +5.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs CME's 0.2% |
NDAQ vs CME — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NDAQ vs CME — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CME leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NDAQ and CME operate at a comparable scale, with $8.2B and $6.5B in trailing revenue. CME is the more profitable business, keeping 62.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NDAQ's 21.8%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.2B | $6.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.1B | $4.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.9B | $4.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.0B | $4.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +47.9% | +86.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +28.4% | +64.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +21.8% | +62.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +24.2% | +64.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +33.8% | +21.4% |
Valuation Metrics
CME leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 25.8x trailing earnings, CME trades at a 10% valuation discount to NDAQ's 28.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CME offers better value at 1.88x vs NDAQ's 2.70x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $50.7B | $104.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $59.8B | $103.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 28.87x | 25.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.70x | 23.61x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.70x | 1.88x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.18x | 23.08x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.17x | 16.04x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.20x | 3.62x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.49x | 24.95x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CME leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NDAQ delivers a 15.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $16 in annual profit, vs $15 for CME. CME carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NDAQ's 0.81x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NDAQ scores 9/9 vs CME's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +15.9% | +15.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.4% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.1% | +10.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.2% | +3.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 9 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.81x | 0.13x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.1B | -$666M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $814M | $4.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.9B | $3.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.11x | 41.55x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — NDAQ and CME each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NDAQ five years ago would be worth $17,172 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $16,408 for CME. Over the past 12 months, NDAQ leads with a +15.6% total return vs CME's +5.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CME at 19.9% vs NDAQ's 18.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.4% | +9.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +15.6% | +5.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +67.7% | +72.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.7% | +64.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +351.9% | +291.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.8% | +19.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NDAQ and CME each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CME is the less volatile stock with a -0.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NDAQ's 0.78 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.78x | -0.30x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $101.79 | $329.16 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $77.09 | $257.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.6% | +87.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.0 | 41.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.3M | 2.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NDAQ and CME each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NDAQ as "Buy" and CME as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 28.5% upside for NDAQ (target: $115) vs 11.1% for CME (target: $320). For income investors, CME offers the higher dividend yield at 3.79% vs NDAQ's 1.17%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $114.60 | $320.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.2% | +3.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 13 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.04 | $10.92 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.2% | +0.3% |
CME leads in 3 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 3 categories are tied.
NDAQ vs CME: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NDAQ or CME a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nasdaq, Inc.
(NDAQ) is the stronger pick with 11. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 6. 4% for CME Group Inc. (CME). CME Group Inc. (CME) offers the better valuation at 25. 8x trailing P/E (23. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) a "Buy" — based on 36 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NDAQ or CME?
On trailing P/E, CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the cheapest at 25. 8x versus Nasdaq, Inc. at 28. 9x. On forward P/E, Nasdaq, Inc. is actually cheaper at 22. 7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: CME Group Inc. wins at 1. 72x versus Nasdaq, Inc. 's 2. 12x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NDAQ or CME?
Over the past 5 years, Nasdaq, Inc.
(NDAQ) delivered a total return of +71. 7%, compared to +64. 1% for CME Group Inc. (CME). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NDAQ returned +351. 9% versus CME's +291. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NDAQ or CME?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 30β versus Nasdaq, Inc. 's 0. 78β — meaning NDAQ is approximately -358% more volatile than CME relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, CME Group Inc. (CME) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 81% for Nasdaq, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NDAQ or CME?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nasdaq, Inc.
(NDAQ) is pulling ahead at 11. 1% versus 6. 4% for CME Group Inc. (CME). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nasdaq, Inc. grew EPS 60. 1% year-over-year, compared to 15. 4% for CME Group Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NDAQ or CME?
CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the more profitable company, earning 62. 0% net margin versus 21. 8% for Nasdaq, Inc. — meaning it keeps 62. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CME leads at 64. 9% versus 28. 4% for NDAQ. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CME leads at 86. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NDAQ or CME more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, CME Group Inc. (CME) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 72x versus Nasdaq, Inc. 's 2. 12x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) trades at 22. 7x forward P/E versus 23. 6x for CME Group Inc. — 0. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NDAQ: 28. 5% to $114. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — NDAQ or CME?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
CME Group Inc. (CME) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 2% for Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ).
09Is NDAQ or CME better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, CME Group Inc.
(CME) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 30), 3. 8% yield, +291. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CME: +291. 2%, NDAQ: +351. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NDAQ and CME?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NDAQ is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CME is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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