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NDAQNasdaq, Inc.
$107.12$59.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
NDAQ logo

Nasdaq, Inc.

NDAQ
NASDAQ · Exchanges & Financial Data
$107.12
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$59.88B
P/E28.9x
52W High$111.45
Volume3.33M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Fee Dominance Masks Post-Adenza Structural Erosion

Nasdaq's earnings engine is now entirely fee-driven, with non-interest income reaching 103.3% of total revenue in 2026Q3 and net interest income structurally negative at -$76M to -$81M per quarter since the 2025Q4 Adenza close.

GrowthExpanding
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationReview
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

NDAQ price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+16% Peers

P/E is 16% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 86 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 86% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 22
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Non-interest income now constitutes 103.3% of total revenue as of 2026Q3, while the efficiency ratio deteriorated from 12.9-17.9% through 2024-2025 to 25.4-38.3% across 2026 quarters, indicating operating costs are outpacing an already strong subscription, index licensing, and transaction fee base.

Analyst Consensus+5.1% target
Buy(36 analysts)
21 Buy14 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

EPS Beat and Revenue Growth

In Q4 2025, Nasdaq reported $0.96 EPS, beating analyst estimates of $0.92. 2025 net revenue hit $5.2 billion, up 13% YoY, while total revenue rose 11.05% to $8.218 billion.

Strong ARR Growth

Nasdaq’s Annualized Recurring Revenue reached $2.74 billion in Q3 2024, marking a 31% year‑over‑year increase, underscoring its recurring revenue base.

Diversification into Tech & Data

The company is shifting from a traditional exchange model to a diversified technology and data‑driven enterprise, reducing reliance on trading fees and integrating AI into market surveillance.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
NDAQ+11.74%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
NDAQ+25.63%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
NDAQ+117.27%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.25%
5-Year Return
NDAQ+58.47%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.21%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
28.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
25.9x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
19.4x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.8%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
28.9x
29.8x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
19.4x
22.0x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
26.5x
25.9x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$59.92-44.1%
Base (Fair)$76.47-28.6%
Bull$76.25-28.8%
$59.92 Bear$76.47 Base$76.25 Bull
Current Market Price: $107.12
Trades at a 40.1% premium to Base DCF ($76.47)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$8.13B+9.9% YoY
Net income FY25
$1.79B+60.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$1.99B+14.8% YoY
Operating margin FY25
28.7%+4.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)8.1%
Avg ROIC 5Y7.9%
ROE (TTM)17.3%
Piotroski Score9 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 22, 2026
$1.04+2.0%
vs $1.02
$1.5B+1.0%
vs $1.5B
Q3 2026
Jul 23, 2026
$1.07+8.7%
vs $0.98
$1.5B+3.1%
vs $1.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 23, 2026
$0.96+3.2%
vs $0.93
$1.4B+2.6%
vs $1.4B
Q1 2026
Jan 29, 2026
$0.96+4.1%
vs $0.92
$1.4B+1.9%
vs $1.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
The Motley Fool·1d ago
Nasdaq Stock Market Correction: Here's the Most Attractive Bargain in the "Magnificent Seven"

Alphabet stock is nearly 30% below its record high and trades for about 18 times forward earnings. Google Cloud revenue more than doubled last quarter, and the Gemini app has passed 1 billion users.

Barrons·2d ago
Why GM and Hilton Are Moving to the Nasdaq From NYSE

Hilton President and CEO Chris Nassetta said about the switch: “Nasdaq is closely aligned with our growth ambitions.”

GlobeNewsWire·2d ago
SEGG Media Regains Nasdaq Compliance as Q2 Revenue Grows More Than 1,500%

Nasdaq cancels November 19 hearing after Company files second-quarter Form 10-Q Nasdaq cancels November 19 hearing after Company files second-quarter Form 10-Q

GlobeNewsWire·3d ago
Nasdaq Reports October 2026 Volumes

NEW YORK, Nov. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Nasdaq (Nasdaq: NDAQ) today reported monthly volumes for October 2026 on its Investor Relations website. A data sheet showing this information can be found at: https://ir.nasdaq.com/financials/volume-statistics.

Filtered for Nasdaq, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark NDAQ against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
NDAQ logoNDAQNasdaq, Inc.Current
$107.12$59.88B28.949.86%23.71%17.28%0.97%
ICE logoICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$172.27$97.15B23.379.27%33.78%14.05%1.12%
CME logoCMECME Group Inc.
$305.89$109.99B24.937.06%63.92%16.24%3.57%
CBOE logoCBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.
$353.27$36.97B24.9815.31%28.33%26.84%0.77%
MKTX logoMKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.
$165.59$5.83B20.003.85%33.87%23.82%1.89%
TW logoTWTradeweb Markets Inc.
$127.73$27.19B29.6319.1%39.85%12.46%0.37%

Compare NDAQ vs Peers

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ICE

Most directly comparable listed peer for NDAQ.

Scale Benchmark

vs MS

Larger-name benchmark to compare NDAQ against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ICE, CME, CBOE, MKTX

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

NDAQ SEC Filings & Documents

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 1, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 12, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 21, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 22, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 23, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 24, 2026·SEC

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NDAQ Frequently Asked Questions

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is Nasdaq, Inc. growing?

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) grew revenue by 7.7% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is NDAQ profitable?

Yes. Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) earned $2.08B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 23.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does NDAQ pay dividends?

Yes. Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) pays a dividend that yields 0.97% at the current price, a small yield.

What is NDAQ's return on equity?

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) had a return on equity (ROE) of 17.3% over the trailing twelve months. That is above the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is Nasdaq, Inc.'s net interest margin?

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) has a net interest margin (NIM) of -0.2%. NIM has been under pressure due to interest rate environment.

What is Nasdaq, Inc.'s efficiency ratio?

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) has an efficiency ratio of 19.8%. This is excellent, indicating strong cost control.

What if you invested $1,000 in NDAQ back in 2000?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 26+ years of data

See returns →