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NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Regulated Gas
Regulated Gas
Regulated Gas
NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas | Regulated Gas |
| Market Cap | $7.62B | $30.09B | $5.60B | $5.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.50B | $4.88B | $2.21B | $2.47B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $686M | $1.35B | $341M | $358M |
| Gross Margin | 50.0% | 32.9% | 27.7% | 73.3% |
| Operating Margin | 41.4% | 35.9% | 24.1% | 22.1% |
| Forward P/E | 10.3x | 21.9x | 16.4x | 16.5x |
| Total Debt | $2.83B | $9.30B | $3.77B | $5.24B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $43M | $204M | $10M | $6M |
NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Fuel Gas C… (NFG) | 100 | 191.1 | +91.1% |
| Atmos Energy Corpor… (ATO) | 100 | 176.9 | +76.9% |
| New Jersey Resource… (NJR) | 100 | 158.1 | +58.1% |
| Spire Inc. (SR) | 100 | 117.3 | +17.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NFG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 17.1%, EPS growth 5.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.4%
- 17.1% revenue growth vs SR's -4.5%
- Lower P/E (10.3x vs 16.4x)
- 7.7% ROA vs SR's 2.9%, ROIC 10.6% vs 4.7%
ATO is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- 179.6% 10Y total return vs NJR's 90.4%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.00, Low D/E 68.6%, current ratio 0.67x
- 27.6% margin vs SR's 14.5%
- Lower D/E ratio (68.6% vs 157.5%)
NJR is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta -0.13, yield 3.2%, current ratio 0.73x
- +17.6% vs NFG's -0.1%
SR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 3.6%
- PEG 0.66 vs ATO's 2.48
- 3.6% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs NFG's 2.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 17.1% revenue growth vs SR's -4.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.3x vs 16.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.6% margin vs SR's 14.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (68.6% vs 157.5%) | |
| Dividends | 3.6% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs NFG's 2.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +17.6% vs NFG's -0.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.7% ROA vs SR's 2.9%, ROIC 10.6% vs 4.7% |
NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NFG leads in 2 of 6 categories
ATO leads 1 • NJR leads 1 • SR leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NFG leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ATO is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.9B annually — 2.2x NJR's $2.2B. ATO is the more profitable business, keeping 27.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SR's 14.5%. On growth, NFG holds the edge at +17.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $4.9B | $2.2B | $2.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.5B | $2.5B | $727M | $864M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $686M | $1.3B | $341M | $358M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $307M | -$2.0B | -$527M | -$2.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +50.0% | +32.9% | +27.7% | +73.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +41.4% | +35.9% | +24.1% | +22.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +27.5% | +27.6% | +15.4% | +14.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | -40.8% | -23.9% | -108.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +17.6% | +0.6% | +7.1% | -9.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.3% | +14.5% | +6.9% | +31.1% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NFG and SR each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.1x trailing earnings, NFG trades at a 42% valuation discount to ATO's 24.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SR offers better value at 0.79x vs ATO's 2.77x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.6B | $30.1B | $5.6B | $5.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.4B | $39.2B | $9.4B | $10.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.12x | 24.38x | 16.67x | 19.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.30x | 21.88x | 16.42x | 16.47x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.77x | 1.17x | 0.79x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.20x | 17.08x | 14.99x | 12.51x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.35x | 6.40x | 2.76x | 2.04x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.36x | 2.15x | 2.34x | 1.48x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 40.72x | — | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NFG leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NFG delivers a 20.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $8 for ATO. ATO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NJR's 1.58x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NFG scores 9/9 vs SR's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.4% | +7.7% | +18.7% | +10.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.7% | +4.5% | +6.0% | +2.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.6% | +5.5% | +5.5% | +4.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.8% | +6.1% | +6.8% | +5.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.92x | 0.69x | 1.58x | 1.54x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.8B | $9.1B | $3.8B | $5.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $43M | $204M | $10M | $6M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.8B | $9.3B | $3.8B | $5.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.01x | 9.61x | 4.32x | 2.62x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ATO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ATO five years ago would be worth $19,174 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,210 for SR. Over the past 12 months, NJR leads with a +17.6% total return vs NFG's -0.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ATO at 17.7% vs NJR's 6.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.6% | +8.0% | +21.8% | +3.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -0.1% | +14.1% | +17.6% | +16.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.1% | +62.9% | +21.1% | +38.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +71.4% | +91.7% | +46.6% | +32.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +82.4% | +179.6% | +90.4% | +71.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +17.7% | +6.6% | +11.5% |
Risk & Volatility
NJR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NJR is the less volatile stock with a -0.13 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SR's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NJR currently trades 96.0% from its 52-week high vs NFG's 82.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.08x | -0.00x | -0.13x | 0.06x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $97.06 | $192.51 | $57.85 | $95.31 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $77.22 | $149.98 | $43.46 | $69.94 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.6% | +94.5% | +96.0% | +89.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 26.7 | 46.0 | 44.3 | 34.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 762K | 854K | 485K | 346K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NFG and SR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NFG as "Buy", ATO as "Hold", NJR as "Buy", SR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 25.9% upside for NFG (target: $101) vs -1.6% for ATO (target: $179). For income investors, SR offers the higher dividend yield at 3.63% vs ATO's 1.90%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $101.00 | $179.00 | $55.75 | $97.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 18 | 20 | 16 | 15 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.6% | +1.9% | +3.2% | +3.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 31 | 28 | 4 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.07 | $3.45 | $1.79 | $3.10 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NFG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ATO leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
NFG vs ATO vs NJR vs SR: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NFG or ATO or NJR or SR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) is the stronger pick with 17.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 5% for Spire Inc. (SR). National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) offers the better valuation at 14. 1x trailing P/E (10. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NFG or ATO or NJR or SR?
On trailing P/E, National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) is the cheapest at 14.
1x versus Atmos Energy Corporation at 24. 4x. On forward P/E, National Fuel Gas Company is actually cheaper at 10. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Spire Inc. wins at 0. 66x versus Atmos Energy Corporation's 2. 48x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NFG or ATO or NJR or SR?
Over the past 5 years, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) delivered a total return of +91.
7%, compared to +32. 1% for Spire Inc. (SR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ATO returned +179. 6% versus SR's +71. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NFG or ATO or NJR or SR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
13β versus Spire Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning SR is approximately -149% more volatile than NJR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 158% for New Jersey Resources Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NFG or ATO or NJR or SR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) is pulling ahead at 17.
1% versus -4. 5% for Spire Inc. (SR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: National Fuel Gas Company grew EPS 576. 2% year-over-year, compared to 4. 3% for Spire Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SR leads at 4. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NFG or ATO or NJR or SR?
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is the more profitable company, earning 25.
5% net margin versus 11. 0% for Spire Inc. — meaning it keeps 25. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NFG leads at 35. 7% versus 21. 2% for SR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SR leads at 78. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NFG or ATO or NJR or SR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Spire Inc. (SR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 66x versus Atmos Energy Corporation's 2. 48x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) trades at 10. 3x forward P/E versus 21. 9x for Atmos Energy Corporation — 11. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NFG: 25. 9% to $101. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NFG or ATO or NJR or SR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Spire Inc. (SR) offers the highest yield at 3. 6%, versus 1. 9% for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO).
09Is NFG or ATO or NJR or SR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
13), 3. 2% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NJR: +90. 4%, SR: +71. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NFG and ATO and NJR and SR?
These companies operate in different sectors (NFG (Energy) and ATO (Utilities) and NJR (Utilities) and SR (Utilities)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: NFG is a small-cap high-growth stock; ATO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NJR is a small-cap deep-value stock; SR is a small-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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