Packaged Foods
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NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
Packaged Foods
NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $1.44B | $10.58B | $6.86B | $11.41B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.03B | $8.93B | $11.18B | $12.14B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $137M | $-1.26B | $13M | $489M |
| Gross Margin | 27.1% | 33.6% | 24.6% | 15.5% |
| Operating Margin | 10.7% | -8.0% | 13.1% | 6.0% |
| Forward P/E | 6.9x | 11.0x | 8.4x | 14.1x |
| Total Debt | $2.29B | $7.76B | $8.31B | $2.86B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $325M | $70M | $68M | $671M |
NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) | 100 | 47.8 | -52.2% |
| The J. M. Smucker C… (SJM) | 100 | 87.3 | -12.7% |
| Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) | 100 | 41.2 | -58.8% |
| Hormel Foods Corpor… (HRL) | 100 | 42.5 | -57.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NOMD is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and quality is your priority.
- Lower P/E (6.9x vs 14.1x)
- 4.5% margin vs SJM's -14.1%
SJM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 6.7%, EPS growth -262.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 2.9%
- 5.6% 10Y total return vs NOMD's 40.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.04, current ratio 0.81x
- 6.7% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8%
CAG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 9.8%
- Beta 0.06, yield 9.8%, current ratio 0.71x
- 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.5%
HRL is the clearest fit if your priority is efficiency.
- 3.7% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 5.3% vs -3.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 6.7% revenue growth vs CAG's -4.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.9x vs 14.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.5% margin vs SJM's -14.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs HRL's 0.15 | |
| Dividends | 9.8% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs HRL's 5.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.5% vs NOMD's -43.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs SJM's -7.7%, ROIC 5.3% vs -3.4% |
NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SJM leads in 3 of 6 categories
NOMD leads 1 • CAG leads 0 • HRL leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SJM leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
HRL is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.1B annually — 4.0x NOMD's $3.0B. NOMD is the more profitable business, keeping 4.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SJM's -14.1%. On growth, SJM holds the edge at +7.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.0B | $8.9B | $11.2B | $12.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $435M | -$595M | $1.9B | $932M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $137M | -$1.3B | $13M | $489M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $252M | $971M | $634M | $578M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +27.1% | +33.6% | +24.6% | +15.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.7% | -8.0% | +13.1% | +6.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | -14.1% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.3% | +10.9% | +5.7% | +4.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.6% | +7.0% | -6.8% | +1.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -123.1% | -9.3% | -3.4% | +6.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NOMD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 6.0x trailing earnings, CAG trades at a 75% valuation discount to HRL's 23.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NOMD's 7.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than HRL's 13.8x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.4B | $10.6B | $6.9B | $11.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.7B | $18.3B | $15.1B | $13.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 9.46x | -8.59x | 5.95x | 23.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.86x | 11.01x | 8.44x | 14.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 0.85x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.34x | — | 8.61x | 13.84x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.40x | 1.21x | 0.59x | 0.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.52x | 1.74x | 0.77x | 1.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 4.85x | 12.96x | 5.27x | 21.36x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — NOMD and CAG and HRL each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NOMD delivers a 5.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-24 for SJM. HRL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SJM's 1.28x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAG scores 6/9 vs NOMD's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.3% | -24.0% | +0.2% | +4.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.2% | -7.7% | +0.1% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.5% | -3.4% | +6.0% | +5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.2% | -4.3% | +8.2% | +6.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.92x | 1.28x | 0.93x | 0.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.0B | $7.7B | $8.2B | $2.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $325M | $70M | $68M | $671M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.3B | $7.8B | $8.3B | $2.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.52x | -1.88x | 1.56x | 6.44x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SJM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SJM five years ago would be worth $8,802 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,026 for NOMD. Over the past 12 months, SJM leads with a -7.5% total return vs NOMD's -43.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SJM at -10.6% vs CAG's -21.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.4% | +4.0% | -13.0% | -8.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -43.5% | -7.5% | -31.5% | -24.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.3% | -28.5% | -50.8% | -40.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.7% | -12.0% | -44.3% | -44.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +40.1% | +5.6% | -27.9% | -23.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -15.8% | -10.6% | -21.1% | -15.9% |
Risk & Volatility
SJM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SJM is the less volatile stock with a 0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than HRL's 0.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SJM currently trades 83.3% from its 52-week high vs NOMD's 51.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.07x | 0.04x | 0.06x | 0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.71 | $119.39 | $23.47 | $31.86 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.17 | $88.25 | $13.61 | $20.32 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.3% | +83.3% | +61.1% | +65.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.6 | 50.1 | 36.1 | 39.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 2.1M | 14.1M | 4.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CAG and HRL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NOMD as "Buy", SJM as "Hold", CAG as "Hold", HRL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 33.4% upside for NOMD (target: $14) vs 14.0% for SJM (target: $113). For income investors, CAG offers the higher dividend yield at 9.75% vs SJM's 4.30%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $13.50 | $113.38 | $17.55 | $27.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +7.1% | +4.3% | +9.8% | +5.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 15 | 6 | 34 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.61 | $4.28 | $1.40 | $1.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +16.5% | +0.0% | +0.9% | 0.0% |
SJM leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). NOMD leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
NOMD vs SJM vs CAG vs HRL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger pick with 6. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 2% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the better valuation at 6. 0x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL?
On trailing P/E, Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the cheapest at 6. 0x versus Hormel Foods Corporation at 23. 8x. On forward P/E, Nomad Foods Limited is actually cheaper at 6. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL?
Over the past 5 years, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) delivered a total return of -12. 0%, compared to -59. 7% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NOMD returned +40. 1% versus CAG's -27. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 04β versus Hormel Foods Corporation's 0. 15β — meaning HRL is approximately 258% more volatile than SJM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 128% for The J. M. Smucker Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is pulling ahead at 6. 7% versus -2. 2% for Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Conagra Brands, Inc. grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -262. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, SJM leads at 2. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL?
Conagra Brands, Inc.
(CAG) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 9% net margin versus -14. 1% for The J. M. Smucker Company — meaning it keeps 9. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAG leads at 11. 8% versus -7. 7% for SJM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SJM leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) trades at 6.
9x forward P/E versus 14. 1x for Hormel Foods Corporation — 7. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NOMD: 33. 4% to $13. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) offers the highest yield at 9. 8%, versus 4. 3% for The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM).
09Is NOMD or SJM or CAG or HRL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The J.
M. Smucker Company (SJM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 04), 4. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SJM: +5. 6%, HRL: -23. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NOMD and SJM and CAG and HRL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NOMD is a small-cap deep-value stock; SJM is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; CAG is a small-cap deep-value stock; HRL is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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