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OLLI vs BURL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Retail
OLLI vs BURL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Apparel - Retail |
| Market Cap | $5.02B | $19.40B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.65B | $11.56B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $241M | $610M |
| Gross Margin | 40.5% | 41.9% |
| Operating Margin | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Forward P/E | 21.1x | 31.3x |
| Total Debt | $686M | $3.99B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $260M | $1.23B |
OLLI vs BURL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie's Bargain Out… (OLLI) | 100 | 89.4 | -10.6% |
| Burlington Stores, … (BURL) | 100 | 146.2 | +46.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OLLI vs BURL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OLLI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.03
- Rev growth 16.6%, EPS growth 20.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.03, Low D/E 36.3%, current ratio 2.41x
BURL is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 440.2% 10Y total return vs OLLI's 221.8%
- +25.1% vs OLLI's -26.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 16.6% revenue growth vs BURL's 8.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.1x vs 31.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs BURL's 5.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.03 vs BURL's 1.30, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +25.1% vs OLLI's -26.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.5% ROA vs BURL's 6.5%, ROIC 11.1% vs 10.3% |
OLLI vs BURL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
OLLI vs BURL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OLLI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BURL is the larger business by revenue, generating $11.6B annually — 4.4x OLLI's $2.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.1% (OLLI) to 5.3% (BURL). On growth, OLLI holds the edge at +16.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.6B | $11.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $375M | $1.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $241M | $610M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $213M | $232M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.5% | +41.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.2% | +8.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.1% | +5.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.0% | +2.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.8% | +11.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.2% | +20.4% |
Valuation Metrics
OLLI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.0x trailing earnings, OLLI trades at a 35% valuation discount to BURL's 32.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, OLLI's 14.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BURL's 17.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $19.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.4B | $22.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.02x | 32.24x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.13x | 31.34x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 18.83x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.39x | 17.49x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.89x | 1.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.68x | 5.05x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.91x | 113.08x |
Profitability & Efficiency
OLLI leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BURL delivers a 29.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $13 for OLLI. OLLI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BURL's 1.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BURL scores 7/9 vs OLLI's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.3% | +29.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.5% | +6.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.1% | +10.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.4% | +12.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.36x | 1.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $426M | $2.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $260M | $1.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $686M | $4.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 11.36x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BURL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in OLLI five years ago would be worth $9,623 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,263 for BURL. Over the past 12 months, BURL leads with a +25.1% total return vs OLLI's -26.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BURL at 18.9% vs OLLI's 6.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -26.5% | +2.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -26.0% | +25.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.0% | +68.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -3.8% | -7.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +221.8% | +440.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.5% | +18.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — OLLI and BURL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
OLLI is the less volatile stock with a 1.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BURL's 1.30 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BURL currently trades 87.1% from its 52-week high vs OLLI's 57.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.03x | 1.30x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $141.74 | $351.85 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $80.81 | $218.52 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.7% | +87.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.5 | 44.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 721K |
Analyst Outlook
BURL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates OLLI as "Buy" and BURL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 70.8% upside for OLLI (target: $140) vs 8.2% for BURL (target: $332).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $139.67 | $331.88 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.4% |
OLLI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). BURL leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
OLLI vs BURL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OLLI or BURL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the stronger pick with 16. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 8. 9% for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL). Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) offers the better valuation at 21. 0x trailing P/E (21. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — OLLI or BURL?
On trailing P/E, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the cheapest at 21. 0x versus Burlington Stores, Inc. at 32. 2x. On forward P/E, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 21. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — OLLI or BURL?
Over the past 5 years, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) delivered a total return of -3. 8%, compared to -7. 4% for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BURL returned +440. 2% versus OLLI's +221. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — OLLI or BURL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 03β versus Burlington Stores, Inc. 's 1. 30β — meaning BURL is approximately 27% more volatile than OLLI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 103% for Burlington Stores, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — OLLI or BURL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is pulling ahead at 16. 6% versus 8. 9% for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Burlington Stores, Inc. grew EPS 21. 9% year-over-year, compared to 20. 4% for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, OLLI leads at 13. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — OLLI or BURL?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 1% net margin versus 5. 3% for Burlington Stores, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OLLI leads at 12. 2% versus 7. 3% for BURL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — OLLI leads at 40. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is OLLI or BURL more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) trades at 21. 1x forward P/E versus 31. 3x for Burlington Stores, Inc. — 10. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for OLLI: 70. 8% to $139. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — OLLI or BURL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is OLLI or BURL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 03), +221. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (OLLI: +221. 8%, BURL: +440. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between OLLI and BURL?
These companies operate in different sectors (OLLI (Consumer Defensive) and BURL (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: OLLI is a small-cap high-growth stock; BURL is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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