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OLLI vs GO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
OLLI vs GO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Grocery Stores |
| Market Cap | $5.02B | $789M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.65B | $4.69B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $241M | $-225M |
| Gross Margin | 40.5% | 30.3% |
| Operating Margin | 12.2% | -4.7% |
| Forward P/E | 21.1x | 16.1x |
| Total Debt | $686M | $1.81B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $260M | $70M |
OLLI vs GO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie's Bargain Out… (OLLI) | 100 | 89.4 | -10.6% |
| Grocery Outlet Hold… (GO) | 100 | 21.8 | -78.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: OLLI vs GO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
OLLI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.03
- Rev growth 16.6%, EPS growth 20.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.2%
- 221.8% 10Y total return vs GO's -71.8%
GO is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 0.62, current ratio 1.37x
- Lower P/E (16.1x vs 21.1x)
- Beta 0.62 vs OLLI's 1.03
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 16.6% revenue growth vs GO's 7.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.1x vs 21.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs GO's -4.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.62 vs OLLI's 1.03 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -26.0% vs GO's -47.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.5% ROA vs GO's -6.9%, ROIC 11.1% vs -6.0% |
OLLI vs GO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
OLLI vs GO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OLLI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GO is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.7B annually — 1.8x OLLI's $2.6B. OLLI is the more profitable business, keeping 9.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GO's -4.8%. On growth, OLLI holds the edge at +16.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.6B | $4.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $375M | -$91M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $241M | -$225M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $213M | -$9M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.5% | +30.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +12.2% | -4.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.1% | -4.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.0% | -0.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.8% | +10.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +25.2% | -112.5% |
Valuation Metrics
GO leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $789M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.4B | $2.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.02x | -3.50x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.13x | 16.12x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 18.83x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.39x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.89x | 0.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.68x | 0.80x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.91x | 33.16x |
Profitability & Efficiency
OLLI leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
OLLI delivers a 13.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $-20 for GO. OLLI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GO's 1.84x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), OLLI scores 6/9 vs GO's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +13.3% | -19.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.5% | -6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.1% | -6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.4% | -8.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.36x | 1.84x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $426M | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $260M | $70M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $686M | $1.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -6.45x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
OLLI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in OLLI five years ago would be worth $9,623 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,903 for GO. Over the past 12 months, OLLI leads with a -26.0% total return vs GO's -47.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors OLLI at 6.5% vs GO's -35.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -26.5% | -20.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -26.0% | -47.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.0% | -73.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -3.8% | -81.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +221.8% | -71.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.5% | -35.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — OLLI and GO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GO is the less volatile stock with a 0.62 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than OLLI's 1.03 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. OLLI currently trades 57.7% from its 52-week high vs GO's 41.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.03x | 0.62x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $141.74 | $19.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $80.81 | $5.66 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +57.7% | +41.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 36.5 | 55.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 4.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates OLLI as "Buy" and GO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 70.8% upside for OLLI (target: $140) vs 50.2% for GO (target: $12).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $139.67 | $12.08 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
OLLI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GO leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
OLLI vs GO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is OLLI or GO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the stronger pick with 16. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 3% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) offers the better valuation at 21. 0x trailing P/E (21. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — OLLI or GO?
On forward P/E, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
is actually cheaper at 16. 1x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — OLLI or GO?
Over the past 5 years, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) delivered a total return of -3. 8%, compared to -81. 0% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OLLI returned +221. 8% versus GO's -71. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — OLLI or GO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 62β versus Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 03β — meaning OLLI is approximately 65% more volatile than GO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 36% versus 184% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — OLLI or GO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is pulling ahead at 16. 6% versus 7. 3% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 20. 4% year-over-year, compared to -675. 0% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, OLLI leads at 13. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — OLLI or GO?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
(OLLI) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 1% net margin versus -4. 8% for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. — meaning it keeps 9. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OLLI leads at 12. 2% versus -4. 7% for GO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — OLLI leads at 40. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is OLLI or GO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) trades at 16. 1x forward P/E versus 21. 1x for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. — 5. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for OLLI: 70. 8% to $139. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — OLLI or GO?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is OLLI or GO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
(GO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 62)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GO: -71. 8%, OLLI: +221. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between OLLI and GO?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: OLLI is a small-cap high-growth stock; GO is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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