Packaged Foods
Compare Stocks
2 / 10Stock Comparison
POST vs MKC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
POST vs MKC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $4.98B | $12.29B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.36B | $6.84B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $319M | $789M |
| Gross Margin | 26.3% | 37.9% |
| Operating Margin | 10.4% | 15.7% |
| Forward P/E | 14.0x | 15.7x |
| Total Debt | $7.70B | $4.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $177M | $96M |
POST vs MKC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) | 100 | 178.7 | +78.7% |
| McCormick & Company… (MKC) | 100 | 55.4 | -44.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: POST vs MKC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
POST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 3.0%, EPS growth -2.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.7%
- 108.9% 10Y total return vs MKC's 30.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.23, current ratio 1.67x
MKC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability.
- Dividend streak 27 yrs, beta -0.03, yield 3.7%
- 11.5% margin vs POST's 3.8%
- Lower D/E ratio (69.3% vs 204.6%)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.0% revenue growth vs MKC's 1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.0x vs 15.7x), PEG 0.06 vs 14.81 | |
| Quality / Margins | 11.5% margin vs POST's 3.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (69.3% vs 204.6%) | |
| Dividends | 3.7% yield; 27-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.9% vs MKC's -32.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.0% ROA vs POST's 2.4%, ROIC 8.5% vs 5.9% |
POST vs MKC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
POST vs MKC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MKC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
POST and MKC operate at a comparable scale, with $8.4B and $6.8B in trailing revenue. MKC is the more profitable business, keeping 11.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to POST's 3.8%. On growth, POST holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.4B | $6.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.4B | $1.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $319M | $789M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $436M | $879M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +26.3% | +37.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.4% | +15.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +11.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +12.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.1% | +2.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.9% | +5.0% |
Valuation Metrics
POST leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.5x trailing earnings, MKC trades at a 12% valuation discount to POST's 18.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), POST offers better value at 0.08x vs MKC's 15.66x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $12.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.5B | $16.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.83x | 16.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.01x | 15.65x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.08x | 15.66x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.08x | 12.24x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 1.80x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.73x | 2.26x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.19x | 16.60x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MKC leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MKC delivers a 13.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $8 for POST. MKC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.69x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to POST's 2.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MKC scores 6/9 vs POST's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.5% | +13.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.9% | +8.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.0% | +10.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.05x | 0.69x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.5B | $3.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $177M | $96M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $4.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.13x | 5.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
POST leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in POST five years ago would be worth $13,393 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,278 for MKC. Over the past 12 months, POST leads with a -7.9% total return vs MKC's -32.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors POST at 4.9% vs MKC's -15.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.1% | -27.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.9% | -32.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.5% | -39.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.9% | -37.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +108.9% | +30.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.9% | -15.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — POST and MKC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MKC is the less volatile stock with a -0.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than POST's 0.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. POST currently trades 88.5% from its 52-week high vs MKC's 62.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.23x | -0.03x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $117.28 | $78.16 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $94.14 | $47.31 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.5% | +62.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 33.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 683K | 4.0M |
Analyst Outlook
MKC leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates POST as "Buy" and MKC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 51.0% upside for MKC (target: $73) vs 15.2% for POST (target: $120). MKC is the only dividend payer here at 3.70% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $119.50 | $73.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 30 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 27 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.79 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +14.3% | +0.3% |
MKC leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). POST leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
POST vs MKC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is POST or MKC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) is the stronger pick with 3. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) offers the better valuation at 16. 5x trailing P/E (15. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — POST or MKC?
On trailing P/E, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the cheapest at 16.
5x versus Post Holdings, Inc. at 18. 8x. On forward P/E, Post Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 14. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Post Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 06x versus McCormick & Company, Incorporated's 14. 81x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — POST or MKC?
Over the past 5 years, Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) delivered a total return of +33. 9%, compared to -37. 2% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: POST returned +108. 9% versus MKC's +30. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — POST or MKC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
03β versus Post Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 23β — meaning POST is approximately -904% more volatile than MKC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 69% versus 2% for Post Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — POST or MKC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) is pulling ahead at 3. 0% versus 1. 7% for McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: McCormick & Company, Incorporated grew EPS 0. 3% year-over-year, compared to -2. 3% for Post Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, POST leads at 11. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — POST or MKC?
McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the more profitable company, earning 11.
5% net margin versus 4. 1% for Post Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 11. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MKC leads at 16. 0% versus 10. 4% for POST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MKC leads at 37. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is POST or MKC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 06x versus McCormick & Company, Incorporated's 14. 81x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) trades at 14. 0x forward P/E versus 15. 7x for McCormick & Company, Incorporated — 1. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MKC: 51. 0% to $73. 20.
08Which pays a better dividend — POST or MKC?
In this comparison, MKC (3.
7% yield) pays a dividend. POST does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is POST or MKC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
03), 3. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MKC: +30. 1%, POST: +108. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between POST and MKC?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: POST is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MKC is a mid-cap deep-value stock. MKC pays a dividend while POST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
Find Stocks Like These
Explore pre-built screens for each stock's profile, or build a custom screen to find stocks that outperform both.
You Might Also Compare
Based on how these companies actually compete and overlap — not just which sector they're filed under.