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RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
Security & Protection Services
Aerospace & Defense
RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Security & Protection Services | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $622M | $32.51B | $6.59B | $647M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $552M | $2.98B | $1.92B | $486M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-12M | $206M | $291M | $12M |
| Gross Margin | 14.4% | 59.3% | 46.8% | 26.4% |
| Operating Margin | -4.1% | 1.3% | 22.0% | 4.6% |
| Forward P/E | 21.2x | 52.5x | 19.2x | 52.9x |
| Total Debt | $2M | $1.91B | $627M | $115M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $18M | $1.20B | $165M | $25M |
RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm, Ruger & Comp… (RGR) | 100 | 62.6 | -37.4% |
| Axon Enterprise, In… (AXON) | 100 | 531.3 | +431.3% |
| MSA Safety Incorpor… (MSA) | 100 | 142.9 | +42.9% |
| Smith & Wesson Bran… (SWBI) | 100 | 160.0 | +60.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
RGR lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
AXON is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 33.5%, EPS growth -68.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 32.7%
- 20.7% 10Y total return vs MSA's 290.0%
- 33.5% revenue growth vs SWBI's -11.4%
MSA carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for value and quality.
- Lower P/E (19.2x vs 52.9x)
- 15.2% margin vs RGR's -2.2%
- 1.2% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs SWBI's 3.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
- 11.4% ROA vs RGR's -3.5%, ROIC 17.9% vs -3.0%
SWBI is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.70, yield 3.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.70, Low D/E 30.8%, current ratio 4.16x
- Beta 0.70, yield 3.6%, current ratio 4.16x
- Beta 0.70 vs AXON's 1.06, lower leverage
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 33.5% revenue growth vs SWBI's -11.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.2x vs 52.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.2% margin vs RGR's -2.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.70 vs AXON's 1.06, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs SWBI's 3.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +59.9% vs AXON's -41.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.4% ROA vs RGR's -3.5%, ROIC 17.9% vs -3.0% |
RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
MSA leads in 2 of 6 categories
RGR leads 1 • AXON leads 1 • SWBI leads 1 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSA leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AXON is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.0B annually — 6.1x SWBI's $486M. MSA is the more profitable business, keeping 15.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to RGR's -2.2%. On growth, AXON holds the edge at +33.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $552M | $3.0B | $1.9B | $486M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$5M | $97M | $496M | $30M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$12M | $206M | $291M | $12M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $42M | $20M | $309M | $73M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +14.4% | +59.3% | +46.8% | +26.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -4.1% | +1.3% | +22.0% | +4.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.2% | +6.9% | +15.2% | +2.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.7% | +0.7% | +16.1% | +15.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | +33.7% | +10.0% | +17.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -97.8% | +89.8% | +21.2% | +122.4% |
Valuation Metrics
RGR leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 24.0x trailing earnings, MSA trades at a 91% valuation discount to AXON's 267.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SWBI's 13.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AXON's 1575.7x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $622M | $32.5B | $6.6B | $647M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $606M | $33.2B | $7.1B | $736M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -144.59x | 267.25x | 23.97x | 48.47x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.22x | 52.50x | 19.21x | 52.87x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 1.37x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 53.81x | 1575.65x | 14.89x | 13.21x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.14x | 11.70x | 3.51x | 1.36x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.23x | 12.44x | 4.89x | 1.73x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.18x | 433.05x | 22.30x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
MSA leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MSA delivers a 22.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $-4 for RGR. RGR carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AXON's 0.59x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AXON scores 6/9 vs SWBI's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -4.2% | +6.6% | +22.0% | +3.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.5% | +3.1% | +11.4% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.0% | -1.3% | +17.9% | +4.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.8% | -1.5% | +19.2% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.59x | 0.46x | 0.31x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$17M | $709M | $462M | $90M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $18M | $1.2B | $165M | $25M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2M | $1.9B | $627M | $115M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -335.34x | 1.69x | 12.70x | 5.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AXON leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AXON five years ago would be worth $31,282 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,275 for RGR. Over the past 12 months, SWBI leads with a +59.9% total return vs AXON's -41.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AXON at 22.1% vs RGR's -8.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +16.9% | -28.4% | +5.1% | +47.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +11.7% | -41.2% | +9.2% | +59.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -23.1% | +81.9% | +30.1% | +34.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.2% | +212.8% | +7.9% | -14.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -4.9% | +2074.2% | +290.0% | -4.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.4% | +22.1% | +9.2% | +10.5% |
Risk & Volatility
SWBI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SWBI is the less volatile stock with a 0.70 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AXON's 1.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SWBI currently trades 92.1% from its 52-week high vs AXON's 45.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.94x | 1.06x | 0.92x | 0.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $48.21 | $885.92 | $208.92 | $15.79 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $28.33 | $339.01 | $151.10 | $7.73 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.0% | +45.6% | +81.3% | +92.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.6 | 55.9 | 52.4 | 48.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 163K | 1.0M | 210K | 597K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MSA and SWBI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: RGR as "Buy", AXON as "Buy", MSA as "Buy", SWBI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 62.0% upside for AXON (target: $654) vs 4.9% for SWBI (target: $15). For income investors, SWBI offers the higher dividend yield at 3.58% vs MSA's 1.23%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $46.00 | $653.89 | $222.33 | $15.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 21 | 11 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.6% | — | +1.2% | +3.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — | 12 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.62 | — | $2.09 | $0.52 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.2% | 0.0% | +1.4% | +3.9% |
MSA leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). RGR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
RGR vs AXON vs MSA vs SWBI: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) is the stronger pick with 33. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -11. 4% for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI). MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) offers the better valuation at 24. 0x trailing P/E (19. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI?
On trailing P/E, MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) is the cheapest at 24.
0x versus Axon Enterprise, Inc. at 267. 2x. On forward P/E, MSA Safety Incorporated is actually cheaper at 19. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI?
Over the past 5 years, Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) delivered a total return of +212. 8%, compared to -27. 2% for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AXON returned +20. 7% versus RGR's -4. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
(SWBI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 70β versus Axon Enterprise, Inc. 's 1. 06β — meaning AXON is approximately 51% more volatile than SWBI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 59% for Axon Enterprise, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Axon Enterprise, Inc.
(AXON) is pulling ahead at 33. 5% versus -11. 4% for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: MSA Safety Incorporated grew EPS -1. 7% year-over-year, compared to -115. 3% for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AXON leads at 32. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI?
MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) is the more profitable company, earning 14.
9% net margin versus -0. 8% for Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. — meaning it keeps 14. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSA leads at 21. 4% versus -2. 2% for AXON. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AXON leads at 59. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) trades at 19.
2x forward P/E versus 52. 9x for Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. — 33. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AXON: 62. 0% to $653. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI?
In this comparison, SWBI (3.
6% yield), RGR (1. 6% yield), MSA (1. 2% yield) pay a dividend. AXON does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is RGR or AXON or MSA or SWBI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
92), 1. 2% yield, +290. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSA: +290. 0%, AXON: +20. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between RGR and AXON and MSA and SWBI?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: RGR is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AXON is a mid-cap high-growth stock; MSA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SWBI is a small-cap income-oriented stock. RGR, MSA, SWBI pay a dividend while AXON does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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