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SHAK vs BROS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
SHAK vs BROS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $3.89B | $7.50B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.45B | $1.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $46M | $81M |
| Gross Margin | 18.0% | 25.3% |
| Operating Margin | 4.8% | 9.4% |
| Forward P/E | 70.0x | 66.5x |
| Total Debt | $902M | $1.09B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $360M | $269M |
SHAK vs BROS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 123.0 | +23.0% |
| Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) | 100 | 136.3 | +36.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SHAK vs BROS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SHAK is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.75
- 181.2% 10Y total return vs BROS's 61.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.75, current ratio 1.76x
BROS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 27.9%, EPS growth 103.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 30.4%
- 27.9% revenue growth vs SHAK's 15.4%
- Lower P/E (66.5x vs 70.0x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 27.9% revenue growth vs SHAK's 15.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (66.5x vs 70.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.6% margin vs SHAK's 3.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.75 vs BROS's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -0.9% vs SHAK's -2.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.7% ROA vs SHAK's 2.5%, ROIC 7.7% vs 6.0% |
SHAK vs BROS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SHAK vs BROS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BROS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BROS and SHAK operate at a comparable scale, with $1.7B and $1.4B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 4.6% (BROS) to 3.2% (SHAK). On growth, BROS holds the edge at +30.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.4B | $1.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $176M | $244M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $46M | $81M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $57M | $148M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.0% | +25.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | +9.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +4.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.9% | +8.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +21.9% | +30.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +33.3% | 0.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SHAK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 88.6x trailing earnings, SHAK trades at a 6% valuation discount to BROS's 93.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SHAK's 23.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than BROS's 30.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.9B | $7.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.4B | $8.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 88.55x | 93.75x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 69.99x | 66.49x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.02x | 30.12x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.69x | 4.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.29x | 8.27x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 68.77x | 137.91x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BROS leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BROS delivers a 9.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $9 for SHAK. BROS carries lower financial leverage with a 1.21x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SHAK's 1.63x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SHAK scores 7/9 vs BROS's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.7% | +9.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | +2.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | +7.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.4% | +6.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.63x | 1.21x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $542M | $820M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $360M | $269M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $902M | $1.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 14.47x | 9.35x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BROS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BROS five years ago would be worth $16,101 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,138 for SHAK. Over the past 12 months, BROS leads with a -0.9% total return vs SHAK's -2.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BROS at 22.3% vs SHAK's 13.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.6% | -5.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -2.2% | -0.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +44.2% | +83.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.6% | +61.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +181.2% | +61.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +13.0% | +22.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SHAK and BROS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SHAK is the less volatile stock with a 1.75 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BROS's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BROS currently trades 75.8% from its 52-week high vs SHAK's 66.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.75x | 1.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $144.65 | $77.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $76.51 | $44.58 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +66.7% | +75.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.2 | 58.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 3.9M |
Analyst Outlook
BROS leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SHAK as "Hold" and BROS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 26.1% upside for BROS (target: $74) vs 25.2% for SHAK (target: $121).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $120.89 | $74.45 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 3 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BROS leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SHAK leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
SHAK vs BROS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SHAK or BROS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Dutch Bros Inc.
(BROS) is the stronger pick with 27. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 15. 4% for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) offers the better valuation at 88. 6x trailing P/E (70. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SHAK or BROS?
On trailing P/E, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the cheapest at 88. 6x versus Dutch Bros Inc. at 93. 7x. On forward P/E, Dutch Bros Inc. is actually cheaper at 66. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SHAK or BROS?
Over the past 5 years, Dutch Bros Inc.
(BROS) delivered a total return of +61. 0%, compared to -8. 6% for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHAK returned +181. 2% versus BROS's +61. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SHAK or BROS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 75β versus Dutch Bros Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning BROS is approximately 4% more volatile than SHAK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 121% versus 163% for Shake Shack Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SHAK or BROS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Dutch Bros Inc.
(BROS) is pulling ahead at 27. 9% versus 15. 4% for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to 103. 2% for Dutch Bros Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, BROS leads at 30. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SHAK or BROS?
Dutch Bros Inc.
(BROS) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 9% net margin versus 3. 2% for Shake Shack Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BROS leads at 9. 8% versus 5. 9% for SHAK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BROS leads at 25. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SHAK or BROS more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Dutch Bros Inc.
(BROS) trades at 66. 5x forward P/E versus 70. 0x for Shake Shack Inc. — 3. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BROS: 26. 1% to $74. 45.
08Which pays a better dividend — SHAK or BROS?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is SHAK or BROS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+181. 2% 10Y return). Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SHAK: +181. 2%, BROS: +61. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SHAK and BROS?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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