Packaging & Containers
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SW vs IP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
SW vs IP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $21.78B | $17.49B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $31.23B | $24.97B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $380M | $-3.35B |
| Gross Margin | 18.4% | 27.8% |
| Operating Margin | 6.0% | -10.5% |
| Forward P/E | 17.4x | 23.4x |
| Total Debt | $13.77B | $10.80B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $892M | $1.15B |
SW vs IP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) | 100 | 148.1 | +48.1% |
| International Paper… (IP) | 100 | 102.5 | +2.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SW vs IP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SW carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 53.0%, EPS growth 68.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 35.2%
- 63.8% 10Y total return vs IP's 29.1%
- 53.0% revenue growth vs IP's 33.7%
IP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.21, yield 5.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.21, Low D/E 72.9%, current ratio 1.28x
- Beta 1.21, yield 5.6%, current ratio 1.28x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 53.0% revenue growth vs IP's 33.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (17.4x vs 23.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.2% margin vs IP's -13.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.21 vs SW's 1.39, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 5.6% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs SW's 3.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +3.8% vs IP's -21.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.8% ROA vs IP's -8.5%, ROIC 5.4% vs -11.3% |
SW vs IP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SW vs IP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — SW and IP each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SW and IP operate at a comparable scale, with $31.2B and $25.0B in trailing revenue. SW is the more profitable business, keeping 1.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to IP's -13.4%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $31.2B | $25.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.8B | $154M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $380M | -$3.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.0B | $553M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.4% | +27.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | -10.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.2% | -13.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.3% | +2.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.7% | +1.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -83.6% | +145.8% |
Valuation Metrics
SW leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, SW's 7.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than IP's 1292.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $21.8B | $17.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $34.7B | $27.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 31.24x | -4.92x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.45x | 23.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.26x | 1292.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.70x | 0.70x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.19x | 1.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 21.33x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
SW leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SW delivers a 2.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $2 in annual profit, vs $-20 for IP. IP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.73x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SW's 0.75x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SW scores 7/9 vs IP's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +2.1% | -20.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.8% | -8.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.4% | -11.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.0% | -11.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.75x | 0.73x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $12.9B | $9.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $892M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $13.8B | $10.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.38x | -8.89x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SW leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SW five years ago would be worth $8,182 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,280 for IP. Over the past 12 months, SW leads with a +3.8% total return vs IP's -21.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SW at 17.7% vs IP's 6.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.1% | -15.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +3.8% | -21.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +63.1% | +20.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -18.2% | -27.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +63.8% | +29.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.7% | +6.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SW and IP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
IP is the less volatile stock with a 1.21 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SW's 1.39 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SW currently trades 78.9% from its 52-week high vs IP's 58.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.39x | 1.21x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $52.65 | $56.13 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $32.73 | $29.45 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.9% | +58.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.2 | 44.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.5M | 6.7M |
Analyst Outlook
IP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SW as "Buy" and IP as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.9% upside for IP (target: $46) vs 28.9% for SW (target: $54). For income investors, IP offers the higher dividend yield at 5.60% vs SW's 3.50%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $53.57 | $46.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 11 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.5% | +5.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.46 | $1.85 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.4% |
SW leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). IP leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
SW vs IP: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SW or IP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) is the stronger pick with 53.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 33. 7% for International Paper Company (IP). Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) offers the better valuation at 31. 2x trailing P/E (17. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SW or IP?
On forward P/E, Smurfit Westrock Plc is actually cheaper at 17.
4x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SW or IP?
Over the past 5 years, Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) delivered a total return of -18.
2%, compared to -27. 2% for International Paper Company (IP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SW returned +63. 8% versus IP's +29. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SW or IP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), International Paper Company (IP) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
21β versus Smurfit Westrock Plc's 1. 39β — meaning SW is approximately 14% more volatile than IP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, International Paper Company (IP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 73% versus 75% for Smurfit Westrock Plc — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SW or IP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) is pulling ahead at 53.
0% versus 33. 7% for International Paper Company (IP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Smurfit Westrock Plc grew EPS 68. 4% year-over-year, compared to -527. 4% for International Paper Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, SW leads at 35. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SW or IP?
Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) is the more profitable company, earning 2.
2% net margin versus -14. 1% for International Paper Company — meaning it keeps 2. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SW leads at 7. 1% versus -11. 3% for IP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — IP leads at 29. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SW or IP more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) trades at 17.
4x forward P/E versus 23. 4x for International Paper Company — 6. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for IP: 39. 9% to $46. 20.
08Which pays a better dividend — SW or IP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
International Paper Company (IP) offers the highest yield at 5. 6%, versus 3. 5% for Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW).
09Is SW or IP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, International Paper Company (IP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
21), 5. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (IP: +29. 1%, SW: +63. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SW and IP?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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