Independent Power Producers
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TAC vs AES
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Diversified Utilities
TAC vs AES — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Independent Power Producers | Diversified Utilities |
| Market Cap | $3.79B | $10.18B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.21B | $12.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-171M | $1.05B |
| Gross Margin | 40.2% | 14.2% |
| Operating Margin | -2.6% | 11.8% |
| Forward P/E | 78.1x | 6.2x |
| Total Debt | $4.48B | $30.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $283M | $2.07B |
TAC vs AES — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TransAlta Corporati… (TAC) | 100 | 218.7 | +118.7% |
| The AES Corporation (AES) | 100 | 114.3 | +14.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TAC vs AES
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TAC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 171.5% 10Y total return vs AES's 81.6%
- 1.4% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs AES's 4.9%
- +52.1% vs AES's +45.5%
AES carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.01, yield 4.9%
- Rev growth -0.4%, EPS growth -46.6%, 3Y rev CAGR -1.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.01, current ratio 0.77x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -0.4% revenue growth vs TAC's -15.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.2x vs 78.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.4% margin vs TAC's -7.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.01 vs TAC's 1.21, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.4% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs AES's 4.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +52.1% vs AES's +45.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.1% ROA vs TAC's -1.9%, ROIC 3.9% vs -2.8% |
TAC vs AES — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
TAC vs AES — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — TAC and AES each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AES is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.5B annually — 5.6x TAC's $2.2B. AES is the more profitable business, keeping 8.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TAC's -7.7%. On growth, AES holds the edge at +8.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.2B | $12.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $522M | $2.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$171M | $1.1B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $383M | -$1.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.2% | +14.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -2.6% | +11.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.7% | +8.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.3% | -11.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -25.3% | +8.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -70.7% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AES leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, AES's 11.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than TAC's 22.6x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.8B | $10.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.9B | $38.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -27.22x | 11.33x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 78.06x | 6.16x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.14x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 22.65x | 11.22x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.15x | 0.83x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.54x | 0.85x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 22.02x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AES leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AES delivers a 10.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $-11 for TAC. AES carries lower financial leverage with a 2.54x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TAC's 3.06x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AES scores 5/9 vs TAC's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -11.0% | +10.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.9% | +2.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -2.8% | +3.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -3.2% | +4.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.06x | 2.54x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.2B | $28.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $283M | $2.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.5B | $30.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.77x | 1.05x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TAC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TAC five years ago would be worth $13,985 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,833 for AES. Over the past 12 months, TAC leads with a +52.1% total return vs AES's +45.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TAC at 10.8% vs AES's -9.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.6% | -1.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +52.1% | +45.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.1% | -24.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +39.8% | -31.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +171.5% | +81.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.8% | -9.0% |
Risk & Volatility
AES leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AES is the less volatile stock with a 1.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TAC's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AES currently trades 80.9% from its 52-week high vs TAC's 71.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.21x | 1.01x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.88 | $17.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.34 | $9.46 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +71.4% | +80.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.3 | 44.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 13.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TAC and AES each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TAC as "Buy" and AES as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 27.8% upside for AES (target: $18) vs 25.3% for TAC (target: $16). For income investors, AES offers the higher dividend yield at 4.93% vs TAC's 1.43%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.00 | $18.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 9 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.4% | +4.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.25 | $0.70 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.5% | 0.0% |
AES leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). TAC leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
TAC vs AES: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TAC or AES a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The AES Corporation (AES) is the stronger pick with -0.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -15. 5% for TransAlta Corporation (TAC). The AES Corporation (AES) offers the better valuation at 11. 3x trailing P/E (6. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TransAlta Corporation (TAC) a "Buy" — based on 9 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TAC or AES?
On forward P/E, The AES Corporation is actually cheaper at 6.
2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TAC or AES?
Over the past 5 years, TransAlta Corporation (TAC) delivered a total return of +39.
8%, compared to -31. 7% for The AES Corporation (AES). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TAC returned +171. 5% versus AES's +81. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TAC or AES?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The AES Corporation (AES) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
01β versus TransAlta Corporation's 1. 21β — meaning TAC is approximately 20% more volatile than AES relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The AES Corporation (AES) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 3% for TransAlta Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TAC or AES?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The AES Corporation (AES) is pulling ahead at -0.
4% versus -15. 5% for TransAlta Corporation (TAC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The AES Corporation grew EPS -46. 6% year-over-year, compared to -206. 7% for TransAlta Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, AES leads at -1. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TAC or AES?
The AES Corporation (AES) is the more profitable company, earning 7.
8% net margin versus -5. 7% for TransAlta Corporation — meaning it keeps 7. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AES leads at 16. 1% versus -9. 2% for TAC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TAC leads at 32. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TAC or AES more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The AES Corporation (AES) trades at 6.
2x forward P/E versus 78. 1x for TransAlta Corporation — 71. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AES: 27. 8% to $18. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — TAC or AES?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The AES Corporation (AES) offers the highest yield at 4. 9%, versus 1. 4% for TransAlta Corporation (TAC).
09Is TAC or AES better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The AES Corporation (AES) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
01), 4. 9% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AES: +81. 6%, TAC: +171. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TAC and AES?
Both stocks operate in the null sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TAC is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AES is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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