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AESThe AES Corporation
$14.82$10.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
AES logo

The AES Corporation

AES
NYSE · Diversified Utilities
$14.82
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$10.57B
P/E11.8x
52W High$17.65
Volume13.97M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Rate Base Growth Offsets Leverage and Coverage Risks

AES is executing a large-scale rate base expansion, with PPE net up 22.5% year-over-year to $40.7B in 2026Q2, driving revenue growth of 19.9% and operating margin expansion to 18.4%. However, this growth is increasingly debt-funded, with total debt at $32.1B a...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStable
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

AES price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-46% Peers

P/E is 46% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 57 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 57)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Nov 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue grew 19.9% year-over-year to $3.4B in 2026Q2, with operating margin expanding to 18.4% from 14.2% a year earlier, indicating improved cost recovery and rate base growth.

Analyst Consensus+26.6% target
Hold(21 analysts)
9 Buy12 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Clean Energy Focus and Growth

AES is actively expanding its renewables portfolio, with renewables EBITDA growing significantly year-over-year. The company is seeing strong demand for renewable energy solutions, particularly from data centers, leading to substantial Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) signed. Their diversified generation portfolio, with over 53% renewable energy, is expected to capture a larger share of EBITDA by 2027.

Financial Stability and Growth Prospects

AES has a robust capital expenditure plan to enhance its energy infrastructure and is transitioning from coal to gas generation. A significant portion of its EBITDA comes from regulated utility operations, which are projected to achieve a ~10% compound annual growth rate in their rate base, contributing to financial stability.

Dividend Growth

AES has a history of increasing its dividend for over a decade, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
AES+3.56%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
AES+18.23%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
AES+5.94%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+83.98%
5-Year Return
AES-23.16%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.12%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
11.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
6.5x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
11.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
11.8x
11.4x
67th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
11.3x
11.2x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
N/A
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$23.71+60.0%
Base (Fair)$12.35-16.7%
Bull$0.00N/A
$23.71 Bear$12.35 Base$0.00 Bull
Current Market Price: $14.82
Trades at a 20.0% premium to Base DCF ($12.35)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$12.23B-0.4% YoY
Net income
$949M-43.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$1.62B+65.0% YoY
Operating margin
16.1%-0.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)3.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)9.7%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate3/12 (25%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 4, 2026
$0.44-2.2%
vs $0.45
$3.4B+10.0%
vs $3.1B
Q2 2026
May 5, 2026
$0.67+34.0%
vs $0.50
$3.2B+2.4%
vs $3.1B
Q2 2026
Mar 2, 2026
$0.81+30.6%
vs $0.62
$3.1B+2.3%
vs $3.0B
Q4 2025
Nov 5, 2025
$0.75+5.3%
vs $0.71
$3.4B-0.5%
vs $3.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
247 Wallst·5d ago
The Moneymaxxing Crowd Will Love 5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks Under $20

Younger investors are rewriting the rules of wealth building, and five overlooked dividend stocks under $20 sit right at the center of that shift. The real question is whether these picks can hold up long enough to matter.

Benzinga·Sep 15, 2026
Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Weigh In On 3 Utilities Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields

During times of turbulence and uncertainty in the markets, many investors turn to dividend-yielding stocks. These are often companies that have high free cash flows and reward shareholders with a high dividend payout.

Newsfile Corp·Sep 9, 2026
Americore Confirms High-Grade Silver in Historic Trinity Core, Including 509 g/t Silver

Highlights Historic core from TSD-009 returned 477 g/t silver by fire assay and 509 g/t silver by ICP-AES, compared with the original result of 466 g/t silver. TSD-002 returned 287 g/t silver by fire assay and 301 g/t silver by ICP-AES, compared with the original result of 161 g/t silver.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 3, 2026
Why Is AES (AES) Up 0.7% Since Last Earnings Report?

AES (AES) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?

Filtered for The AES CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark AES against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The AES Corporation (AES)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
AES logoAESThe AES CorporationCurrent
$14.82$10.57B11.76-0.37%7.76%9.67%4.75%
NRG logoNRGNRG Energy, Inc.
$102.75$21.68B25.629.17%2.31%25.38%—
VST logoVSTVistra Corp.
$140.41$47.34B63.53-12.41%13.89%41.4%—
GEN logoGENGen Digital Inc.
$27.29$16.34B17.3827.06%20.73%41.89%—
NEE logoNEENextEra Energy, Inc.
$79.26$165.32B24.0911%32.04%13.99%—
D logoDDominion Energy, Inc.
$62.43$54.91B18.1014.16%13.93%7.71%—

Compare AES vs Peers

The AES Corporation (AES) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs NRG

Most directly comparable listed peer for AES.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare AES against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs NRG, VST, GEN, NEE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

AES SEC Filings & Documents

The AES Corporation (AES) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 26, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Mar 2, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 11, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 26, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 4, 2025·SEC

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AES Frequently Asked Questions

The AES Corporation (AES) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is The AES Corporation's revenue?

The AES Corporation (AES) reported $13.05B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 1463% increase from $835.0M in 1996.

How fast is The AES Corporation growing?

The AES Corporation (AES) saw revenue decline by 0.4% over the past year.

Is AES profitable?

Yes, The AES Corporation (AES) is profitable, generating $1.91B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (7.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does AES pay dividends?

Yes, The AES Corporation (AES) pays a dividend with a yield of 4.75%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is AES's return on equity?

The AES Corporation (AES) has a return on equity (ROE) of 9.7%. This is below average, suggesting room for improvement.

What is The AES Corporation's free cash flow?

The AES Corporation (AES) had negative free cash flow of $1.72B in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

Industry Metrics
Is AES's dividend sustainable?

The AES Corporation (AES) has a dividend payout ratio of 53%. This suggests the dividend is well-covered and sustainable.

What if you invested $1,000 in AES back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →