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TFSL vs NBTB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
TFSL vs NBTB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $4.22B | $2.35B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $792M | $867M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $91M | $169M |
| Gross Margin | 40.3% | 72.1% |
| Operating Margin | 14.5% | 25.3% |
| Forward P/E | 45.6x | 10.8x |
| Total Debt | $4.90B | $327M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $429M | $185M |
TFSL vs NBTB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| TFS Financial Corpo… (TFSL) | 100 | 97.7 | -2.3% |
| NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) | 100 | 143.9 | +43.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: TFSL vs NBTB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
TFSL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.76, current ratio 0.05x
- Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs NBTB's 0.5% (lower = leaner)
- Beta 0.76 vs NBTB's 0.89
NBTB is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.89, yield 3.2%
- Rev growth 10.4%, EPS growth 12.5%
- 102.2% 10Y total return vs TFSL's 37.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 10.4% NII/revenue growth vs TFSL's 4.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.8x vs 45.6x), PEG 1.53 vs 35.11 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs NBTB's 0.5% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.76 vs NBTB's 0.89 | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs TFSL's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.8% vs NBTB's +9.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.3% vs NBTB's 0.5% |
TFSL vs NBTB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
TFSL vs NBTB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NBTB leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NBTB and TFSL operate at a comparable scale, with $867M and $792M in trailing revenue. NBTB is the more profitable business, keeping 19.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TFSL's 11.5%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $792M | $867M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $133M | $241M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $91M | $169M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $83M | $225M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.3% | +72.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +14.5% | +25.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +11.5% | +19.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.0% | +25.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.5% | +39.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NBTB leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.5x trailing earnings, NBTB trades at a 71% valuation discount to TFSL's 47.0x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NBTB offers better value at 1.92x vs TFSL's 36.20x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.2B | $2.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.7B | $2.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 47.03x | 13.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 45.61x | 10.80x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 36.20x | 1.92x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 63.11x | 10.35x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.33x | 2.71x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.22x | 1.21x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 59.50x | 10.75x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NBTB leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NBTB delivers a 9.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $5 for TFSL. NBTB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TFSL's 2.59x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NBTB scores 7/9 vs TFSL's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.8% | +9.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.3% | +7.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.7% | +2.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.59x | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $4.5B | $142M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $429M | $185M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.9B | $327M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.24x | 1.05x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TFSL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NBTB five years ago would be worth $12,989 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,349 for TFSL. Over the past 12 months, TFSL leads with a +20.8% total return vs NBTB's +9.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TFSL at 16.2% vs NBTB's 15.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.0% | +9.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +20.8% | +9.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.9% | +54.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +3.5% | +29.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.5% | +102.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +16.2% | +15.5% |
Risk & Volatility
TFSL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TFSL is the less volatile stock with a 0.76 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NBTB's 0.89 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.76x | 0.89x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $15.58 | $46.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.54 | $39.20 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.6% | +96.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.6 | 57.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 737K | 236K |
Analyst Outlook
NBTB leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates TFSL as "Hold" and NBTB as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 2.1% upside for NBTB (target: $46) vs -0.3% for TFSL (target: $15). For income investors, NBTB offers the higher dividend yield at 3.17% vs TFSL's 1.41%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $15.00 | $46.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.4% | +3.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 11 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.21 | $1.43 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +0.4% |
NBTB leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). TFSL leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
TFSL vs NBTB: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is TFSL or NBTB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, NBT Bancorp Inc.
(NBTB) is the stronger pick with 10. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 4% for TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL). NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) offers the better valuation at 13. 5x trailing P/E (10. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) a "Hold" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — TFSL or NBTB?
On trailing P/E, NBT Bancorp Inc.
(NBTB) is the cheapest at 13. 5x versus TFS Financial Corporation at 47. 0x. On forward P/E, NBT Bancorp Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: NBT Bancorp Inc. wins at 1. 53x versus TFS Financial Corporation's 35. 11x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — TFSL or NBTB?
Over the past 5 years, NBT Bancorp Inc.
(NBTB) delivered a total return of +29. 9%, compared to +3. 5% for TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NBTB returned +102. 2% versus TFSL's +37. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — TFSL or NBTB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
76β versus NBT Bancorp Inc. 's 0. 89β — meaning NBTB is approximately 18% more volatile than TFSL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 3% for TFS Financial Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — TFSL or NBTB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), NBT Bancorp Inc.
(NBTB) is pulling ahead at 10. 4% versus 4. 4% for TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TFS Financial Corporation grew EPS 14. 3% year-over-year, compared to 12. 5% for NBT Bancorp Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — TFSL or NBTB?
NBT Bancorp Inc.
(NBTB) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 5% net margin versus 11. 5% for TFS Financial Corporation — meaning it keeps 19. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NBTB leads at 25. 3% versus 14. 5% for TFSL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NBTB leads at 72. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is TFSL or NBTB more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 53x versus TFS Financial Corporation's 35. 11x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) trades at 10. 8x forward P/E versus 45. 6x for TFS Financial Corporation — 34. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NBTB: 2. 1% to $46. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — TFSL or NBTB?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) offers the highest yield at 3. 2%, versus 1. 4% for TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL).
09Is TFSL or NBTB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
76), 1. 4% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (TFSL: +37. 5%, NBTB: +102. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between TFSL and NBTB?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: TFSL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NBTB is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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