Education & Training Services
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UDMY vs LOPE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Education & Training Services
UDMY vs LOPE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Education & Training Services | Education & Training Services |
| Market Cap | $734M | $4.46B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $790M | $817M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4M | $220M |
| Gross Margin | 65.6% | 51.6% |
| Operating Margin | -0.5% | 38.0% |
| Forward P/E | 10.1x | 16.3x |
| Total Debt | $10M | $200M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $231M | $112M |
UDMY vs LOPE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udemy, Inc. (UDMY) | 100 | 18.3 | -81.7% |
| Grand Canyon Educat… (LOPE) | 100 | 206.4 | +106.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: UDMY vs LOPE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
UDMY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 0.4%, EPS growth 104.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.9%
- Lower P/E (10.1x vs 16.3x)
LOPE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.35
- 272.4% 10Y total return vs UDMY's -81.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.35, Low D/E 26.8%, current ratio 3.65x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.1% revenue growth vs UDMY's 0.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.1x vs 16.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 26.9% margin vs UDMY's 0.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.35 vs UDMY's 1.21 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | -15.2% vs UDMY's -22.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.9% ROA vs UDMY's 0.6%, ROIC 32.5% vs -56.7% |
UDMY vs LOPE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
UDMY vs LOPE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — UDMY and LOPE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LOPE and UDMY operate at a comparable scale, with $817M and $790M in trailing revenue. LOPE is the more profitable business, keeping 26.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to UDMY's 0.5%. On growth, UDMY holds the edge at -3.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $790M | $817M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $21M | $341M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4M | $220M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $73M | $260M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +65.6% | +51.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.5% | +38.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.5% | +26.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.3% | +31.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.0% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +76.2% | +11.1% |
Valuation Metrics
UDMY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.3x trailing earnings, LOPE trades at a 89% valuation discount to UDMY's 195.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, LOPE's 13.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than UDMY's 22.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $734M | $4.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $513M | $4.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 195.72x | 21.33x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.07x | 16.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.97x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 22.51x | 13.25x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.93x | 4.04x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.59x | 6.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9.13x | 18.71x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — UDMY and LOPE each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LOPE delivers a 29.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $2 for UDMY. UDMY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LOPE's 0.27x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UDMY scores 8/9 vs LOPE's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +1.7% | +29.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.6% | +21.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -56.7% | +32.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.2% | +33.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.05x | 0.27x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$221M | $88M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $231M | $112M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $10M | $200M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 18.19x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
LOPE leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in LOPE five years ago would be worth $17,405 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,829 for UDMY. Over the past 12 months, LOPE leads with a -15.2% total return vs UDMY's -22.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LOPE at 13.7% vs UDMY's -17.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.7% | -0.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -22.7% | -15.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -43.9% | +47.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.7% | +74.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.7% | +272.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -17.5% | +13.7% |
Risk & Volatility
LOPE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LOPE is the less volatile stock with a 0.35 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UDMY's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LOPE currently trades 73.7% from its 52-week high vs UDMY's 62.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.21x | 0.35x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.09 | $223.04 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.01 | $149.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +62.2% | +73.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.3 | 44.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 244K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates UDMY as "Hold" and LOPE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 10.9% upside for LOPE (target: $182) vs -0.6% for UDMY (target: $5).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $182.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 18 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.9% | +5.9% |
LOPE leads in 2 of 6 categories (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). UDMY leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
UDMY vs LOPE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is UDMY or LOPE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the stronger pick with 7. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 4% for Udemy, Inc. (UDMY). Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) offers the better valuation at 21. 3x trailing P/E (16. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — UDMY or LOPE?
On trailing P/E, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the cheapest at 21. 3x versus Udemy, Inc. at 195. 7x. On forward P/E, Udemy, Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 1x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — UDMY or LOPE?
Over the past 5 years, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) delivered a total return of +74. 1%, compared to -81. 7% for Udemy, Inc. (UDMY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: LOPE returned +272. 4% versus UDMY's -81. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — UDMY or LOPE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 35β versus Udemy, Inc. 's 1. 21β — meaning UDMY is approximately 242% more volatile than LOPE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Udemy, Inc. (UDMY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 27% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — UDMY or LOPE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is pulling ahead at 7. 1% versus 0. 4% for Udemy, Inc. (UDMY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Udemy, Inc. grew EPS 104. 6% year-over-year, compared to -0. 3% for Grand Canyon Education, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, UDMY leads at 7. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — UDMY or LOPE?
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the more profitable company, earning 19. 5% net margin versus 0. 5% for Udemy, Inc. — meaning it keeps 19. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LOPE leads at 27. 5% versus -0. 3% for UDMY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UDMY leads at 65. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is UDMY or LOPE more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Udemy, Inc.
(UDMY) trades at 10. 1x forward P/E versus 16. 3x for Grand Canyon Education, Inc. — 6. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LOPE: 10. 9% to $182. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — UDMY or LOPE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is UDMY or LOPE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
(LOPE) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 35), +272. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (LOPE: +272. 4%, UDMY: -81. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between UDMY and LOPE?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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