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VMI vs AAON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Construction
VMI vs AAON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Conglomerates | Construction |
| Market Cap | $9.95B | $10.58B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.16B | $1.62B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $345M | $118M |
| Gross Margin | 30.4% | 26.2% |
| Operating Margin | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Forward P/E | 22.3x | 65.3x |
| Total Debt | $1.06B | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $187M | $13K |
VMI vs AAON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valmont Industries,… (VMI) | 100 | 446.7 | +346.7% |
| AAON, Inc. (AAON) | 100 | 357.9 | +257.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VMI vs AAON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VMI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 1.25, yield 0.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.25, Low D/E 64.3%, current ratio 2.35x
- PEG 1.08 vs AAON's 12.01
AAON is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 20.1%, EPS growth -36.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.5%
- 6.1% 10Y total return vs VMI's 302.2%
- 20.1% revenue growth vs VMI's 0.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.1% revenue growth vs VMI's 0.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (22.3x vs 65.3x), PEG 1.08 vs 12.01 | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.3% margin vs AAON's 7.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.25 vs AAON's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | 0.5% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs AAON's 0.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +70.2% vs AAON's +35.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.2% ROA vs AAON's 7.4%, ROIC 16.3% vs 9.4% |
VMI vs AAON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
VMI vs AAON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VMI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VMI is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.2B annually — 2.6x AAON's $1.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 8.3% (VMI) to 7.3% (AAON). On growth, AAON holds the edge at +54.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.2B | $1.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $560M | $228M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $345M | $118M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $419M | -$145M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +30.4% | +26.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +10.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.3% | +7.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.1% | -9.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.2% | +54.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +27.5% | +37.1% |
Valuation Metrics
VMI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 30.3x trailing earnings, VMI trades at a 70% valuation discount to AAON's 100.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), VMI offers better value at 1.47x vs AAON's 18.43x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.0B | $10.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $10.8B | $11.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 30.33x | 100.19x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 22.34x | 65.28x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.47x | 18.43x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.72x | 48.81x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.43x | 7.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.18x | 12.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 31.96x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
VMI leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VMI delivers a 20.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $21 in annual profit, vs $13 for AAON. AAON carries lower financial leverage with a 0.48x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VMI's 0.64x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), VMI scores 6/9 vs AAON's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.9% | +13.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.2% | +7.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.3% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +20.3% | +12.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.64x | 0.48x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $869M | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $187M | $13,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $433M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 11.20x | 11.27x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AAON leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AAON five years ago would be worth $29,629 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $19,892 for VMI. Over the past 12 months, VMI leads with a +70.2% total return vs AAON's +35.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AAON at 26.3% vs VMI's 21.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +23.9% | +63.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +70.2% | +35.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +81.0% | +101.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +98.9% | +196.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +302.2% | +612.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +21.9% | +26.3% |
Risk & Volatility
VMI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
VMI is the less volatile stock with a 1.25 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AAON's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. VMI currently trades 96.4% from its 52-week high vs AAON's 86.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.25x | 1.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $528.49 | $148.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $299.24 | $62.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.4% | +86.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 75.5 | 59.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 196K | 965K |
Analyst Outlook
VMI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates VMI as "Hold" and AAON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -6.6% upside for VMI (target: $476) vs -7.9% for AAON (target: $119). For income investors, VMI offers the higher dividend yield at 0.52% vs AAON's 0.30%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $475.50 | $119.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 5 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.5% | +0.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.63 | $0.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.0% | +0.3% |
VMI leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). AAON leads in 1 (Total Returns).
VMI vs AAON: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VMI or AAON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 7% for Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI). Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) offers the better valuation at 30. 3x trailing P/E (22. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AAON, Inc. (AAON) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — VMI or AAON?
On trailing P/E, Valmont Industries, Inc.
(VMI) is the cheapest at 30. 3x versus AAON, Inc. at 100. 2x. On forward P/E, Valmont Industries, Inc. is actually cheaper at 22. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Valmont Industries, Inc. wins at 1. 08x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — VMI or AAON?
Over the past 5 years, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) delivered a total return of +196. 3%, compared to +98. 9% for Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AAON returned +612. 1% versus VMI's +302. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — VMI or AAON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Valmont Industries, Inc.
(VMI) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 25β versus AAON, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning AAON is approximately 46% more volatile than VMI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 48% versus 64% for Valmont Industries, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — VMI or AAON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus 0. 7% for Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Valmont Industries, Inc. grew EPS -2. 3% year-over-year, compared to -36. 1% for AAON, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — VMI or AAON?
Valmont Industries, Inc.
(VMI) is the more profitable company, earning 8. 5% net margin versus 7. 5% for AAON, Inc. — meaning it keeps 8. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VMI leads at 12. 7% versus 10. 1% for AAON. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — VMI leads at 30. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is VMI or AAON more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 08x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) trades at 22. 3x forward P/E versus 65. 3x for AAON, Inc. — 42. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for VMI: -6. 6% to $475. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — VMI or AAON?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) offers the highest yield at 0. 5%, versus 0. 3% for AAON, Inc. (AAON).
09Is VMI or AAON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Valmont Industries, Inc.
(VMI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 25), 0. 5% yield, +302. 2% 10Y return). AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (VMI: +302. 2%, AAON: +612. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between VMI and AAON?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: VMI is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AAON is a mid-cap high-growth stock. VMI pays a dividend while AAON does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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