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WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Restaurants
Restaurants
WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $3.67B | $9.82B | $43.33B | $2.79B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $709M | $848M | $12.14B | $1.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $112M | $38M | $1.45B | $41M |
| Gross Margin | 82.6% | 67.4% | 36.1% | 7.5% |
| Operating Margin | 28.0% | 4.7% | 15.8% | 4.3% |
| Forward P/E | 29.5x | 161.5x | 29.3x | 50.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.33B | $466M | $9.85B | $902M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $239M | $283M | $351M | $360M |
WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 23 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wingstop Inc. (WING) | 100 | 67.4 | -32.6% |
| CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) | 100 | 206.4 | +106.4% |
| Chipotle Mexican Gr… (CMG) | 100 | 77.8 | -22.2% |
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 89.1 | -10.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
WING carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 1.29, yield 0.9%
- 5.1% 10Y total return vs CMG's 267.2%
- PEG 0.57 vs CMG's 0.83
- Beta 1.29, yield 0.9%, current ratio 3.26x
CAVA is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- -9.9% vs WING's -49.6%
CMG is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.11, current ratio 1.23x
- Lower P/E (29.3x vs 50.2x)
- Beta 1.11 vs CAVA's 1.83
SHAK is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 354.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.1%
- 15.4% revenue growth vs CAVA's -12.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs CAVA's -12.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (29.3x vs 50.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.8% margin vs SHAK's 2.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.11 vs CAVA's 1.83 | |
| Dividends | 0.9% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -9.9% vs WING's -49.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 16.1% ROA vs SHAK's 2.2%, ROIC 46.0% vs 6.0% |
WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
WING leads in 2 of 6 categories
SHAK leads 1 • CAVA leads 1 • CMG leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WING leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMG is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.1B annually — 17.1x WING's $709M. WING is the more profitable business, keeping 15.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SHAK's 2.8%. On growth, SHAK holds the edge at +14.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $709M | $848M | $12.1B | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $225M | $113M | $2.3B | $173M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $112M | $38M | $1.5B | $41M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $132M | $26M | $1.5B | $16M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +82.6% | +67.4% | +36.1% | +7.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +28.0% | +4.7% | +15.8% | +4.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +15.8% | +4.5% | +12.0% | +2.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.6% | +3.1% | +12.4% | +1.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.4% | -125.0% | +7.4% | +14.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -66.7% | -127.3% | -17.9% | -110.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SHAK leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.7x trailing earnings, WING trades at a 86% valuation discount to CAVA's 156.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), WING offers better value at 0.42x vs CMG's 0.82x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.7B | $9.8B | $43.3B | $2.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.8B | $10.0B | $52.8B | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.72x | 156.52x | 29.18x | 63.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 29.54x | 161.48x | 29.29x | 50.21x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.42x | — | 0.82x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.93x | 77.54x | 22.25x | 17.31x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.27x | 11.58x | 3.63x | 1.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 12.79x | 15.78x | 5.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.78x | 375.47x | 29.93x | 49.34x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — WING and CAVA each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CMG delivers a 48.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $5 for CAVA. CAVA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.60x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CMG's 3.48x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SHAK scores 7/9 vs CMG's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +4.9% | +48.4% | +7.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.1% | +2.8% | +16.0% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +46.0% | +5.0% | +15.3% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +31.0% | +4.9% | +25.4% | +5.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.60x | 3.48x | 1.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.1B | $183M | $9.5B | $542M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $239M | $283M | $351M | $360M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.3B | $466M | $9.8B | $902M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5.43x | — | — | 16.87x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAVA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAVA five years ago would be worth $19,306 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,739 for SHAK. Over the past 12 months, CAVA leads with a -9.9% total return vs WING's -49.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAVA at 24.5% vs WING's -12.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -47.4% | +39.6% | -11.3% | -17.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -49.6% | -9.9% | -35.6% | -32.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -33.2% | +93.1% | -18.2% | +3.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.0% | +93.1% | +16.7% | -22.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +514.9% | +93.1% | +267.2% | +98.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -12.6% | +24.5% | -6.5% | +1.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CAVA and CMG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CMG is the less volatile stock with a 1.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAVA's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAVA currently trades 83.3% from its 52-week high vs WING's 34.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.29x | 1.83x | 1.11x | 1.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $388.14 | $101.50 | $58.42 | $144.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $133.70 | $43.41 | $29.75 | $67.20 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +34.8% | +83.3% | +56.9% | +47.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 29.4 | 50.9 | 43.0 | 48.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 2.8M | 14.5M | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
WING leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: WING as "Hold", CAVA as "Buy", CMG as "Buy", SHAK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 119.1% upside for WING (target: $296) vs -2.2% for CAVA (target: $83). WING is the only dividend payer here at 0.86% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $295.50 | $82.63 | $43.72 | $120.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 23 | 67 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.9% | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | — | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.15 | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.0% | 0.0% | +5.6% | 0.0% |
WING leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Analyst Outlook). SHAK leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
WING vs CAVA vs CMG vs SHAK: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 0% for CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA). Wingstop Inc. (WING) offers the better valuation at 21. 7x trailing P/E (29. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK?
On trailing P/E, Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the cheapest at 21. 7x versus CAVA Group, Inc. at 156. 5x. On forward P/E, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is actually cheaper at 29. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Wingstop Inc. wins at 0. 57x versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 's 0. 83x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK?
Over the past 5 years, CAVA Group, Inc.
(CAVA) delivered a total return of +93. 1%, compared to -22. 6% for Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: WING returned +514. 9% versus CAVA's +93. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 11β versus CAVA Group, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning CAVA is approximately 64% more volatile than CMG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 60% versus 3% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus -12. 0% for CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to -50. 9% for CAVA Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WING leads at 24. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK?
Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the more profitable company, earning 25. 0% net margin versus 3. 2% for Shake Shack Inc. — meaning it keeps 25. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WING leads at 27. 6% versus 5. 9% for SHAK. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — WING leads at 82. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Wingstop Inc. (WING) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 57x versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 's 0. 83x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) trades at 29. 3x forward P/E versus 161. 5x for CAVA Group, Inc. — 132. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for WING: 119. 1% to $295. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK?
In this comparison, WING (0.
9% yield) pays a dividend. CAVA, CMG, SHAK do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is WING or CAVA or CMG or SHAK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 29), 0. 9% yield, +514. 9% 10Y return). CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (WING: +514. 9%, CAVA: +93. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between WING and CAVA and CMG and SHAK?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: WING is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CAVA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CMG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; SHAK is a small-cap high-growth stock. WING pays a dividend while CAVA, CMG, SHAK do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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