Apparel - Manufacturers
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XELB vs AEO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Retail
XELB vs AEO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Apparel - Manufacturers | Apparel - Retail |
| Market Cap | $12M | $2.82B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5M | $5.50B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-22M | $192M |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 33.0% |
| Operating Margin | -208.4% | 6.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 12.1x |
| Total Debt | $13M | $1.73B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1M | $239M |
XELB vs AEO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) | 100 | 30.1 | -69.9% |
| American Eagle Outf… (AEO) | 100 | 181.7 | +81.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: XELB vs AEO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
XELB is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.03
- Lower volatility, beta 2.03, Low D/E 47.1%, current ratio 0.39x
- Beta 2.03, current ratio 0.39x
AEO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 3.2%, EPS growth -35.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.3%
- 45.6% 10Y total return vs XELB's -96.0%
- 3.2% revenue growth vs XELB's -53.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.2% revenue growth vs XELB's -53.5% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.5% margin vs XELB's -437.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.03 vs AEO's 2.08, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +53.4% vs XELB's +2.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.8% ROA vs XELB's -53.8%, ROIC 8.1% vs -33.6% |
XELB vs AEO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
XELB vs AEO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AEO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AEO is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.5B annually — 1103.8x XELB's $5M. AEO is the more profitable business, keeping 3.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to XELB's -4.4%. On growth, AEO holds the edge at +9.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5M | $5.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$7M | $546M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$22M | $192M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$7M | $25M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +100.0% | +33.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -2.1% | +6.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.4% | +3.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -132.8% | +0.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -41.5% | +9.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.2% | -7.4% |
Valuation Metrics
XELB leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $12M | $2.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $24M | $4.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.25x | 15.27x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 12.06x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 7.99x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.41x | 0.51x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.19x | 1.73x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AEO leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AEO delivers a 12.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $-131 for XELB. XELB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.47x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AEO's 1.02x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), XELB scores 3/9 vs AEO's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -131.3% | +12.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -53.8% | +4.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -33.6% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -39.4% | +10.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.47x | 1.02x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $12M | $1.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1M | $239M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $13M | $1.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -11.56x | 75.18x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AEO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AEO five years ago would be worth $5,188 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,279 for XELB. Over the past 12 months, AEO leads with a +53.4% total return vs XELB's +2.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AEO at 10.4% vs XELB's -26.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +120.9% | -35.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2.5% | +53.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -60.0% | +34.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -87.2% | -48.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -96.0% | +45.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.3% | +10.4% |
Risk & Volatility
XELB leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XELB is the less volatile stock with a 2.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AEO's 2.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. XELB currently trades 76.7% from its 52-week high vs AEO's 58.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.03x | 2.08x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.17 | $28.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.74 | $9.27 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +76.7% | +58.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 65.5 | 40.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 40K | 5.2M |
Analyst Outlook
AEO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $24.83 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 52 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | 0.0% |
AEO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). XELB leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
XELB vs AEO: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is XELB or AEO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the stronger pick with 3. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -53. 5% for Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB). American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) offers the better valuation at 15. 3x trailing P/E (12. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) a "Hold" — based on 52 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — XELB or AEO?
Over the past 5 years, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) delivered a total return of -48. 1%, compared to -87. 2% for Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AEO returned +45. 6% versus XELB's -96. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — XELB or AEO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Xcel Brands, Inc.
(XELB) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 03β versus American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 's 2. 08β — meaning AEO is approximately 2% more volatile than XELB relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 47% versus 102% for American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — XELB or AEO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is pulling ahead at 3. 2% versus -53. 5% for Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. grew EPS -35. 1% year-over-year, compared to -819. 6% for Xcel Brands, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AEO leads at 3. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — XELB or AEO?
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 5% net margin versus -271. 2% for Xcel Brands, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AEO leads at 6. 0% versus -259. 2% for XELB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — XELB leads at 94. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — XELB or AEO?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is XELB or AEO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Xcel Brands, Inc. (XELB) carries a higher beta of 2. 03 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AEO: +45. 6%, XELB: -96. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between XELB and AEO?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: XELB is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AEO is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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