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XPEL vs AAON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Construction
XPEL vs AAON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Parts | Construction |
| Market Cap | $1.20B | $11.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $490M | $1.62B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $53M | $118M |
| Gross Margin | 42.5% | 26.2% |
| Operating Margin | 13.2% | 10.4% |
| Forward P/E | 21.6x | 68.0x |
| Total Debt | $23M | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $51M | $13K |
XPEL vs AAON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) | 100 | 291.7 | +191.7% |
| AAON, Inc. (AAON) | 100 | 386.8 | +286.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: XPEL vs AAON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
XPEL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 1.26
- 7.0% 10Y total return vs AAON's 6.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.26, Low D/E 8.0%, current ratio 3.25x
AAON is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 20.1%, EPS growth -36.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.5%
- 20.1% revenue growth vs XPEL's 13.3%
- 0.3% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.1% revenue growth vs XPEL's 13.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.6x vs 68.0x), PEG 0.94 vs 12.51 | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.8% margin vs AAON's 7.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.26 vs AAON's 1.79, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.3% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.9% vs XPEL's +15.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 14.2% ROA vs AAON's 7.4%, ROIC 19.5% vs 9.8% |
XPEL vs AAON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
XPEL vs AAON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
XPEL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AAON is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.6B annually — 3.3x XPEL's $490M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 10.8% (XPEL) to 7.3% (AAON). On growth, AAON holds the edge at +54.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $490M | $1.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $81M | $229M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $53M | $118M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $58M | -$145M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +42.5% | +26.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +10.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +7.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +11.8% | -9.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.1% | +54.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.4% | +37.1% |
Valuation Metrics
XPEL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 23.5x trailing earnings, XPEL trades at a 78% valuation discount to AAON's 108.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), XPEL offers better value at 1.03x vs AAON's 19.91x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.2B | $11.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $11.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 23.54x | 108.26x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.63x | 68.02x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.03x | 19.91x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 15.47x | 51.20x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.52x | 7.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.23x | 12.97x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 19.10x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
XPEL leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
XPEL delivers a 19.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $13 for AAON. XPEL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AAON's 0.48x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), XPEL scores 5/9 vs AAON's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +19.1% | +13.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +14.2% | +7.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +19.5% | +9.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +22.2% | +12.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.08x | 0.48x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$28M | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $51M | $13,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $23M | $433M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 5061.62x | 17.05x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AAON leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AAON five years ago would be worth $32,159 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,428 for XPEL. Over the past 12 months, AAON leads with a +40.9% total return vs XPEL's +15.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AAON at 29.6% vs XPEL's -14.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.3% | +76.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +15.8% | +40.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.1% | +117.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -35.7% | +221.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +705.0% | +668.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -14.8% | +29.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — XPEL and AAON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
XPEL is the less volatile stock with a 1.26 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AAON's 1.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AAON currently trades 93.8% from its 52-week high vs XPEL's 77.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.26x | 1.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $55.91 | $148.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $31.26 | $62.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.9% | +93.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.8 | 78.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 264K | 982K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates XPEL as "Buy" and AAON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 33.2% upside for XPEL (target: $58) vs -14.8% for AAON (target: $119). AAON is the only dividend payer here at 0.28% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $58.00 | $119.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 5 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +0.3% |
XPEL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). AAON leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
XPEL vs AAON: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is XPEL or AAON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 13. 3% for XPEL, Inc. (XPEL). XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) offers the better valuation at 23. 5x trailing P/E (21. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — XPEL or AAON?
On trailing P/E, XPEL, Inc.
(XPEL) is the cheapest at 23. 5x versus AAON, Inc. at 108. 3x. On forward P/E, XPEL, Inc. is actually cheaper at 21. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: XPEL, Inc. wins at 0. 94x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 51x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — XPEL or AAON?
Over the past 5 years, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) delivered a total return of +221. 6%, compared to -35. 7% for XPEL, Inc. (XPEL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: XPEL returned +705. 0% versus AAON's +668. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — XPEL or AAON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), XPEL, Inc.
(XPEL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 26β versus AAON, Inc. 's 1. 79β — meaning AAON is approximately 42% more volatile than XPEL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 48% for AAON, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — XPEL or AAON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus 13. 3% for XPEL, Inc. (XPEL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: XPEL, Inc. grew EPS 12. 1% year-over-year, compared to -36. 1% for AAON, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — XPEL or AAON?
XPEL, Inc.
(XPEL) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 8% net margin versus 7. 5% for AAON, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: XPEL leads at 13. 2% versus 10. 6% for AAON. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — XPEL leads at 42. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is XPEL or AAON more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 94x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 51x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) trades at 21. 6x forward P/E versus 68. 0x for AAON, Inc. — 46. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for XPEL: 33. 2% to $58. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — XPEL or AAON?
In this comparison, AAON (0.
3% yield) pays a dividend. XPEL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is XPEL or AAON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, XPEL, Inc.
(XPEL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 26), +705. 0% 10Y return). AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a higher beta of 1. 79 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (XPEL: +705. 0%, AAON: +668. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between XPEL and AAON?
These companies operate in different sectors (XPEL (Consumer Cyclical) and AAON (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: XPEL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AAON is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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