Apparel - Retail
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ZUMZ vs TLYS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Retail
ZUMZ vs TLYS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Apparel - Retail | Apparel - Retail |
| Market Cap | $424M | $128M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $929M | $554M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $13M | $-17M |
| Gross Margin | 35.8% | 29.7% |
| Operating Margin | 1.8% | -3.5% |
| Forward P/E | 31.2x | — |
| Total Debt | $199M | $170M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $128M | $46M |
ZUMZ vs TLYS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) | 100 | 102.5 | +2.5% |
| Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) | 100 | 82.8 | -17.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ZUMZ vs TLYS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ZUMZ carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 4.5%, EPS growth 9.6%, 3Y rev CAGR -1.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.87, Low D/E 61.5%, current ratio 2.01x
- 4.5% revenue growth vs TLYS's -2.8%
TLYS is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.79
- 67.9% 10Y total return vs ZUMZ's 61.3%
- Beta 0.79, current ratio 1.25x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.5% revenue growth vs TLYS's -2.8% | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.4% margin vs TLYS's -3.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs ZUMZ's 1.87 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +253.3% vs ZUMZ's +114.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.5% ROA vs TLYS's -5.3%, ROIC 3.1% vs -6.0% |
ZUMZ vs TLYS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
ZUMZ vs TLYS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ZUMZ leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ZUMZ is the larger business by revenue, generating $929M annually — 1.7x TLYS's $554M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 1.4% (ZUMZ) to -3.2% (TLYS).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $929M | $554M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $44M | -$9M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $13M | -$17M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $51M | $3M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +35.8% | +29.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.8% | -3.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.4% | -3.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.5% | +0.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.4% | +5.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +38.5% | +121.6% |
Valuation Metrics
TLYS leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $424M | $128M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $495M | $252M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 32.01x | -7.31x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 31.25x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 29.06x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.46x | 0.23x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.33x | 1.51x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 7.81x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ZUMZ leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ZUMZ delivers a 4.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $4 in annual profit, vs $-21 for TLYS. ZUMZ carries lower financial leverage with a 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TLYS's 2.00x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ZUMZ scores 7/9 vs TLYS's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.4% | -21.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | -5.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.1% | -6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.5% | -8.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.61x | 2.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $71M | $124M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $128M | $46M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $199M | $170M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — ZUMZ and TLYS each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ZUMZ five years ago would be worth $5,482 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,996 for TLYS. Over the past 12 months, TLYS leads with a +253.3% total return vs ZUMZ's +114.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ZUMZ at 14.7% vs TLYS's -18.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -3.6% | +109.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +114.2% | +253.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.1% | -45.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.2% | -50.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +61.3% | +67.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.7% | -18.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ZUMZ and TLYS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TLYS is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ZUMZ's 1.87 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.87x | 0.79x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.70 | $5.52 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $11.41 | $0.57 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.8% | +76.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.3 | 53.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 152K | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ZUMZ as "Hold" and TLYS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 124.1% upside for TLYS (target: $10) vs -21.9% for ZUMZ (target: $20).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $19.50 | $9.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 33 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +9.0% | 0.0% |
ZUMZ leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TLYS leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
ZUMZ vs TLYS: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ZUMZ or TLYS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Zumiez Inc.
(ZUMZ) is the stronger pick with 4. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 8% for Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS). Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) offers the better valuation at 32. 0x trailing P/E (31. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) a "Hold" — based on 33 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ZUMZ or TLYS?
Over the past 5 years, Zumiez Inc.
(ZUMZ) delivered a total return of -45. 2%, compared to -50. 0% for Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TLYS returned +67. 9% versus ZUMZ's +61. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ZUMZ or TLYS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Tilly's, Inc.
(TLYS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 79β versus Zumiez Inc. 's 1. 87β — meaning ZUMZ is approximately 136% more volatile than TLYS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 61% versus 2% for Tilly's, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ZUMZ or TLYS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Zumiez Inc.
(ZUMZ) is pulling ahead at 4. 5% versus -2. 8% for Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Zumiez Inc. grew EPS 961. 9% year-over-year, compared to 62. 3% for Tilly's, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ZUMZ leads at -1. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ZUMZ or TLYS?
Zumiez Inc.
(ZUMZ) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 4% net margin versus -3. 2% for Tilly's, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ZUMZ leads at 1. 8% versus -3. 5% for TLYS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ZUMZ leads at 35. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ZUMZ or TLYS more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TLYS: 124.
1% to $9. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — ZUMZ or TLYS?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is ZUMZ or TLYS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Tilly's, Inc.
(TLYS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 79)). Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ) carries a higher beta of 1. 87 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TLYS: +67. 9%, ZUMZ: +61. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ZUMZ and TLYS?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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