AFYA trades 39.1% below Wall Street's consensus target of $17.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AFYA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 1.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Afya Limited (AFYA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $12.22, this represents a potential upside of +39.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.10B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $17.00 to a high of $17.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, AFYA trades at a trailing P/E of 7.9x and forward P/E of 1.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.06 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $75.80, with bear and bull scenarios of $47.75 and $99.87 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PRDOPerdoceo Education Corporation | $2.0B | $31.91 | $44.00 | +37.9% | Hold | 10.9x | 9 |
 LAURLaureate Education, Inc. | $5.4B | $38.62 | $39.75 | +2.9% | Buy | 18.3x | 11 |
 STRAStrategic Education, Inc. | $1.8B | $79.72 | $92.00 | +15.4% | Buy | 11.1x | 18 |
 GHCGraham Holdings Company | $5.0B | $1149.61 | — | — | — | 16.7x | — |
 LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc. | $4.1B | $155.79 | $161.67 | +3.8% | Buy | 15.3x | 18 |
 APEIAmerican Public Education, Inc. | $802M | $43.73 | $63.33 | +44.8% | Hold | 16.7x | 19 |
 UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc. | $1.1B | $19.38 | $41.00 | +111.6% | Buy | 32.1x | 11 |
 COURCoursera, Inc. | $922M | $5.02 | $7.60 | +51.4% | Buy | 7.9x | 17 |
 NUVLNuvalent, Inc. | $9.1B | $123.96 | $127.32 | +2.7% | Hold | — | 19 |
 HIMSHims & Hers Health, Inc. | $6.5B | $29.00 | $32.17 | +10.9% | Hold | — | 20 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AFYA stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for AFYA is $17, representing 39.1% upside from the current price of $12.22. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
AFYA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $17 implies 39.1% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 1.3443x, AFYA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $17 implies 39.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $17 for AFYA, while the most conservative target is $17. The consensus of $17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $100 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AFYA is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AFYA stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $17 (bear case) to $17 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $76, with bear/bull scenarios of $48/$100.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AFYA's fair value at $76 (base case), with a bear case of $48 and bull case of $100. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.
AFYA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AFYA, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $17 price target (39.1% upside). 3 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AFYA analyst price targets range from $17 to $17, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $48-$100 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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