AVIR trades 116.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $10.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AVIR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 30, 2026, Atea Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AVIR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.61, this represents a potential upside of +116.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $369M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $10.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $10.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, AVIR trades at a trailing P/E of -2.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +10.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $39.21, with bear and bull scenarios of $24.70 and $51.66 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | $1.5B | $4.21 | $4.00 | -5.0% | Buy | — | 20 |
RDVTRed Violet, Inc. | $881M | $62.46 | $62.00 | -0.7% | Buy | 42.1x | 1 |
RLAYRelay Therapeutics, Inc. | $3.7B | $19.74 | $24.00 | +21.6% | Buy | — | 15 |
COGTCogent Biosciences, Inc. | $6.6B | $38.74 | $49.40 | +27.5% | Buy | — | 12 |
ABUSArbutus Biopharma Corporation | $924M | $4.68 | $8.50 | +81.6% | Buy | 6.2x | 10 |
ACHVAchieve Life Sciences, Inc. | $333M | $6.23 | $16.50 | +164.8% | Buy | — | 6 |
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc. | $156.8B | $126.33 | $161.81 | +28.1% | Buy | — | 58 |
ABBVAbbVie Inc. | $449.3B | $254.31 | $258.00 | +1.5% | Buy | 17.9x | 41 |
MRKMerck & Co., Inc. | $319.5B | $129.38 | $131.58 | +1.7% | Buy | 25.2x | 37 |
REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | $65.6B | $631.81 | $836.00 | +32.3% | Buy | 13.6x | 48 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AVIR stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for AVIR is $10, representing 116.9% upside from the current price of $4.61. With 4 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
AVIR has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 2 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10 implies 116.9% upside from current levels.
AVIR's current price is $4.61 with a consensus target of $10 (116.9% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $10 for AVIR, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $10 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $52 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AVIR is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AVIR stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $10 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $39, with bear/bull scenarios of $25/$52.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AVIR's fair value at $39 (base case), with a bear case of $25 and bull case of $52. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AVIR, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $10 price target (116.9% upside). 1 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AVIR analyst price targets range from $10 to $10, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $25-$52 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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