DCO trades 12.3% above Wall Street's consensus target of $144.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes DCO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 39.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 20 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $144.00, based on estimates from 20 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $164.12, this represents a potential downside of -12.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.48B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $132.00 to a high of $150.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $150.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, DCO trades at a trailing P/E of -65.6x and forward P/E of 39.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +297.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $21.77, with bear and bull scenarios of $13.72 and $28.69 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | $10.2B | $54.21 | $110.00 | +102.9% | Buy | 70.9x | 24 |
TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated | $75.0B | $1328.31 | $1569.30 | +18.1% | Buy | 33.2x | 39 |
WWDWoodward, Inc. | $25.6B | $430.08 | $435.00 | +1.1% | Buy | 46.0x | 20 |
ESEESCO Technologies Inc. | $8.9B | $343.50 | $350.00 | +1.9% | Buy | 41.9x | 15 |
SPRSpirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | $4.6B | $39.50 | $46.15 | +16.8% | Hold | 31.5x | 43 |
HXLHexcel Corporation | $7.4B | $97.63 | $90.25 | -7.6% | Hold | 42.4x | 36 |
CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation | $28.5B | $771.93 | $741.00 | -4.0% | Buy | 50.7x | 25 |
HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $3.3B | $15.00 | $15.75 | +5.0% | Hold | 17.5x | 10 |
DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc. | $12.3B | $46.08 | $53.33 | +15.7% | Buy | 35.7x | 9 |
MRCYMercury Systems, Inc. | $6.8B | $113.91 | $98.60 | -13.4% | Buy | 105.9x | 19 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying DCO stock.
DCO's consensus price target is $144, -12.3% below the current price of $164.12. The 20 analysts tracking DCO see downside risk at present valuations.
DCO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 20 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 13 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $144 implies -12.3% downside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 39.6272x, DCO trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $144 (-12.3% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $150 for DCO, while the most conservative target is $132. The consensus of $144 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $29 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
DCO is well covered by analysts, with 20 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month DCO stock forecast based on 20 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $144, with estimates ranging from $132 (bear case) to $150 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $22, with bear/bull scenarios of $14/$29.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates DCO's fair value at $22 (base case), with a bear case of $14 and bull case of $29. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
DCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on DCO, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $144 (-12.3% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DCO analyst price targets range from $132 to $150, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $144 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $14-$29 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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