18.1% Below Target

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) has a consensus 12-month price target of $1569.3, implying 18.1% upside from $1328.31. The 39 analysts covering TDG see moderate appreciation potential.

TDG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 39 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 22 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $1569.3 implies 18.1% upside from current levels.

TDG trades at a forward P/E of 33.1916x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $1569.3 (18.1% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $1871 for TDG, while the most conservative target is $1350. The consensus of $1569.3 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2213 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

TDG is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 39 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 22 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month TDG stock forecast based on 39 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $1569.3, with estimates ranging from $1350 (bear case) to $1871 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1680, with bear/bull scenarios of $1058/$2213.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TDG's fair value at $1680 (base case), with a bear case of $1058 and bull case of $2213. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.

TDG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 33.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 41.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on TDG, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $1569.3 price target (18.1% upside). 22 of 39 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TDG analyst price targets range from $1350 to $1871, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $1569.3 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1058-$2213 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.