EPM trades 42.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $5.13.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes EPM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $5.13, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $3.60, this represents a potential upside of +42.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $129M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $4.25 to a high of $6.00, representing a 34% spread in expectations. The median target of $5.13 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, EPM trades at a trailing P/E of 108.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -168.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $2.02, with bear and bull scenarios of $1.28 and $2.67 respectively. Model confidence stands at 37/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $200M | $4.92 | $5.00 | +1.6% | Hold | 5.5x | 12 |
 PEDPEDEVCO Corp. | $176M | $13.26 | $48.00 | +262.0% | Buy | 59.5x | 2 |
 CIVICivitas Resources, Inc. | $2.3B | $27.38 | $63.42 | +131.6% | Hold | 6.8x | 16 |
 BATLBattalion Oil Corporation | $24M | $1.10 | — | — | Buy | 4.8x | 2 |
 TALOTalos Energy Inc. | $2.8B | $16.56 | $19.50 | +17.8% | Buy | 12.8x | 13 |
 EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc. | $609M | $5.84 | $7.30 | +25.0% | Buy | — | 5 |
 DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P. | $1.4B | $29.11 | — | — | — | — | — |
 BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P. | $3.1B | $14.56 | $16.00 | +9.9% | Buy | 14.5x | 16 |
 VHIValhi, Inc. | $462M | $16.33 | — | — | Sell | 4.7x | 1 |
 HALHalliburton Company | $27.6B | $33.01 | $43.11 | +30.6% | Buy | 14.1x | 64 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EPM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for EPM is $5.13, representing 42.5% upside from the current price of $3.6. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
EPM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $5.13 implies 42.5% upside from current levels.
EPM's current price is $3.6 with a consensus target of $5.13 (42.5% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $6 for EPM, while the most conservative target is $4.25. The consensus of $5.13 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $3 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
EPM is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month EPM stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $5.13, with estimates ranging from $4.25 (bear case) to $6 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $2, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$3.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates EPM's fair value at $2 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $3. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 37/100.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on EPM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $5.13 price target (42.5% upside). 5 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
EPM analyst price targets range from $4.25 to $6, a 34% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $5.13 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$3 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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