TPVG trades 1.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $5.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes TPVG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 5.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 12 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $5.00, based on estimates from 12 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.92, this represents a potential upside of +1.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $200M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $5.00 to a high of $5.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $5.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, TPVG trades at a trailing P/E of 4.0x and forward P/E of 5.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 5.42 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -6.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $0.63, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.40 and $0.83 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HRZNHorizon Technology Finance Corporation | $231M | $4.61 | $5.00 | +8.5% | Hold | 6.8x | 22 |
 HTGCHercules Capital, Inc. | $3.2B | $16.97 | $15.50 | -8.7% | Buy | 8.8x | 31 |
 SUNSSunrise Realty Trust, Inc. | $99M | $7.35 | $10.00 | +36.1% | Hold | 5.9x | 8 |
 CSWCCapital Southwest Corporation | $1.4B | $23.15 | $23.58 | +1.9% | Buy | 9.7x | 11 |
 ARCCAres Capital Corporation | $13.8B | $19.15 | $19.00 | -0.8% | Buy | 10.0x | 32 |
 GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc. | $3.2B | $12.45 | $14.50 | +16.5% | Buy | 9.0x | 12 |
 FSCOFS Credit Opportunities Corp. | $1.1B | $5.27 | — | — | — | — | — |
 OBDCBlue Owl Capital Corporation | $5.4B | $10.95 | $13.00 | +18.7% | Buy | 8.4x | 13 |
 SLRCSLR Investment Corp. | $642M | $11.77 | $12.50 | +6.2% | Buy | 9.0x | 15 |
 GAINGladstone Investment Corp. | $623M | $15.64 | $17.00 | +8.7% | Hold | 38.5x | 7 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TPVG stock.
The consensus price target for TPVG is $5, close to the current price of $4.92 (1.6% implied move). Based on 12 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
TPVG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $5 implies 1.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 5.4972x, TPVG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $5 implies 1.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $5 for TPVG, while the most conservative target is $5. The consensus of $5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $1 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TPVG is moderately covered, with 12 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TPVG stock forecast based on 12 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $5 (bear case) to $5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1, with bear/bull scenarios of $0/$1.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TPVG's fair value at $1 (base case), with a bear case of $0 and bull case of $1. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
TPVG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 4.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
TPVG appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TPVG analyst price targets range from $5 to $5, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $0-$1 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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