Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. (FCPT) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 15 analysts16.4% Below Target
FCPT trades 16.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $28.50.
Current Price$24.49
Average Target$28.50
Target
Current
Low$27.00
Median$28.50
High$30.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E20.9x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio113.08
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+10.4%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread10.5%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes FCPT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 20.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 15 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
FCPT Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. (FCPT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $28.50, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $24.49, this represents a potential upside of +16.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.69B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $27.00 to a high of $30.00, representing a 11% spread in expectations. The median target of $28.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, FCPT trades at a trailing P/E of 22.5x and forward P/E of 20.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 113.08 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +10.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $31.87, with bear and bull scenarios of $20.08 and $41.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+12.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
30.9x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NNNNNN REIT, Inc. | $8.6B | $45.00 | $46.93 | +4.3% | Hold | 22.3x | 29 |
 EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | $6.3B | $29.36 | $36.75 | +25.2% | Buy | 22.6x | 22 |
 ADCAgree Realty Corporation | $8.8B | $73.25 | $84.06 | +14.8% | Buy | 37.8x | 32 |
 NTSTNETSTREIT Corp. | $1.9B | $19.20 | $22.47 | +17.0% | Buy | 64.6x | 18 |
 PINEAlpine Income Property Trust, Inc. | $274M | $19.13 | $20.60 | +7.7% | Buy | 36.9x | 12 |
 ORealty Income Corporation | $56.2B | $60.24 | $68.00 | +12.9% | Hold | 37.7x | 34 |
 WPCW. P. Carey Inc. | $15.6B | $71.22 | $78.43 | +10.1% | Hold | 24.1x | 20 |
 GTYGetty Realty Corp. | $2.0B | $32.68 | $34.50 | +5.6% | Buy | 20.5x | 13 |
 DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc. | $25.3B | $213.45 | $230.14 | +7.8% | Buy | 20.1x | 59 |
 YUMYum! Brands, Inc. | $42.0B | $151.99 | $178.00 | +17.1% | Hold | 22.4x | 51 |
FCPT — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FCPT stock.
What is the FCPT stock price target for 2026?
Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. (FCPT) has a consensus 12-month price target of $28.5, implying 16.4% upside from $24.49. The 15 analysts covering FCPT see moderate appreciation potential.
Is FCPT a buy, sell, or hold?
FCPT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $28.5 implies 16.4% upside from current levels.
Is FCPT stock overvalued or undervalued?
FCPT trades at a forward P/E of 20.8639x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $28.5 (16.4% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
How high can FCPT stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $30 for FCPT, while the most conservative target is $27. The consensus of $28.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $42 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FCPT stock?
FCPT is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FCPT stock forecast?
The 12-month FCPT stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $28.5, with estimates ranging from $27 (bear case) to $30 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $32, with bear/bull scenarios of $20/$42.
What is FCPT's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FCPT's fair value at $32 (base case), with a bear case of $20 and bull case of $42. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
What is FCPT's forward P/E ratio?
FCPT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 22.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy FCPT stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on FCPT, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $28.5 price target (16.4% upside). 5 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FCPT price targets vary so much?
FCPT analyst price targets range from $27 to $30, a 11% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $28.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $20-$42 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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