Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. (FCPT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $27.00, based on estimates from 14 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $25.52, this represents a potential upside of +5.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.76B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $25.00 to a high of $29.00, representing a 15% spread in expectations. The median target of $27.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, FCPT trades at a trailing P/E of 23.4x and forward P/E of 21.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 117.82 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +11.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $26.18, with bear and bull scenarios of $18.26 and $33.91 respectively. Model confidence stands at 63/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorSee our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.
View ValuationSee how FCPT stacks up against sector leader Welltower Inc..
Start ComparisonThe consensus price target for FCPT is $27, close to the current price of $25.52 (5.8% implied move). Based on 14 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
FCPT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 14 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 10 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $27 implies 5.8% upside from current levels.
FCPT trades at a forward P/E of 21.7376x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $27 (5.8% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $29 for FCPT, while the most conservative target is $25. The consensus of $27 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $34 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
FCPT is moderately covered, with 14 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month FCPT stock forecast based on 14 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $27, with estimates ranging from $25 (bear case) to $29 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $26, with bear/bull scenarios of $18/$34.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates FCPT's fair value at $26 (base case), with a bear case of $18 and bull case of $34. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 63/100.
FCPT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 23.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
FCPT appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $27 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FCPT analyst price targets range from $25 to $29, a 15% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $27 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $18-$34 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.