Consumer cyclicals in 2026 balance resilient spending against tighter financing. Strong labor markets support demand, but weak affordability and trade-down behavior pressure parts of retail, autos, and housing.
Dominated by discretionary giants Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, cyclical stocks trade at a 24x Forward P/E. This dashboard tracks valuation trends, equal-weight performance, and sector component data across all 1,000+ retail and auto stocks.
Sector Market Cap
$6.48T
Tracks 558 stocks · top 50 by market cap
Median YTD Return
-8.8%
Screener universe · median stock return
Median P/E
25.1x
Screener stocks · excludes outliers
Median Dividend Yield
1.19%
Screener stocks · excludes zeros
Sector Screener
Scan the sector leaders, compare valuations and fundamentals, then open the full screener to refine your criteria.
| Ticker | Company | Price | Mkt Cap | P/E | ROE | Div Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com, Inc. | $256.41 | $2.76T | 35.8 | 22.3% | — | ||
| Tesla, Inc. | $380.71 | $1.5T | 352.5 | 4.8% | — | ||
| The Home Depot, Inc. | $286.82 | $285.99B | 20.2 | 145.5% | 3.2% | ||
| Alibaba Group Holding Limited | $109.33 | $255.13B | 16.7 | 9.4% | 1.9% | ||
| Toyota Motor Corporation | $185.55 | $219.73B | 9.4 | 10.2% | 3.4% | ||
| McDonald's Corporation | $232.57 | $165.25B | 19.5 | — | 3.1% | ||
| The TJX Companies, Inc. | $137.12 | $151.48B | 28.1 | 59.1% | 1.2% | ||
| Booking Holdings Inc. | $157.55 | $122.08B | 23.8 | — | 1% | ||
| PDD Holdings Inc. | $78.38 | $111.57B | 8.1 | 26.9% | — | ||
| Starbucks Corporation | $96.03 | $109.48B | 58.9 | — | 2.5% | ||
| Lowe's Companies, Inc. | $183.78 | $103.05B | 15.5 | — | 2.6% | ||
| Airbnb, Inc. | $160.41 | $95.21B | 39.8 | 30.2% | — | ||
| MercadoLibre, Inc. | $1858.56 | $94.22B | 47.2 | 36% | — | ||
| Marriott International, Inc. | $361.26 | $94.21B | 38.1 | — | 0.7% | ||
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | $288.82 | $77.46B | 18.5 | 47.5% | 0.3% | ||
| General Motors Company | $82.04 | $74.2B | 25.1 | 4.2% | 0.8% | ||
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $322.62 | $72.61B | 52.7 | — | 0.2% | ||
| Ross Stores, Inc. | $224.25 | $72.53B | 33.9 | 36.7% | 0.7% | ||
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $85.14 | $70.55B | 28.7 | — | — | ||
| Carvana Co. | $63.78 | $69.96B | 37.7 | 50.4% | — | ||
| Ferrari N.V. | $386.75 | $68.04B | 38.5 | 42.8% | 1.7% | ||
| Sea Limited | $96.49 | $57.93B | 38.3 | 14.9% | — | ||
| NIKE, Inc. | $34.62 | $51.22B | 16.5 | 22.1% | — | ||
| Ford Motor Company | $12.26 | $48.89B | -6.0 | -20.2% | 6.1% | ||
| eBay Inc. | $107.14 | $47.57B | 24.7 | 41.6% | 1.1% | ||
| AutoZone, Inc. | $2900.00 | $47.47B | 20.0 | — | — | ||
| Honda Motor Co., Ltd. | $31.81 | $41.28B | -15.8 | -3.4% | 4.5% | ||
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $30.89 | $39.63B | 27.1 | 47.4% | — | ||
| Yum! Brands, Inc. | $139.85 | $38.55B | 25.2 | — | 2% | ||
| Carnival Corporation & plc | $27.47 | $38.51B | 13.6 | 25.6% | — |
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MELI
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CUKSector Outlook
Consumer cyclicals in 2026 balance resilient spending against tighter financing. Strong labor markets support demand, but weak affordability and trade-down behavior pressure parts of retail, autos, and housing.
Watch inventory discipline, pricing power, and margin protection. Travel and experience businesses may diverge from big-ticket goods and housing-linked names.
The strongest setups combine brand strength and pricing power with cleaner balance sheets than the market initially gives credit for.
Learn
Consumer cyclical, also called consumer discretionary, covers goods and services people can postpone — apparel, autos, hotels, restaurants, leisure, and parts of housing.
The sector is closely tied to income, confidence, and financing costs, making it very different from consumer defensive where demand holds up through slowdowns.
Investors split the group into high-quality brand or platform businesses versus deeply cyclical retailers, travel, and autos. The same sector label can contain both compounders and sharp economic beta.
XLY gives broad large-cap discretionary exposure, but stock selection is often more useful because margins, brand power, and demand sensitivity differ widely.
Key risks: slower spending, higher financing costs, weaker housing, and margin pressure from promotions or input inflation. Leveraged or inventory-heavy businesses are most vulnerable.
Use the screener to compare revenue growth, profitability, and valuation within similar business models. Headline growth alone doesn't matter if margins are unstable.
Explore Further
Retailers, automakers, restaurants, hotels, leisure, and apparel companies. The screener above shows the sector list sortable by size, valuation, and performance.
Explore More
Dive into other sector analyses with performance tracking, valuation metrics, and industry breakdowns.
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Screen and research basic materials sector stocks with daily updated valuations, commodity metrics, and pre-filtered metrics for chemicals, metals, and packaging in 2026.
Use our powerful screener to filter Consumer Cyclical stocks by market cap, valuation, profitability, and dozens of other fundamental metrics.
Valuation, growth, profitability, technicals
Prices, fundamentals, and estimates refreshed overnight
Bookmark custom screens and track over time
Track the XLY sector ETF performance vs S&P 500. The basket shows equal-weight returns of top 50 stocks by market cap.
Momentum Leaders
Momentum Underperformers
Market Comparison
Against the S&P 500, Consumer Cyclical currently trades at 35.5x trailing earnings versus 34.5x for the broad market. Investors are paying a premium despite the sector showing mixed or lower profitability metrics compared to the broader index.
Valuation
Valuation is broadly in line with the market
| Metric | Consumer Cyclical | S&P 500 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 35.5x | 34.5x | Near parity |
| Forward P/E | 23.4x | 22.9x | Near parity |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.3x | 23.4x | Sector cheaper |
77th percentile; range 22.0x to 39.6x
85th percentile; range 12.1x to 39.6x
Quality
Net margin 12.6% vs 28.6%; ROE 29.2% vs 49.3%
| Metric | Consumer Cyclical | S&P 500 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Margin | 12.6% | 28.6% | S&P 500 stronger |
| ROE | 29.2% | 49.3% | S&P 500 stronger |
Income
Sector yield 0.60% vs 0.97%
| Metric | Consumer Cyclical | S&P 500 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% | 1.0% | S&P 500 yields more |
These cards are built from the full sector universe, then ranked by market cap so you can see which pockets are leading, rich, resilient, or dangerously concentrated.
Industry Scoreboard
Use this table to spot heavyweights, cheap pockets, leaders, and genuinely beaten-down areas before opening the detailed cards below.
Specialty Retail 89 stocks | 42.1% $3.7T | Neutral -6.1% median 3M | Premium 17.4x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 3.8% median ROE | Average 2.1% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Auto Manufacturers 33 stocks | 23.1% $2.03T | Lagging -19.6% median 3M | Fair 6.2x median Fwd P/E | Weak -18.9% median ROE | Average 20.3% rev growth | Broken One-name heavy |
Restaurants 52 stocks | 5.5% $480.62B | Neutral -5.1% median 3M | Premium 18.4x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 7.1% median ROE | Average 6.3% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Travel Services 17 stocks | 4.6% $403.77B | Neutral -9.4% median 3M | Fair 15.1x median Fwd P/E | High 24.1% median ROE | Strong 9.6% rev growth | Watchlist Concentrated |
Home Improvement Retail 10 stocks | 4.5% $396.26B | Lagging -19.8% median 3M | Premium 17.8x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 6.7% median ROE | Weak 2.6% rev growth | Broken One-name heavy |
Apparel Retail 31 stocks | 3.5% $306.94B | Neutral -9.5% median 3M | Fair 15.5x median Fwd P/E | High 20.0% median ROE | Strong 5.0% rev growth | Watchlist One-name heavy |
Auto Parts & Equipment 54 stocks | 3.1% $273.8B | Neutral -12.4% median 3M | Cheap 12.7x median Fwd P/E | Weak 2.3% median ROE | Weak 5.0% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Hotels & Lodging 12 stocks | 2.7% $233.68B | Leading -7.2% median 3M | Premium 14.9x median Fwd P/E | High 41.0% median ROE | Average 8.5% rev growth | Expensive Leader One-name heavy |
Homebuilders 22 stocks | 1.7% $153.81B | Neutral -13.7% median 3M | Cheap 13.7x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 9.4% median ROE | Weak -9.0% rev growth | Mixed Diversified |
Leisure 34 stocks | 1.6% $142.11B | Neutral -14.7% median 3M | Fair 15.3x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 2.2% median ROE | Strong 3.3% rev growth | Watchlist Concentrated |
Packaging 21 stocks | 1.6% $139.75B | Neutral -6.7% median 3M | Fair 14.2x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 13.3% median ROE | Strong 4.8% rev growth | Watchlist Diversified |
Casinos & Gaming 31 stocks | 1.4% $122.61B | Lagging -21.1% median 3M | Fair 15.9x median Fwd P/E | High 11.5% median ROE | Strong 5.8% rev growth | Watchlist Diversified |
Auto Dealerships 28 stocks | 1.0% $84.39B | Lagging -17.4% median 3M | Fair 11.2x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 4.2% median ROE | Strong 4.5% rev growth | Watchlist Concentrated |
Footwear & Accessories 15 stocks | 0.9% $82.72B | Leading +3.9% median 3M | Fair 18.2x median Fwd P/E | High 14.7% median ROE | Strong 4.0% rev growth | Watchlist One-name heavy |
Apparel Manufacturing 26 stocks | 0.8% $69.59B | Leading -13.5% median 3M | Fair 15.2x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 7.6% median ROE | Weak 0.1% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Home Furnishings 32 stocks | 0.6% $52.55B | Leading -1.3% median 3M | Fair 15.2x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 6.5% median ROE | Average -0.4% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Personal Services 18 stocks | 0.5% $43.1B | Neutral -15.2% median 3M | Cheap 13.8x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 3.7% median ROE | Average 4.9% rev growth | Mixed Concentrated |
Luxury Goods 12 stocks | 0.4% $33B | Neutral -18.7% median 3M | Fair 16.7x median Fwd P/E | Mixed 8.1% median ROE | Weak 5.7% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Recreational Vehicles 17 stocks | 0.2% $19.95B | Lagging -11.9% median 3M | Fair 15.3x median Fwd P/E | Weak 0.3% median ROE | Average 3.7% rev growth | Broken Diversified |
Department Stores 3 stocks | 0.2% $18.96B | Leading +15.6% median 3M | Cheap 14.0x median Fwd P/E | High 15.8% median ROE | Average -2.9% rev growth | Attractive One-name heavy |
Discount Stores 1 stocks | 0.1% $11.61B | Neutral +22.4% median 3M | Premium 33.9x median Fwd P/E | High 27.7% median ROE | Strong 25.6% rev growth | Mixed One-name heavy |
Showing 21 of 21 industries in Consumer Cyclical.
Setup is a quick read of value, quality, growth, momentum, and concentration together.
Earnings Calendar
Earnings reports are the biggest near-term catalysts for sector moves. Track which names report in the next 60 days and size your positions accordingly.
JD
$37.01BJD.com, Inc.
Thu, Nov 12
TCOM
$24.43BTrip.com Group Limited
Mon, Nov 16
HD
$280.34BThe Home Depot, Inc.
Tue, Nov 17
PDD
$110.88BPDD Holdings Inc.
Wed, Nov 18
WSM
$28.11BWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.
Wed, Nov 18
LOW
$100.65BLowe's Companies, Inc.
Wed, Nov 18
VIK
$36BViking Holdings Ltd
Wed, Nov 18
TJX
$148.54BThe TJX Companies, Inc.
Wed, Nov 18
ROST
$73.22BRoss Stores, Inc.
Thu, Nov 19
CPRT
$25.6BCopart, Inc.
Thu, Nov 19
BABA
$258.57BAlibaba Group Holding Limited
Tue, Nov 24
ULTA
$23.33BUlta Beauty, Inc.
Thu, Dec 3