Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of May 6, 2026, Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $12.60, based on estimates from 27 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $11.20, this represents a potential upside of +12.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.31B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $15.00, representing a 40% spread in expectations. The median target of $13.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,11 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, GPK trades at a trailing P/E of 7.6x and forward P/E of 13.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.66 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -7.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $10.51, with bear and bull scenarios of $7.60 and $20.61 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) has a consensus 12-month price target of $12.6, implying 12.5% upside from $11.2. The 27 analysts covering GPK see moderate appreciation potential.
GPK has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 27 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 11 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $12.6 implies 12.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.1594x, GPK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $12.6 implies 12.5% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $15 for GPK, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $12.6 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $21 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GPK is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 27 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GPK stock forecast based on 27 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $12.6, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $15 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $11, with bear/bull scenarios of $8/$21.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GPK's fair value at $11 (base case), with a bear case of $8 and bull case of $21. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
GPK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.6x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on GPK, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $12.6 price target (12.5% upside). 13 of 27 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GPK analyst price targets range from $10 to $15, a 40% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $12.6 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $8-$21 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.