13.9% Below Target

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) has a consensus 12-month price target of $12.2, implying 13.9% upside from $10.71. The 27 analysts covering GPK see moderate appreciation potential.

GPK has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 27 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 11 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $12.2 implies 13.9% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 12.5586x, GPK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $12.2 implies 13.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14 for GPK, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $12.2 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $15 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

GPK is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 27 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month GPK stock forecast based on 27 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $12.2, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $14 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $11, with bear/bull scenarios of $7/$15.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates GPK's fair value at $11 (base case), with a bear case of $7 and bull case of $15. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.

GPK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.2x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on GPK, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $12.2 price target (13.9% upside). 13 of 27 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

GPK analyst price targets range from $10 to $14, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $12.2 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $7-$15 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.