9.9% Below Target

The consensus price target for PKG is $251.6, close to the current price of $229.02 (9.9% implied move). Based on 26 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

PKG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 26 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 14 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $251.6 implies 9.9% upside from current levels.

PKG trades at a forward P/E of 22.1269x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $251.6 (9.9% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $258 for PKG, while the most conservative target is $245. The consensus of $251.6 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $379 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

PKG is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 26 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 14 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month PKG stock forecast based on 26 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $251.6, with estimates ranging from $245 (bear case) to $258 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $288, with bear/bull scenarios of $181/$379.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates PKG's fair value at $288 (base case), with a bear case of $181 and bull case of $379. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.

PKG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 26.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

PKG appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $251.6 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

PKG analyst price targets range from $245 to $258, a 5% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $251.6 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $181-$379 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.