GSBC trades 16.5% above Wall Street's consensus target of $62.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GSBC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 22, 2026, Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $62.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $74.23, this represents a potential downside of -16.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $846M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $62.00 to a high of $62.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $62.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, GSBC trades at a trailing P/E of 12.0x and forward P/E of 13.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.63 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -8.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $85.02, with bear and bull scenarios of $53.56 and $112.03 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.7B | $32.78 | $39.25 | +19.7% | Hold | 16.1x | 15 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $706M | $34.31 | $38.00 | +10.8% | Hold | 9.7x | 7 |
SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | $3.2B | $21.90 | $23.00 | +5.0% | Buy | 10.6x | 9 |
UBSIUnited Bankshares, Inc. | $6.2B | $44.42 | $46.67 | +5.1% | Hold | 12.3x | 11 |
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc. | $8.0B | $54.73 | $58.50 | +6.9% | Hold | 13.4x | 15 |
BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $7.9B | $130.33 | $132.00 | +1.3% | Hold | 12.7x | 21 |
HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. | $5.5B | $27.65 | $31.50 | +13.9% | Hold | 11.2x | 19 |
FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc. | $503M | $60.34 | $67.00 | +11.0% | Buy | 9.7x | 10 |
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $46.68 | $46.00 | -1.5% | Hold | 11.2x | 10 |
GABCGerman American Bancorp, Inc. | $1.7B | $44.99 | $48.00 | +6.7% | Hold | 12.0x | 8 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GSBC stock.
GSBC's consensus price target is $62, -16.5% below the current price of $74.23. The 6 analysts tracking GSBC see downside risk at present valuations.
GSBC has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $62 implies -16.5% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.0342x, GSBC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $62 implies -16.5% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $62 for GSBC, while the most conservative target is $62. The consensus of $62 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $112 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GSBC is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GSBC stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $62 (bear case) to $62 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $85, with bear/bull scenarios of $54/$112.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GSBC's fair value at $85 (base case), with a bear case of $54 and bull case of $112. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
GSBC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on GSBC, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $62 (-16.5% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GSBC analyst price targets range from $62 to $62, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $62 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $54-$112 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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