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NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc.
$46.68$2.4B
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NBTB logo

NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 10 analysts

1.5% Above Target

NBTB trades 1.5% above Wall Street's consensus target of $46.00.

Current Price$46.68
Average Target$46.00
Target
Current
Low$42.00
Median$47.00
High$49.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E11.2x
(Value)
PEG Ratio1.59
(Fair)
Implied Growth+29.6%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread15.2%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$46.68
Consensus$46.00
High$49.00
Low$42.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes NBTB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 11.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 10 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 10 published analyst recommendations for NBTB

50% hold / mixed conviction
+15
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 10 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage10 Analysts
Net Score+15
Bull / Bear40% / 10%
Strong Buy00%
Buy440%
Hold550%
Sell110%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
440%
Hold
550%
Sell
110%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix40% Buy · 50% Hold · 10% Sell
Buy (4)Hold (5)Sell (1)

NBTB Price Target Analysis

Updated June 20, 2026

As of June 20, 2026, NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $46.00, based on estimates from 10 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $46.68, this represents a potential downside of -1.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.44B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $42.00 to a high of $49.00, representing a 15% spread in expectations. The median target of $47.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, NBTB trades at a trailing P/E of 14.0x and forward P/E of 11.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.59 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +29.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $55.99, with bear and bull scenarios of $35.27 and $73.77 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+4.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
11.3x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
CNOB logo
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.
$1.6B$32.45$34.00
+4.8%
Buy9.9x11
TRMK logo
TRMKTrustmark Corporation
$2.6B$44.67$45.50
+1.9%
Hold11.4x9
WSBC logo
WSBCWesBanco, Inc.
$3.5B$36.29$41.00
+13.0%
Buy10.1x16
FULT logo
FULTFulton Financial Corporation
$4.4B$22.90$23.50
+2.6%
Hold11.3x20
CBSH logo
CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.
$8.0B$54.73$58.50
+6.9%
Hold13.4x15
IBCP logo
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation
$706M$34.31$38.00
+10.8%
Hold9.7x7
SFBS logo
SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.
$4.4B$80.46$90.00
+11.9%
Buy12.6x6
STBA logo
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.
$1.7B$46.84$37.67
-19.6%
Hold12.6x12
NWBI logo
NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc.
$2.1B$14.48$15.50
+7.0%
Hold10.5x14
CZWI logo
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp, Inc.
$205M$21.34——Buy11.7x2

NBTB — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NBTB stock.

What is the NBTB stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for NBTB is $46, -1.5% from its current price of $46.68. The below-market target from 10 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is NBTB a buy, sell, or hold?

NBTB has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 10 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $46 implies -1.5% downside from current levels.

Is NBTB stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 11.1811x, NBTB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $46 implies -1.5% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can NBTB stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $49 for NBTB, while the most conservative target is $42. The consensus of $46 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $74 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover NBTB stock?

NBTB is moderately covered, with 10 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the NBTB stock forecast?

The 12-month NBTB stock forecast based on 10 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $46, with estimates ranging from $42 (bear case) to $49 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $56, with bear/bull scenarios of $35/$74.

What is NBTB's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates NBTB's fair value at $56 (base case), with a bear case of $35 and bull case of $74. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.

What is NBTB's forward P/E ratio?

NBTB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy NBTB stock?

Analysts are cautious on NBTB, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $46 (-1.5% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do NBTB price targets vary so much?

NBTB analyst price targets range from $42 to $49, a 15% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $46 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $35-$74 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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