Bull case
ITT would need investors to value it at roughly 43x earnings — about 15x more generous than today's 28x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where ITT stock could go
ITT would need investors to value it at roughly 43x earnings — about 15x more generous than today's 28x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 37x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 11x multiple contraction could push ITT down roughly 40% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

ITT Inc. is an industrial manufacturer of engineered critical components and technology solutions for transportation, industrial, and energy markets. It generates revenue through three main segments: Motion Technologies (brake components and sealing systems), Industrial Process (pumps, valves, and monitoring systems), and Connect & Control Technologies (engineered connectors and control components). The company's competitive advantage lies in its specialized engineering expertise for critical applications—particularly in aerospace, defense, and industrial processes—where reliability and precision are paramount.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $1.45/$1.44 | +0.7% | $913M/$937M | -2.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.64/$1.62 | +1.2% | $972M/$965M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.78/$1.67 | +6.6% | $999M/$974M | +2.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.85/$1.79 | +3.4% | $1.1B/$1.0B | +4.6% |
ITT beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $191 — implies -9.0% from today's price.
| Metric | ITT | S&P 500 | Industrials | 5Y Avg ITT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 27.8x | 19.1x+46% | 20.7x+34% | — |
| Trailing PE | 34.8x | 25.1x+39% | 25.7x+36% | 24.3x+43% |
| PEG Ratio | 0.71x | 1.72x-59% | 1.64x-57% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.3x | 15.2x+33% | 13.7x+49% | 14.1x+44% |
| Price/FCF | 33.4x | 21.1x+58% | 21.2x+58% | 28.5x+17% |
| Price/Sales | 4.6x | 3.1x+49% | 1.6x+193% | 3.0x+52% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.65% | 1.87% | 1.27% | 0.96% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolITT generates $548M in free cash flow at a 13.9% margin — 18.0% ROIC signals a durable competitive advantage · returns 3.5% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
ITT's operations are significantly influenced by industry and economic cycles, particularly in sectors like energy, chemical, and mining. Fluctuations in demand due to these cycles can adversely affect financial performance.
With approximately 60% of ITT's revenue generated outside the U.S., the company is highly susceptible to geopolitical tensions, trade policies, and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations. These factors can disrupt supply chains and impact customer demand.
The pending acquisition of SPX FLOW is expected to increase ITT's leverage and introduces integration risks. Successful integration within expected timeframes is crucial, as it carries potential risks like incremental tariff pressures and raw material inflation.
Fluctuations in the prices of key raw materials such as steel, oil, copper, and tin pose a risk to ITT's cost management and profitability. Significant price increases can directly impact margins.
ITT is exposed to vulnerabilities in its supply chain, particularly concerning specialty alloys and electronic components. Disruptions or quality issues can lead to product recalls and financial losses.
A substantial portion of ITT's revenue is derived from customers in cyclical industries. The loss of significant customers or a decrease in sales could materially impact the company's financial results.
As a global manufacturer, ITT is susceptible to cybersecurity threats that could disrupt operations and lead to financial losses. The increasing sophistication of cyber threats poses a continuous risk.
Navigating a complex landscape of environmental laws and regulations can lead to increased compliance costs and potential liabilities for ITT. Investments in PFAS-free materials aim to mitigate these risks.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
ITT has a history of successful acquisitions, including Svanehøj and the pending acquisition of SPX FLOW. These strategic moves are aimed at accelerating the company's transition towards higher-growth, higher-margin sectors such as liquefied gas, energy transition, aerospace, defense, and electric vehicles.
In 2025, ITT reported revenue of $3.94 billion, marking an 8.5% increase from the previous year, while adjusted EPS grew by 14.3%. The company also increased its quarterly dividend by 10%, reflecting confidence in its financial health and a commitment to shareholder returns.
ITT is strategically pivoting towards sectors with strong growth trends, including aerospace, defense, energy transition, and the EV market. The company aims to capture significant market share in premium EV friction materials and expand its offerings for next-generation aircraft.
The implementation of the ITT Management System (IMS) is driving operational efficiency and margin expansion. Management targets EBITDA margins above 25% by 2030, supported by ongoing efficiency initiatives and a focus on higher-margin products.
A significant majority of analysts rate ITT as a 'Strong Buy' or 'Buy,' highlighting the company's ability to execute its growth strategy and convert its backlog into revenue. This analyst confidence underscores ITT's strong market position and effective margin management.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ITT ITT ITT Inc. | $18.3B | 27.8x | +14.2% | 12.4% | Buy | +8.0% |
XYL XYL Xylem Inc. | $27.7B | 21.0x | +6.5% | 10.7% | Hold | +30.2% |
FEL FELE Franklin Electric Co., Inc. | $4.4B | 21.8x | +5.0% | 6.9% | Hold | -0.0% |
GTL GTLS Chart Industries, Inc. | $9.9B | 16.4x | +16.7% | 0.9% | Buy | -6.7% |
PNR PNR Pentair plc | $12.6B | 14.5x | +2.4% | 16.0% | Hold | +45.9% |
IEX IEX IDEX Corporation | $16.0B | 25.6x | +4.7% | 14.4% | Hold | +12.2% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
ITT returns capital mainly through $521M/year in buybacks (2.8% buyback yield), with a modest 0.65% dividend — combining for 3.5% total shareholder yield. The dividend has grown for 23 consecutive years.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.39 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $1.40 | +10.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
| 2024 | $1.28 | +10.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| 2023 | $1.16 | +9.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% |
| 2022 | $1.06 | +20.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
ITT Inc. (ITT) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 22 analysts covering the stock, 15 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 7 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $230, implying +8.0% from the current price of $213. The bear case scenario is $128 and the bull case is $328.
The Wall Street consensus price target for ITT is $230 based on 22 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $245 (+15.2% from today), and the low-end target is $220 (+3.4%). The base case model target is $280.
ITT trades at 27.8x times forward earnings. The stock trades at a notable premium to the broad market, which is typical for businesses with strong free cash flow and above-average growth expectations. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly overvalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for ITT in 2026 are: (1) Market Cyclicality — ITT's operations are significantly influenced by industry and economic cycles, particularly in sectors like energy, chemical, and mining. (2) Global Economic and Political Uncertainties — With approximately 60% of ITT's revenue generated outside the U. (3) Acquisitions and Integration — The pending acquisition of SPX FLOW is expected to increase ITT's leverage and introduces integration risks. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates ITT will report consensus revenue of $4.5B (+14.2% year-over-year) and EPS of $7.10 (+16.9% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $4.9B in revenue.
ITT Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-05-06. Consensus expects EPS of $1.72 and revenue of $1.1B. Over recent quarters, ITT has beaten EPS estimates 92% of the time.
ITT Inc. (ITT) generated $548M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 13.9%. ITT returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.7% yield) and share repurchases ($521M TTM).