MATX trades 0.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $190.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MATX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 13.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 11 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Matson, Inc. (MATX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $190.00, based on estimates from 11 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $191.24, this represents a potential downside of -0.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.82B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $167.00 to a high of $213.00, representing a 24% spread in expectations. The median target of $190.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MATX trades at a trailing P/E of 13.8x and forward P/E of 13.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.53 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -0.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $226.96, with bear and bull scenarios of $142.99 and $299.05 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | $2.9B | $24.34 | $17.35 | -28.7% | Hold | — | 6 |
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp. | $2.9B | $25.81 | $31.50 | +22.0% | Buy | 6.2x | 24 |
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. | $4.2B | $84.49 | $86.67 | +2.6% | Buy | 5.9x | 13 |
ASCArdmore Shipping Corporation | $697M | $17.07 | $19.00 | +11.3% | Buy | 5.7x | 17 |
UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $89.2B | $105.00 | $115.23 | +9.7% | Hold | 14.8x | 45 |
FDXFedEx Corporation | $77.8B | $326.20 | $343.24 | +5.2% | Buy | 16.4x | 49 |
CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $21.9B | $185.04 | $192.24 | +3.9% | Hold | 30.0x | 46 |
EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. | $21.5B | $161.32 | $151.67 | -6.0% | Hold | 23.8x | 33 |
XPOXPO Logistics, Inc. | $23.4B | $199.50 | $220.00 | +10.3% | Buy | 40.5x | 32 |
HUBGHub Group, Inc. | $2.7B | $44.35 | $44.13 | -0.5% | Hold | 30.9x | 31 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MATX stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for MATX is $190, -0.6% from its current price of $191.24. The below-market target from 11 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
MATX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 11 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $190 implies -0.6% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.676x, MATX trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $190 implies -0.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $213 for MATX, while the most conservative target is $167. The consensus of $190 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $299 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MATX is moderately covered, with 11 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MATX stock forecast based on 11 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $190, with estimates ranging from $167 (bear case) to $213 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $227, with bear/bull scenarios of $143/$299.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MATX's fair value at $227 (base case), with a bear case of $143 and bull case of $299. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
MATX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on MATX, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $190 (-0.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MATX analyst price targets range from $167 to $213, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $190 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $143-$299 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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