6.0% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for EXPD is $151.67, -6.0% from its current price of $161.32. The below-market target from 33 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

EXPD has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 9 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $151.67 implies -6.0% downside from current levels.

EXPD trades at a forward P/E of 23.7879x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $151.67 (-6.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $175 for EXPD, while the most conservative target is $135. The consensus of $151.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $266 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

EXPD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 33 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 9 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month EXPD stock forecast based on 33 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $151.67, with estimates ranging from $135 (bear case) to $175 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $202, with bear/bull scenarios of $127/$266.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates EXPD's fair value at $202 (base case), with a bear case of $127 and bull case of $266. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.

EXPD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on EXPD, with 9 Sell ratings and a price target of $151.67 (-6.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

EXPD analyst price targets range from $135 to $175, a 26% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $151.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $127-$266 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.