EXPD trades 9.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $201.67.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes EXPD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 22.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 33 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $201.67, based on estimates from 33 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $184.61, this represents a potential upside of +9.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $24.15B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $165.00 to a high of $245.00, representing a 40% spread in expectations. The median target of $195.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,21 rating it Hold, and 7 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, EXPD trades at a trailing P/E of 31.0x and forward P/E of 22.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.80 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +4.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $278.92, with bear and bull scenarios of $175.72 and $367.50 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $14.8B | $125.33 | $179.88 | +43.5% | Buy | 19.7x | 46 |
 FWRDForward Air Corporation | $526M | $16.64 | $26.00 | +56.3% | Hold | — | 21 |
 GXOGXO Logistics, Inc. | $6.3B | $55.18 | $68.29 | +23.8% | Buy | 18.1x | 18 |
 UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $92.0B | $108.29 | $115.79 | +6.9% | Hold | 14.9x | 45 |
 FDXFedEx Corporation | $73.5B | $308.14 | $301.85 | -2.0% | Buy | 16.8x | 49 |
 XPOXPO Logistics, Inc. | $20.8B | $176.95 | $227.31 | +28.5% | Buy | 30.7x | 32 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $8.9B | $331.90 | $444.78 | +34.0% | Buy | 28.9x | 33 |
 ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | $34.3B | $164.92 | $223.62 | +35.6% | Hold | 27.7x | 36 |
 HUBGHub Group, Inc. | $1.5B | $24.22 | $29.00 | +19.7% | Hold | 34.6x | 31 |
 ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. | $3.4B | $27.95 | $30.00 | +7.3% | Hold | 5.2x | 6 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying EXPD stock.
The consensus price target for EXPD is $201.67, close to the current price of $184.61 (9.2% implied move). Based on 33 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
EXPD has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 7 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $201.67 implies 9.2% upside from current levels.
EXPD trades at a forward P/E of 22.123x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $201.67 (9.2% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $245 for EXPD, while the most conservative target is $165. The consensus of $201.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $368 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
EXPD is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 33 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 7 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month EXPD stock forecast based on 33 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $201.67, with estimates ranging from $165 (bear case) to $245 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $279, with bear/bull scenarios of $176/$368.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates EXPD's fair value at $279 (base case), with a bear case of $176 and bull case of $368. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
EXPD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 31.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
EXPD appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $201.67 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
EXPD analyst price targets range from $165 to $245, a 40% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $201.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $176-$368 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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