9.7% Below Target

The consensus price target for UPS is $115.23, close to the current price of $105 (9.7% implied move). Based on 45 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

UPS has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 45 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 21 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $115.23 implies 9.7% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 14.7992x, UPS trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $115.23 implies 9.7% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $128 for UPS, while the most conservative target is $85. The consensus of $115.23 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $159 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

UPS is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 45 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 2 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 21 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month UPS stock forecast based on 45 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $115.23, with estimates ranging from $85 (bear case) to $128 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $121, with bear/bull scenarios of $76/$159.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates UPS's fair value at $121 (base case), with a bear case of $76 and bull case of $159. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 55/100.

UPS trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

UPS appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $115.23 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

UPS analyst price targets range from $85 to $128, a 37% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $115.23 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $76-$159 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.