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MNRMach Natural Resources LP
$12.45$2.1B
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MNR logo

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 15 analysts

44.6% Below Target

MNR trades 44.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $18.00.

Current Price$12.45
Average Target$18.00
Low$18.00
Median$18.00
High$18.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E9.5x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-6.0%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$12.45
Consensus$18.00
High$18.00
Low$18.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes MNR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 15 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 15 published analyst recommendations for MNR

40% hold / mixed conviction
+27
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 15 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage15 Analysts
Net Score+27
Bull / Bear53% / 7%
Strong Buy17%
Buy747%
Hold640%
Sell17%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
17%
Buy
747%
Hold
640%
Sell
17%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix53% Buy · 40% Hold · 7% Sell
Buy (8)Hold (6)Sell (1)

MNR Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $18.00, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $12.45, this represents a potential upside of +44.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.09B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $18.00 to a high of $18.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $18.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 8 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, MNR trades at a trailing P/E of 11.4x and forward P/E of 9.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -6.0% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $22.11, with bear and bull scenarios of $13.93 and $29.13 respectively. Model confidence stands at 33/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+41.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
7.3x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
VTLE logo
VTLEVital Energy, Inc.
$693M$17.92$45.71
+155.1%
Hold4.0x36
CIVI logo
CIVICivitas Resources, Inc.
$2.3B$27.38$33.00
+20.5%
Hold6.8x16
CHRD logo
CHRDChord Energy Corporation
$7.0B$123.12$145.90
+18.5%
Buy5.7x19
SM logo
SMSM Energy Company
$3.1B$27.14$35.20
+29.7%
Buy3.5x54
MGY logo
MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
$4.9B$26.41$29.56
+11.9%
Buy9.0x26
PR logo
PRPermian Resources Corporation
$15.3B$18.43$24.50
+32.9%
Buy11.1x20
GPOR logo
GPORGulfport Energy Corporation
$2.9B$160.71$238.67
+48.5%
Buy6.3x8
CNX logo
CNXCNX Resources Corporation
$4.6B$32.67$36.00
+10.2%
Hold10.4x41
AR logo
ARAntero Resources Corporation
$10.3B$33.22$51.14
+53.9%
Buy7.4x50
RRC logo
RRCRange Resources Corporation
$8.6B$36.39$47.40
+30.3%
Hold8.5x62

MNR — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MNR stock.

What is the MNR stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for MNR is $18, representing 44.6% upside from the current price of $12.45. With 15 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is MNR a buy, sell, or hold?

MNR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 8 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $18 implies 44.6% upside from current levels.

Is MNR stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 9.4799x, MNR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $18 implies 44.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can MNR stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $18 for MNR, while the most conservative target is $18. The consensus of $18 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $29 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MNR stock?

MNR is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MNR stock forecast?

The 12-month MNR stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $18 (bear case) to $18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $22, with bear/bull scenarios of $14/$29.

What is MNR's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MNR's fair value at $22 (base case), with a bear case of $14 and bull case of $29. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 33/100.

What is MNR's forward P/E ratio?

MNR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MNR stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MNR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $18 price target (44.6% upside). 8 of 15 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MNR price targets vary so much?

MNR analyst price targets range from $18 to $18, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $18 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $14-$29 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

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DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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