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SM logoSM Energy Company (SM) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026

Current Price
$28.55
Market reference
Price Target
$29.00
+1.6% Upside
Target Range
$19.00 — $49.00
Very wide disagreement
Analyst Rating
Buy
54 analysts
Forward P/E4.3x
Trailing P/E5.1x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+16.8%
Median Target$29.00
Analyst Spread103.4%

SM trades near analyst consensus with +1.6% potential upside. Limited near-term catalysts may be priced in at current levels.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$28.55
Consensus$29.00
High$49.00
Low$19.00
Bear Case
$19
-33.5%
Consensus
$29
+1.6%
Bull Case
$49
+71.6%

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 54 published analyst recommendations for SM

33% hold / mixed conviction
+24
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 54 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage54 Analysts
Net Score+24
Bull / Bear57% / 9%
Strong Buy00%
Buy3157%
Hold1833%
Sell59%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
3157%
Hold
1833%
Sell
59%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix57% Buy · 33% Hold · 9% Sell
Buy (31)Hold (18)Sell (5)

SM Price Target Analysis

Updated May 7, 2026

As of May 7, 2026, SM Energy Company (SM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $29.00, based on estimates from 54 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $28.55, this represents a potential upside of +1.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.28B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $19.00 to a high of $49.00, representing a 103% spread in expectations. The median target of $29.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 31 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,18 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, SM trades at a trailing P/E of 5.1x and forward P/E of 4.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +16.8% over the next year.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+8.2%
Avg Forward P/E9.6x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
CIVI logoCIVICivitas Resources, Inc.$2.3B$27.38$31.00+13.2%Hold6.8x16
MTDR logoMTDRMatador Resources Company$7.2B$57.76$68.29+18.2%Buy8.0x42
CRGY logoCRGYCrescent Energy Company$4.3B$13.10$12.80-2.3%Buy6.4x12
CHRD logoCHRDChord Energy Corporation$8.0B$140.84$136.50-3.1%Buy7.8x19
MGY logoMGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation$5.3B$28.65$29.11+1.6%Buy10.5x26
DVN logoDVNDevon Energy Corporation$29.0B$46.60$53.78+15.4%Buy8.9x64
FANG logoFANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$54.9B$195.10$201.27+3.2%Buy10.9x51
PR logoPRPermian Resources Corporation$17.6B$21.21$22.29+5.1%Buy11.5x20
REI logoREIRing Energy, Inc.$377M$1.80$2.50+38.9%Buy8.1x10
HAL logoHALHalliburton Company$33.7B$40.40$37.08-8.2%Buy17.4x64

Upside Potential Comparison

REI logoREI
+38.9%
MTDR logoMTDR
+18.2%
DVN logoDVN
+15.4%
CIVI logoCIVI
+13.2%
PR logoPR
+5.1%
FANG logoFANG
+3.2%
MGY logoMGY
+1.6%
CRGY logoCRGY
-2.3%

See SM's True Return

Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.

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Is SM Undervalued?

DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.

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Compare SM vs XOM

Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Exxon Mobil Corporation.

Start Comparison

SM — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SM stock.

What is the SM stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for SM is $29, close to the current price of $28.55 (1.6% implied move). Based on 54 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is SM a buy, sell, or hold?

SM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 54 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 31 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $29 implies 1.6% upside from current levels.

Is SM stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 4.3371x, SM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $29 implies 1.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can SM stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $49 for SM, while the most conservative target is $19. The consensus of $29 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover SM stock?

SM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 54 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 31 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the SM stock forecast?

The 12-month SM stock forecast based on 54 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $29, with estimates ranging from $19 (bear case) to $49 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".

What is SM's forward P/E ratio?

SM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 5.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy SM stock?

SM appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $29 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do SM price targets vary so much?

SM analyst price targets range from $19 to $49, a 103% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $29 consensus represents the middle ground.

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