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Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$5.44
Market reference
Price Target
$5.00
-8.1% Upside
Target Range
$5.00 — $5.00
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Hold
28 analysts
Forward P/E47.6x
Trailing P/E-16.5x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+134.6%
Median Target$5.00
Analyst Spread0.0%

MPW trades 8.1% above the consensus target of $5.00. Current price reflects optimism beyond analyst expectations.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$5.44
Consensus$5.00
High$5.00
Low$5.00
Bear Case
$5
-8.1%
Consensus
$5
-8.1%
Bull Case
$5
-8.1%

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 28 published analyst recommendations for MPW

46% hold / mixed conviction
+13
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 28 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage28 Analysts
Net Score+13
Bull / Bear39% / 14%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1139%
Hold1346%
Sell414%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1139%
Hold
1346%
Sell
414%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix39% Buy · 46% Hold · 14% Sell
Buy (11)Hold (13)Sell (4)

MPW Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $5.00, based on estimates from 28 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $5.44, this represents a potential downside of -8.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.25B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $5.00 to a high of $5.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $5.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 11 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,13 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, MPW trades at a trailing P/E of -16.5x and forward P/E of 47.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +134.6% over the next year.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+12.3%
Avg Forward P/E17.2x
Peers with Coverage8 / 9
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MPWMedical Properties Trust, Inc.
$3.2B$5.44$5.00-8.1%Hold47.6x28
HCAHCA Healthcare, Inc.$118.5B$529.70$523.92-1.1%Buy17.5x46
THCTenet Healthcare Corporation$21.0B$239.39$257.45+7.5%Buy14.1x32
ACHCAcadia Healthcare Company, Inc.$2.1B$23.44$19.82-15.4%Buy15.7x25
ARDTArdent Health Partners, LLC$1.3B$9.39$14.57+55.2%Buy7.4x12
UHTUniversal Health Realty Income Trust$605M$43.62———25.2x—
CYHCommunity Health Systems, Inc.$485M$3.46$3.40-1.7%Hold—37
AUNAAuna S.A.$161M$5.34$7.63+42.9%Hold1.6x1
UHSUniversal Health Services, Inc.$3M$206.10$245.67+19.2%Hold8.8x43

Upside Potential Comparison

ARDT
+55.2%
AUNA
+42.9%
UHS
+19.2%
THC
+7.5%
HCA
-1.1%
CYH
-1.7%
MPW
-8.1%
ACHC
-15.4%

See MPW's True Return

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Is MPW Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare MPW vs WELL

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the MPW stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for MPW is $5, -8.1% from its current price of $5.44. The below-market target from 28 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is MPW a buy, sell, or hold?

MPW has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 28 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 13 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $5 implies -8.1% downside from current levels.

Is MPW stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 47.5941x, MPW trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $5 (-8.1% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

How high can MPW stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $5 for MPW, while the most conservative target is $5. The consensus of $5 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MPW stock?

MPW is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 28 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 13 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MPW stock forecast?

The 12-month MPW stock forecast based on 28 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $5 (bear case) to $5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold".

What is MPW's forward P/E ratio?

MPW trades at a forward P/E ratio of 47.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MPW stock?

Analysts are cautious on MPW, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $5 (-8.1% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MPW price targets vary so much?

MPW analyst price targets range from $5 to $5, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $5 consensus represents the middle ground.

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