45.3% Below Target

The consensus Wall Street price target for MTDR is $72, representing 45.3% upside from the current price of $49.56. With 42 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

MTDR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 42 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 31 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $72 implies 45.3% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 6.3716x, MTDR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $72 implies 45.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $79 for MTDR, while the most conservative target is $63. The consensus of $72 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $87 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MTDR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 42 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 31 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MTDR stock forecast based on 42 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $72, with estimates ranging from $63 (bear case) to $79 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $66, with bear/bull scenarios of $42/$87.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTDR's fair value at $66 (base case), with a bear case of $42 and bull case of $87. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

MTDR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 8.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MTDR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $72 price target (45.3% upside). 31 of 42 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MTDR analyst price targets range from $63 to $79, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $72 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $42-$87 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.