Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of February 28, 2026, Matador Resources Company (MTDR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $56.67, based on estimates from 41 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $51.40, this represents a potential upside of +10.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.46B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $47.00 to a high of $70.00, representing a 41% spread in expectations. The median target of $55.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 30 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,11 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, MTDR trades at a trailing P/E of 8.4x and forward P/E of 11.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -27.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $63.59, with bear and bull scenarios of $-91.31 and $198.39 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
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Start ComparisonMatador Resources Company (MTDR) has a consensus 12-month price target of $56.67, implying 10.3% upside from $51.4. The 41 analysts covering MTDR see moderate appreciation potential.
MTDR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 41 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 30 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $56.67 implies 10.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 11.6487x, MTDR trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $56.67 implies 10.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $70 for MTDR, while the most conservative target is $47. The consensus of $56.67 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $198 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MTDR is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 41 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 30 have Buy ratings, 11 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MTDR stock forecast based on 41 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $56.67, with estimates ranging from $47 (bear case) to $70 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $64, with bear/bull scenarios of $-91/$198.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTDR's fair value at $64 (base case), with a bear case of $-91 and bull case of $198. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
MTDR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 8.4x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MTDR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $56.67 price target (10.3% upside). 30 of 41 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MTDR analyst price targets range from $47 to $70, a 41% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $56.67 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-91-$198 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.