MTSI trades 43.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $401.25.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MTSI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 50.7x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 25 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 23, 2026, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $401.25, based on estimates from 25 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $279.69, this represents a potential upside of +43.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $21.34B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $300.00 to a high of $475.00, representing a 44% spread in expectations. The median target of $450.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 16 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, MTSI trades at a trailing P/E of -383.1x and forward P/E of 50.7x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +79.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $66.92, with bear and bull scenarios of $42.16 and $88.17 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LITELumentum Holdings Inc. | $73.6B | $945.67 | $1092.17 | +15.5% | Buy | 115.0x | 25 |
 COHUCohu, Inc. | $3.0B | $64.54 | $66.83 | +3.5% | Buy | 67.9x | 14 |
 QRVOQorvo, Inc. | $10.4B | $118.44 | $94.00 | -20.6% | Hold | 18.2x | 42 |
 SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc. | $13.5B | $89.96 | $71.75 | -20.2% | Buy | 17.8x | 60 |
 SLABSilicon Laboratories Inc. | $7.3B | $221.97 | $183.40 | -17.4% | Buy | 76.4x | 38 |
 ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc. | $6.6B | $35.51 | $56.17 | +58.2% | Buy | 66.8x | 13 |
 ADIAnalog Devices, Inc. | $190.1B | $390.37 | $480.24 | +23.0% | Buy | 30.3x | 54 |
 MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $67.8B | $1380.62 | $1827.25 | +32.4% | Buy | 50.3x | 25 |
 AEHRAehr Test Systems | $3.2B | $100.60 | $132.50 | +31.7% | Hold | 132.7x | 3 |
 CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc. | $6.1B | $120.38 | $160.00 | +32.9% | Buy | 13.3x | 22 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MTSI stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for MTSI is $401.25, representing 43.5% upside from the current price of $279.69. With 25 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
MTSI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 25 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 16 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $401.25 implies 43.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 50.7383x, MTSI trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $401.25 (43.5% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $475 for MTSI, while the most conservative target is $300. The consensus of $401.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $88 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MTSI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 25 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 16 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MTSI stock forecast based on 25 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $401.25, with estimates ranging from $300 (bear case) to $475 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $67, with bear/bull scenarios of $42/$88.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MTSI's fair value at $67 (base case), with a bear case of $42 and bull case of $88. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
MTSI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 50.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MTSI, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $401.25 price target (43.5% upside). 16 of 25 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MTSI analyst price targets range from $300 to $475, a 44% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $401.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $42-$88 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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