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$44.19$3.2B
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SHOO logo

Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 31 analysts

3.8% Above Target

SHOO trades 3.8% above Wall Street's consensus target of $42.50.

Current Price$44.19
Average Target$42.50
Target
Current
Low$30.00
Median$44.00
High$52.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E20.8x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+100.5%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread51.8%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$44.19
Consensus$42.50
High$52.00
Low$30.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes SHOO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 20.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 31 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 31 published analyst recommendations for SHOO

21/31 analysts are bullish
+31
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 31 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage31 Analysts
Net Score+31
Bull / Bear68% / 6%
Strong Buy00%
Buy2168%
Hold826%
Sell26%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
2168%
Hold
826%
Sell
26%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix68% Buy · 26% Hold · 6% Sell
Buy (21)Hold (8)Sell (2)

SHOO Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $42.50, based on estimates from 31 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $44.19, this represents a potential downside of -3.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.22B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $30.00 to a high of $52.00, representing a 52% spread in expectations. The median target of $44.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 21 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, SHOO trades at a trailing P/E of 70.1x and forward P/E of 20.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +100.5% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $105.85, with bear and bull scenarios of $66.69 and $139.47 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+26.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
15.5x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
SCVL logo
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.
$437M$15.91$22.00
+38.3%
Hold8.4x14
CAL logo
CALCaleres, Inc.
$443M$13.14$28.25
+115.0%
Buy24.8x13
BOOT logo
BOOTBoot Barn Holdings, Inc.
$5.3B$174.22$223.83
+28.5%
Buy23.8x29
CROX logo
CROXCrocs, Inc.
$6.3B$125.05$119.00
-4.8%
Buy9.2x37
WWW logo
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.
$1.4B$17.60$21.25
+20.7%
Hold13.2x38
RL logo
RLRalph Lauren Corporation
$25.2B$413.01$437.43
+5.9%
Buy25.3x48
PVH logo
PVHPVH Corp.
$3.6B$77.07$92.00
+19.4%
Buy7.1x38
HBI logo
HBIHanesbrands Inc.
$2.3B$6.47$7.25
+12.1%
Buy9.8x34
GIII logo
GIIIG-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
$1.5B$34.77$39.33
+13.1%
Buy12.0x29
VFC logo
VFCV.F. Corporation
$6.8B$17.33$20.50
+18.3%
Hold21.0x58

SHOO — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SHOO stock.

What is the SHOO stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for SHOO is $42.5, -3.8% from its current price of $44.19. The below-market target from 31 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is SHOO a buy, sell, or hold?

SHOO has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 31 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 21 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $42.5 implies -3.8% downside from current levels.

Is SHOO stock overvalued or undervalued?

SHOO trades at a forward P/E of 20.8286x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $42.5 (-3.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

How high can SHOO stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $52 for SHOO, while the most conservative target is $30. The consensus of $42.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $139 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover SHOO stock?

SHOO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 31 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 21 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the SHOO stock forecast?

The 12-month SHOO stock forecast based on 31 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $42.5, with estimates ranging from $30 (bear case) to $52 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $106, with bear/bull scenarios of $67/$139.

What is SHOO's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates SHOO's fair value at $106 (base case), with a bear case of $67 and bull case of $139. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.

What is SHOO's forward P/E ratio?

SHOO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 70.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy SHOO stock?

Analysts are cautious on SHOO, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $42.5 (-3.8% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do SHOO price targets vary so much?

SHOO analyst price targets range from $30 to $52, a 52% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $42.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $67-$139 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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